Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Qarabag and Neftchi Baku are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 15:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Baku at the Azersun Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Qarabag and Neftchi Baku:
- played 62 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 39, for the away team - 10, draws - 13;
- number of goals (home/away) - 126 against 47;
- average total goals in the match - 2.79.
Head-to-head statistics Qarabag - Neftchi Baku

Qarabag Team Overview
- 5 wins,
- 0 losses,
- 1 draws.
📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 83% and a loss percentage of 0%.
⚽️Qarabag has scored a total of 11 goals. On the defensive end, Qarabag has allowed 4 goals over the season.
Match Results: Qarabag

Neftchi Baku Team Overview
- 5 wins,
- 1 losses,
- 1 draws.
📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 71% and a loss percentage of 14%.
⚽Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 18 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 5 goals over the season.
Match Results: Neftchi Baku
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 62;
- home team wins - 39, away team wins - 10, draws - 13.
Statistics: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- win percentage: 83% vs 71%;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.03, the guests - 0.76;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.79;
- both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.29;
- average total goals scored: 1.83 vs 2.57;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.33 vs 1.14;
- Qarabag: average total at home in the tournament - 2.33;
- Neftchi Baku: average total away in the tournament - 2.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 2.2 (away - 1.83).
- Neftchi Baku have scored in 18 of last 20 games.
- Neftchi Baku have scored in 13 of last 14 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on corners
Qarabag: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 5.
Neftchi Baku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.71, away - 4.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 5.
- Over 7.5 corners in last 14 Qarabag games.
- Over 7.5 corners in last 6 Qarabag games (Premier League).
Yellow Cards Bet
Qarabag: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 0.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.4.
Neftchi Baku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.14, away - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 62;
- both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
Statistics: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Qarabag at home - 2 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Qarabag at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 2 (33%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (6/41, 14.6%);
- Qarabag at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:1 , 3:2 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Neftchi Baku away most often play: 0:3 , 1:0 , 1:3 , 2:3 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.94% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.19% (odds 3.75)
0:1 - 8.56% (odds 5.5)
Editorial Prediction
- Neftchi Baku scored in the 2nd half in 10 of last 11 away games (Premier League).