Villa vs Mbarara Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 January 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Villa and Mbarara are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 17:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Njeru at the FUFA Technical Centre stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Villa being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 16 April 2025 and ended with a score of 0:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Mbarara):

    • ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Villa and Mbarara:

    • played 12 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 3, draws - 2;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 20 against 11;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.58.

    Head-to-head statistics Villa - Mbarara

    64%
    9 Wins
    14%
    2 Draws
    21%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Avg. total goals
    3
    Both teams scored
    64%
    2.07
    Average total
    0.93
    0.43
    Yellow cards
    0.57
    Last matches
    13.05.26
    Premier League
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    Villa
    Villa
    -
    -
    1
    9
    17
    20
    4
    2
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    9
    17
    20
    4
    2
    28.01.26
    Premier League
    Villa
    Villa
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    -
    -
    4
    1
    26
    11
    2
    3
    6
    1
    4
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    26
    11
    2
    3
    16.04.25
    Premier League
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    1
    Villa
    Villa
    2
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    2
    3
    16.09.24
    Premier League
    Villa
    Villa
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    30.03.24
    Premier League
    Villa
    Villa
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    Empty
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    Villa Team Overview

    The team played their last official match on 23 January 2026 in the Premier League tournament (home side - Bul FC, away side - SC Villa). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the game statistics (Villa vs Bul FC):

    • corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Villa delighted their fans with 7 victories, settled for a draw in 1 matches, and lost 2 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.4, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.75, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.5.

    Match Results: Villa

    Last matches
    07.10.26
    Premier League
    Kataka FC
    Kataka FC
    Villa
    Villa
    -
    -
    4
    5
    16
    9
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    16
    9
    2
    2
    D
    15.09.26
    Premier League
    Villa
    Villa
    Kigezi Homeboys FC
    Kigezi Homeboys FC
    -
    -
    3
    0
    19
    8
    2
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    0
    19
    8
    2
    3
    W
    09.09.26
    Premier League
    Villa
    Villa
    Express
    Express
    -
    -
    3
    3
    15
    12
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    15
    12
    0
    1
    W
    04.09.26
    Premier League
    URA
    URA
    Villa
    Villa
    1
    -
    -
    12
    1
    16
    19
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    12
    1
    16
    19
    2
    3
    W
    29.08.26
    Premier League
    Villa
    Villa
    Kitara
    Kitara
    -
    -
    2
    3
    17
    15
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    17
    15
    1
    0
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mbarara Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 24 January 2026 during the Premier League tournament (home team - Mbarara, away team - Lugazi Municipal FC). The game concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.

    Here are the match statistics (Mbarara vs Lugazi Municipal FC):

    • corner kicks: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Mbarara gifted its fans with 2 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 5 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 9;
    • average goals scored - 0.9;
    • average goals conceded - 1.5.

    Match Results: Mbarara

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    Premier League
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    Blacks Power
    Blacks Power
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    14
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    14
    1
    1
    W
    07.10.26
    Premier League
    Ntugasaze FC
    Ntugasaze FC
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    23
    18
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    23
    18
    2
    3
    L
    16.09.26
    Premier League
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    Entebbe UPPC
    Entebbe UPPC
    -
    -
    2
    6
    13
    8
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    13
    8
    3
    0
    D
    11.09.26
    Premier League
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    NEC
    NEC
    -
    -
    6
    3
    10
    9
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    10
    9
    2
    0
    D
    29.08.26
    Premier League
    Police
    Police
    Mbarara
    Mbarara
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    9
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    9
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • home team wins - 7, away team wins - 3, draws - 2.
    Trends
    • Mbarara won with a +2.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games against Villa (Premier League).
    • Mbarara won with a +2.5 handicap in last 7 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Mbarara Handicap (+2,5) (odds: 1.62)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.67, the guests - 0.92;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.58;
    • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Villa vs Mbarara

    • average total in the tournament: 2.08 vs 2.23;
    • average total goals scored: 1.38 vs 0.85;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.38;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.46;
    • Villa: average total at home in the tournament -  1.67;
    • Mbarara: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.75) vs 0.9 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Villa have scored under 3.5 goals in last 40 games.
    • Villa have scored under 3.5 goals in last 35 games (Premier League).
    • Villa have scored under 3.5 goals in last 17 home games.
    • Villa have scored under 3.5 goals in last 16 home games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Villa Total goals Under (3,5) (odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.69)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/113, 14.2%);
    • Villa at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:1 (2/6, 33.3%);
    • Mbarara away most often play: 1:1 (2/6, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 15.03% (odds 8)
    2:0 - 13.01% (odds 5.5)
    2:1 - 10.09% (odds 9.5)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Mbarara won with a +2.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games against Villa (Premier League).
    • Mbarara won with a +2.5 handicap in last 7 games (Premier League).

    Mbarara Handicap (+2,5)
    Odds-172
    Published: 28/01/2026, 03:24

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    Betting Tips: Villa - Mbarara

    Villa have won:
    sc-villa-2mbarara-fcin last 6 home games against Mbarara (Premier League).
    sc-villa-2in last 5 home games (Premier League).
    Villa to Win
    Bovada
    -769
    Villa have not lost:
    sc-villa-2mbarara-fcin last 6 home games against Mbarara (Premier League).
    sc-villa-2in 11 of last 12 home games.
    sc-villa-2in 10 of last 11 home games (Premier League).
    Villa will not lose
    -10000
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    sc-villa-2mbarara-fcin 7 of last 8 Villa games against Mbarara (Premier League).
    sc-villa-2in last 18 Villa games.
    sc-villa-2in last 16 Villa games (Premier League).
    sc-villa-2in last 8 Villa home games.
    sc-villa-2in last 7 Villa home games (Premier League).
    mbarara-fcin 13 of last 15 Mbarara away games.
    mbarara-fcin 12 of last 14 Mbarara away games (Premier League).
    mbarara-fcin 8 of last 9 Mbarara games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -179
    Villa have scored:
    sc-villa-2in 14 of last 15 games (Premier League).
    sc-villa-2in 13 of last 14 games.
    Mbarara have conceded:
    mbarara-fcin 12 of last 13 away games.
    mbarara-fcin 11 of last 12 away games (Premier League).
    Villa will score goal
    -1667
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    0 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 6
    +12
    -2
    9 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    0
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    9
    6
    Conceded
    11
    2.4
    Average total per match
    2
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    4
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats