Zorya vs Chernomorets Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Zorya go into this match against Chornomorets on the back of an inconsistent run, but remain in the upper part of the table. Chornomorets have so far been unable to climb out of the relegation battle zone and have one of the weakest attacks in the league. The visitors' motivation is high - every point is critical to their survival task.

    Zorya are stronger over the long haul

    In the cup match on 23 August 2025, Chornomorets beat Zorya at home 2-1, despite the visitors having more shots on target (5-4) and significantly more shots off target (9-3).

    Across 35 official meetings, Zorya have the upper hand: 17 wins to Chornomorets' 11, with seven draws. The goal difference also favours them - 52:35.

    Head-to-head statistics Zorya - Chernomorets

    49%
    17 Wins
    20%
    7 Draws
    31%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    35
    Avg. total goals
    2.49
    Both teams scored
    40%
    1.49
    Average total
    1
    Last matches
    23.08.25
    Ukraine Cup
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    14.12.24
    Premier League
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    0
    2
    10.08.24
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    14.04.24
    Premier League
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    0
    01.11.23
    Ukraine Cup
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Zorya: a turbulent spell

    In their last Premier League match on , Zarya beat Levy Bereg away from home 3-1. They led 2-0 at half-time and had 20 shots to their opponents' 10 across the whole match, including 14 on target to four.

    Zorya have had mixed results over their last five matches: two wins, two draws and one defeat. Across their last ten games, they have five wins and three losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match - which suggests a fairly consistent attacking line compared to most mid-table sides. However, their defence is far from reliable, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

    Match Results: Zorya Lugansk

    Last matches
    12.10.26
    Premier League
    Levy Bereg Kiev
    Levy Bereg Kiev
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    -
    -
    5
    8
    16
    12
    0
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    8
    16
    12
    0
    1
    W
    04.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Kolos
    Kolos
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    Premier League
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    Dynamo Kiev
    Dynamo Kiev
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Premier League
    FSC Bukovyna Chernivtsi
    FSC Bukovyna Chernivtsi
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    -
    -
    10
    4
    9
    12
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    10
    4
    9
    12
    4
    3
    D
    09.09.26
    Ukraine Cup
    Yarud
    Yarud
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    -
    -
    1
    5
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    1
    5
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Chornomorets: struggling in attack

    Chornomorets lost their last Premier League match at home to Kharkiv , going down 1-2. The hosts managed just five shots compared to 18 from their opponents and also had a man sent off.

    Chornomorets are under pressure to get results, with their motivation driven by the fight to stay in the Premier League. Over their last five matches, the Odesa side have managed just one win, alongside two draws and two defeats, which reflects their struggles to pick up points consistently. They are averaging just 0.57 goals per game - an extremely low figure. Their attack needs to become more effective.

    Match Results: Chernomorets

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    1
    FC Kharkiv
    FC Kharkiv
    -
    -
    1
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    L
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Obolon Kiev
    Obolon Kiev
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    6
    6
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    6
    6
    D
    14.09.26
    Premier League
    Shakhtar Donetsk
    Shakhtar Donetsk
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    1
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    L
    04.09.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Levy Bereg Kiev
    Levy Bereg Kiev
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    D
    30.08.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
    Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Zorya have scored in the first half in six consecutive home head-to-head matches against the Odessa side, while Chornomorets, for their part, have conceded before half-time in 6 of their last 7 away matches (Premier League statistics only). These trends give us every reason to back a home team goal in the 1st half at odds of 1.68.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Zorya are favourites, but a run of seven UPL matches in which they have conceded in every game makes a clean-sheet win hard to count on. Chornomorets need points to achieve their main objective for the season, which pushes them to look for opportunities going forward despite their problems in front of goal. We'll take the risk of suggesting the visitors will get on the scoresheet, making Both Teams to Score - Yes our pick. Predicted score: 2-1.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-119
    Published: 16/10/2026, 13:46
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Football expert
    16
    2
    13
    31 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

    Will this prediction come true?

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    Betting Tips: Zorya Lugansk - Chernomorets

    Zorya Lugansk have won:
    fc-zorya-luganskchernomorets-odessain 7 of last 8 games against Chernomorets (Premier League).
    Chernomorets have lost:
    chernomorets-odessain 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Zorya Lugansk to Win
    Bovada
    -167
    Zorya Lugansk have won the 1st half:
    fc-zorya-luganskchernomorets-odessain last 6 home games against Chernomorets (Premier League).
    Chernomorets have lost the 1st half:
    chernomorets-odessain 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).
    1st Half Zorya Lugansk to Win
    Bovada
    +115
    Zorya Lugansk have not lost:
    fc-zorya-luganskchernomorets-odessain 19 of last 20 games against Chernomorets (Premier League).
    fc-zorya-luganskchernomorets-odessain 11 of last 12 home games against Chernomorets (Premier League).
    Chernomorets have not won:
    chernomorets-odessain 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    chernomorets-odessain 7 of last 8 games.
    Zorya Lugansk will not lose
    Everygame
    -625
    Zorya Lugansk have scored under 2.5 goals:
    fc-zorya-luganskchernomorets-odessain last 6 games against Chernomorets.
    fc-zorya-luganskin 22 of last 23 home games (Premier League).
    fc-zorya-luganskin 17 of last 19 games.
    fc-zorya-luganskin 16 of last 17 games (Premier League).
    Zorya Lugansk Total goals Under (2,5)
    -333
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 12
    +6
    -3
    8 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    8
    12
    Conceded
    11
    3
    Average total per match
    1.9
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats