Sagan Tosu vs Ardija Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Sagan Tosu and Omiya Ardija. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 05:00 17 October. The tournament match will take place at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium stadium in the city of Tosu. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sagan Tosu and Omiya Ardija:
- played 12 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 2, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 14 against 9;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.67, in the 2nd half - 1.25;
- average total goals in the match - 1.92.
Head-to-head statistics Sagan Tosu - Ardija

Sagan Tosu Team Overview
- 3 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Sagan Tosu stands at a mid-tier position within the J2 League standings, with a win percentage of 30% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽️Sagan Tosu has scored a total of 9 goals. On the defensive end, Sagan Tosu has allowed 12 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sagan Tosu

Omiya Ardija Team Overview
- 5 wins,
- 0 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Omiya Ardija stands at a mid-tier position within the J2 League standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 0%.
⚽Omiya Ardija has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 9 goals over the season.
Match Results: Omiya Ardija
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.67;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.42, while the visitors net 0.25.
First-Half Stats: Sagan Tosu (home) vs Omiya Ardija (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 2 (40%) vs 2 (40%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (40%);
- draws: 3 (60%) vs 1 (20%);
- Average goals scored: 0.4 vs 1.4;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.6.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 0 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 4;
- draws: 9 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.4) vs 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6).
- Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half in 10 of last 11 games.
- Sagan Tosu have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 2, draws - 6.
Statistics: Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- win percentage: 30% vs 50%;
- losses: 5 vs 0;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 0 vs 5.
- Omiya Ardija have drawn in last 3 away games (J2 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.92;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija
- average total in the tournament: 2.1 vs 2.9;
- average total goals scored: 0.9 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.3 vs 0.8;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.6 vs 1.2;
- Sagan Tosu: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Omiya Ardija: average total away in the tournament - 1.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.6) vs 1.7 (away - 1).
- Omiya Ardija have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 away games against Sagan Tosu.
Prediction on corners
Sagan Tosu: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.8; at home field - 7.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.8.
Omiya Ardija: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.7, away - 5.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 5.4.
- Sagan Tosu have taken over 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games.
Yellow Cards Bet
Sagan Tosu: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.8; at home - 0.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; at home - 1.6.
Omiya Ardija: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.4, away - 1.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Sagan Tosu at home - 2 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Omiya Ardija away - 4 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Sagan Tosu at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Omiya Ardija away - 4 (80%).
- Omiya Ardija have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Omiya Ardija have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (J2 League).
- Omiya Ardija have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (12/100, 12%), 1:1 (12/100, 12%);
- Sagan Tosu at home most often finish matches: 1:3 , 2:0 (2/5, 40%);
- Omiya Ardija away most often play: 1:1 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.56% (odds 4.2)
0:1 - 11.4% (odds 4.33)
1:1 - 11.07% (odds 6.5)
Editorial Prediction
- Omiya Ardija have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 away games against Sagan Tosu.