Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Qarabag and Neftchi Baku are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 15:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Baku at the Azersun Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Qarabag and Neftchi Baku:

    • played 62 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 39, for the away team - 10, draws - 13;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 126 against 47;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.79.

    Head-to-head statistics Qarabag - Neftchi Baku

    63%
    39 Wins
    21%
    13 Draws
    16%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    62
    Avg. total goals
    2.79
    Both teams scored
    50%
    2.03
    Average total
    0.76
    Last matches
    30.04.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    5
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    5
    3
    26.04.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    09.11.25
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    19.04.25
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    16.02.25
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Qarabag Team Overview

    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Qarabag has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 5 wins,
    • 0 losses,
    • 1 draws.

    📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 83% and a loss percentage of 0%.

    ⚽️Qarabag has scored a total of 11 goals. On the defensive end, Qarabag has allowed 4 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Qarabag

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    Premier League
    Imisli
    Imisli
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    3
    8
    7
    8
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    8
    7
    8
    1
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    FK SAFA
    FK SAFA
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    6
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    6
    0
    1
    W
    13.09.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    16
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    16
    2
    2
    D
    06.09.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    -
    -
    7
    4
    4
    11
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    7
    4
    4
    11
    1
    3
    W
    31.08.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    9
    15
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    11
    9
    15
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Neftchi Baku Team Overview

    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Neftchi Baku has engaged in 7 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 5 wins,
    • 1 losses,
    • 1 draws.

    📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 71% and a loss percentage of 14%.

    ⚽Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 18 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 5 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Neftchi Baku

    Last matches
    09.10.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Sabah
    Sabah
    -
    -
    4
    3
    17
    15
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    17
    15
    2
    3
    D
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Gabala
    Gabala
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    18
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    18
    0
    3
    W
    11.09.26
    Premier League
    Imisli
    Imisli
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    2
    7
    10
    4
    0
    1
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    10
    4
    0
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    FK SAFA
    FK SAFA
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    30.08.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    1
    -
    -
    8
    6
    1
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    1
    0
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 62;
    • home team wins - 39, away team wins - 10, draws - 13.

    Statistics: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
    • wins: 5 vs 5;
    • win percentage: 83% vs 71%;
    • losses: 0 vs 1;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 7 vs 7;
    • losses: 2 vs 2;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Qarabag to Win (odds: 1.79)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.03, the guests - 0.76;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.79;
    • both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 15.

    Statistics: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.29;
    • average total goals scored: 1.83 vs 2.57;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 1.43;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.33 vs 1.14;
    • Qarabag: average total at home in the tournament -  2.33;
    • Neftchi Baku: average total away in the tournament - 2.25;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 2.2 (away - 1.83).
    Trends
    • Neftchi Baku have scored in 18 of last 20 games.
    • Neftchi Baku have scored in 13 of last 14 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Neftchi Baku will score goal (odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on corners

    Qarabag: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5; at home field - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 5.

    Neftchi Baku: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.71, away - 4.75;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 5.
    Trends
    • Over 7.5 corners in last 14 Qarabag games.
    • Over 7.5 corners in last 6 Qarabag games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (7,5) (odds: 1.37)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    Qarabag: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 0.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.4.

    Neftchi Baku: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.14, away - 2.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.33.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 62;
    • both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 15 times.

    Statistics: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Qarabag at home - 2 (67%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Qarabag at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku away - 2 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.61)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (6/41, 14.6%);
    • Qarabag at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 3:1 , 3:2 (1/3, 33.3%);
    • Neftchi Baku away most often play: 0:3 , 1:0 , 1:3 , 2:3 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 10.94% (odds 6)
    1:0 - 10.19% (odds 3.75)
    0:1 - 8.56% (odds 5.5)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Neftchi Baku scored in the 2nd half in 10 of last 11 away games (Premier League).

    2nd half, Neftchi Baku will score goal
    Odds-122
    Published: 16/10/2026, 15:20
    Scores24 Editorial
    Scores24 Editorial
    Football Expert
    816
    0
    666
    1482 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Qarabag - Neftchi Baku

    Neftchi Baku have won:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Neftchi Baku to Win
    Bovada
    +290
    Qarabag have won:
    qarabag-fk-1in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in last 5 home games (Premier League).
    Qarabag to Win
    Bovada
    -120
    Qarabag have not lost:
    qarabag-fk-1in last 10 games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in 9 of last 10 home games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Qarabag will not lose
    -500
    Neftchi Baku have not lost:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 13 of last 14 away games (Premier League).
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 11 of last 12 games (Premier League).
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 7 of last 8 games.
    Neftchi Baku will not lose
    -116
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    +13
    22 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draw
    1
    2
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    22
    9
    Conceded
    9
    2.4
    Average total per match
    3.1
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    62'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    41'
    View all stats