Millwall vs Lincoln Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Millwall come into this match in inconsistent form, having won just one of their last five games. Lincoln City are also going through a difficult spell, with three consecutive defeats and a low scoring rate in attack. Neither side has much to play for in terms of the table: Millwall are seven points off the automatic promotion places, while Lincoln City are ten back, which means this fixture carries little real significance at this early stage of the season.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have never met in an official match.
Millwall have been conceding more often than they’ve been scoring lately.
Millwall lost at home to Swansea in the Championship, going down 1-0. Despite equal possession, the hosts earned 13 corners to Swansea's one and had more shots on target (4-2), but were outshot overall (8-14) and lost the expected goals battle (1.26-2.02).
In their last five matches, Millwall have won just once, drawing two and losing two. During that run, they scored 1.2 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.7, pointing to defensive problems even at home. Over the full season, Millwall score slightly more - averaging 1.6 per match - but concede at the same rate. Despite their general inconsistency, their home matches tend to be lively: the corner count trend is notable, with total corners over 10.5 landing in eight of their previous nine home games, suggesting a tendency to attack through set pieces.
Match Results: Millwall
Lincoln City are currently sitting near the bottom of the table.
Lincoln City's home Championship match against West Ham ended in a 6-0 hammering. The score was 1-0 after the first half, and by the end of the match the hosts had had two players sent off, failed to register a single shot on target, and lost the overall shot count 5-32.
Lincoln City have lost three matches in a row and managed only four wins from ten league fixtures. Their average of 0.7 goals per game this season is very modest, though one trend stands out: they have been consistent on the road, scoring in 22 of their last 24 away matches. Their defensive record is poor, however - they have been conceding around 1.7 goals per game both over their last ten matches and across the season as a whole.
Match Results: Lincoln City
Total Goals Prediction
Millwall have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in five consecutive matches, which reflects an established trend. Their seasonal average of 1.6 goals per game - and 1.8 at home - also suggests they are unlikely to exceed 2.5 goals. Over their last 10 home matches, that average drops to 1.2, which strengthens the case for this selection. The pick is Millwall Team Total - Under 2.5 at 1.33*.
Corners Prediction
Millwall have had fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 Championship matches, which supports the current trend. They have also had fewer than 4.5 corners in 7 consecutive matches, which strengthens the case for the low line on corners. We're backing Millwall Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 2.08*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:0 (11.46%), 1:1 (11.32%) and 2:1 (9.73%). All three scenarios have fairly similar probabilities, though a narrow win for Millwall is given a slight edge. This reflects the expected low scoring and the relative balance between the two sides.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
Reliable Bet
Millwall are solid at home, and Lincoln City have not won away from home once this season. Millwall's home record (2 wins at home this season) and Lincoln City's lack of away victories support a high probability that the hosts will not lose. We're backing Double Chance - Millwall (1X) at 1.14*.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Neither side is showing much efficiency at either end - their average scoring rates hover between one and one-and-a-half goals per game, with similar numbers conceded. The key factor, however, is Lincoln City's consistent run of scoring away from home, a trend backed up by recent seasons even with the visitors' current attacking struggles. With no strong league position motivation evident for either team, the main prediction is Lincoln City Team Total - Over 0.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Millwall - Lincoln City
in 22 of last 24 away games.
in 9 of last 10 Millwall home games (Championship).in last 9 games (Championship).in last 5 away games (Championship).in last 7 Lincoln City games (Championship).in last 5 Lincoln City away games (Championship).Comparison of Teams Stats
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