Sandefjord vs Lillestrom Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 For four seasons up to December 2024, Andreas Tegström and Hans Erik Ødegaard managed Sandefjord together. Then Ødegaard took charge of relegated Lillestrøm. In less than two years, the club won promotion back to the Eliteserien, won the Norwegian Cup and reached the Europa League. Since then Tegström has been working alone, and Sandefjord sit 12th with 24 points while Lillestrøm have 33. In May, Ødegaard also got the better of him in the head-to-head - 3-1. Can Tegström turn things around at home?
Head-to-Head
Lillestrøm beat Sandefjord 3-1 in their most recent Eliteserien head-to-head. With shots almost level at 13 to 11, Lillestrøm's superiority was more apparent in shots on target (6-4) and dangerous attacks (55-32). Sandefjord finished the match with ten men.
Lillestrøm have won 15 of their 25 meetings with Sandefjord, losing four and drawing six. The goal difference also favours them at 44-22. In away matches against Sandefjord, Lillestrøm have won six of 12.
Head-to-head statistics Sandefjord - Lillestrom
Sandefjord Team Overview
In their most recent fixture, Sandefjord drew with Rosenborg 1-1, having been behind at half-time. Rosenborg had 21 shots to Sandefjord's eight, and outperformed them in expected goals by 3.08 to 0.5.
Sandefjord are just three points clear of 14th place, which would mean a relegation play-off. That gap has been built on a recent run of form: in their last eight matches, Tegström's side have lost just once - by a single goal, away at league leaders Bodø/Glimt. At home, Sandefjord have drawn with both Viking, who are level on points with them, and Brann. In the most recent round, they fell behind Rosenborg from the penalty spot early on, and early in the second half midfielder Tobias Børkeeiet was sent off after picking up two yellow cards. But Rosenborg were also reduced to ten men shortly afterwards, and Sandefjord equalised with a strike from around 23 metres - 1:1.
Match Results: Sandefjord
Lillestrom Team Overview
In their most recent Europa League match, Lillestrøm drew 1-1 with Sparta. The opponents had a clear edge in shots - 15 to 6, including 8 to 2 on target.
In their first season back, Lillestrøm are juggling two competitions and holding up well under the load. On Thursday, Eirik Hoftun's side came away from Prague with a draw against Sparta, and on Sunday they travel to Sandefjord. Before the trip to the Czech Republic, Lillestrøm came from behind at home against Molde, equalising in the 87th minute to make it 2-2. Away from home, they have been hard to beat - just one defeat in their last seven away matches. A win could lift Lillestrøm to fifth place, with Rosenborg only a point ahead of them.
Match Results: Lillestrom
Match Result Prediction
Sandefjord have beaten Lillestrøm in only 2 of their last 22 head-to-head meetings. This season the hosts have rarely won at home, managing just three victories. Lillestrøm have won five of their 12 away matches. The bet also lands in the event of a draw. The pick is Lillestrøm not to lose.
Corners Prediction
Lillestrøm are generous with corners: they have had fewer than six in only one of their last seven Eliteserien matches. We expect the visitors to reach six again here. The pick is Lillestrøm Team Total Corners - Over 5.5.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines for this match: 1-1 (11.47%), 0-1 (10.99%) and 1-0 (10.92%). A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sandefjord are rarely high-scoring at home: in 17 of their last 18 Eliteserien matches there, the combined total has been fewer than four goals. Lillestrøm's away league form follows a similar pattern - four or more goals have occurred in just one of their last ten away matches. Against this particular opponent at home, Sandefjord have been especially modest: in nine consecutive head-to-head meetings there, they have managed no more than one goal. Lillestrøm away allow themselves slightly more: in ten consecutive away Eliteserien matches they have scored no more than twice. We expect the two sides to produce no more than three goals between them. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Sandefjord - Lillestrom
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