Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Philadelphia Union and Charlotte open matchday 30 of MLS. The two sides sit close to each other in the middle of the table. The hosts are in impressive form - five wins in a row - while the visitors have been alternating good results with poor ones. Both teams score consistently, and their attacking numbers remain high even without a clear position to fight for in the standings.
Head-to-Head
Charlotte beat Philadelphia Union in their last MLS head-to-head meeting on 04 April 2026 - 2:1, despite being outshot 9:17 and losing the xG battle 1.25:1.57. Charlotte did have more shots on target, though - five to three.
📊 In ten head-to-head meetings, each side has won four, with two draws. Home advantage has played a clear role: Philadelphia Union have won four of their five home fixtures, while Charlotte have won three of their five.
Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - Charlotte
Philadelphia Union are on an eight-match winning streak in MLS.
Trailing Chicago Fire at half-time, Philadelphia Union came from behind to win 3-1 away in their last MLS match on 15 October 2026. The visitors outshot their opponents 19-8 and led on xG 2.09-1.12.
Philadelphia Union are in strong form: they have won all five of their last matches and are unbeaten in ten, with eight wins and two draws. Their average scoring rate over that run is 3.1 goals per game, with just 1.1 conceded, pointing to a potent attack and a reliable defence in recent weeks. Their season averages are also solid: just over two goals scored and fewer than 1.6 conceded per match. However, the absence of any clear competitive motivation suggests they may play with a more relaxed approach, free from pressure over results.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Charlotte have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six league matches.
In their last MLS match on 14 October 2026, Charlotte lost away to Columbus Crew 1-3. Despite the scores being level at half-time, the hosts created far more chances: 33 shots to nine and 3.8 xG to 0.81. Charlotte's goalkeeper made 11 saves.
Charlotte come into this match having won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games, though their form over the last ten matches looks more positive overall - five wins, two defeats and three draws. They have been scoring regularly, averaging 1.9 goals per game, but remain vulnerable defensively, with opponents finding the net at least once in almost every match and an average of 1.5 goals conceded. Away from home, Charlotte have tended to play open football, with goals going in at both ends in nearly all of their recent away matches.
Match Results: Charlotte
Total Goals Prediction
Six consecutive matches involving Philadelphia Union have gone over 2.5 goals, which reflects a clear trend. Philadelphia Union's average of goals per match over their last 10 games stands at 3.1, while Charlotte have also shown above-average scoring in their last 10 matches at 1.9 goals per game. On top of that, both sides have consistently scored and conceded more than one goal per match in recent fixtures. These figures point to a stable high-scoring pattern with a strong likelihood of three or more goals. The price on Total Goals - Over 2.5 is 1.36*.
Corners Prediction
Charlotte have taken more than 3.5 corners in five consecutive away matches against Philadelphia Union, which represents a clear trend in this market. No contradicting recent corner statistics have been identified, and the odds on the scenario repeating are 2.00*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Charlotte have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches, which directly supports a Both Teams to Score outcome. In Philadelphia Union's last 10 matches, they have conceded an average of 1.1 goals and scored 3.1, pointing to frequent goal exchanges. Charlotte's average goals conceded away from home also backs the case for both teams finding the net - 1.93 for the season and 1.83 over their last 10. The price on Both Teams to Score - Yes is 1.45*.
Risky Bet
Philadelphia Union have won eight matches in a row, which points to strong home form. However, in head-to-head meetings Charlotte often keep the deficit to a minimum, which creates a certain conflict. That said, the hosts' high scoring rate and current winning run make Philadelphia Union Handicap -1.5 at 2.35* an interesting risky option.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9.55%), 1-1 (8.23%) and 3-1 (7.02%). Of these, 2-1 has the highest probability, though the gap between the top three is small. All three outcomes reflect a scenario involving goals at both ends and a reasonable overall scoring level.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both the season statistics for each side and their recent form point to a tendency for open, high-scoring football. Particularly notable is a consistent trend from Charlotte, who regularly score and concede away from home - something borne out in six of their last seven such matches. With neither side under any real pressure in the table and Philadelphia Union's attack in bright form, an open game looks likely, with chances for both attacks to convert as the match unfolds. The pick is Total Goals - Over 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - Charlotte
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