Aberdeen vs St Mirren Prediction & H2H Stats 17 October 2026
🔊 Both sides come into this match with moderate motivation: Aberdeen and St Mirren are three and one point respectively behind the leading group, so both still have a chance to close the gap. In recent matches, the hosts have tended to draw or lose, while the visitors have been inconsistent despite their slight advantage in the table. At this early stage of the season, every point matters in terms of staying in touch with the top, which adds some interest to this fixture.
Aberdeen dominate on home turf
St Mirren beat Aberdeen away in the Premiership, 2-0. Aberdeen had more of the ball (58%) and earned six corners to one, but were outshot on target 1-5.
📊 Across 55 official meetings, Aberdeen have won 21, St Mirren 17, with 17 draws. Aberdeen's advantage is particularly pronounced at home: 14 wins from 29 games, with five defeats.
Head-to-head statistics Aberdeen - St Mirren
Aberdeen: the team's inconsistency
Aberdeen lost 1-0 to St Johnstone at home in the Premiership, despite having 22 shots to their opponents' five and 13 corners to two. None of Aberdeen's five shots on target resulted in a goal.
Aberdeen's form has been inconsistent: just two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last eight matches. Over their last ten games, they have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per match. In the shorter term, their scoring rate drops further, down to an average of 0.88 goals per game this season. Despite playing at home, the team have struggled to convert chances consistently, which is also reflected in a run of home matches featuring a high number of corners - an indirect sign of difficulties in the final stages of their attacking play.
Match Results: Aberdeen
St Mirren: the side have lost their form
St Mirren suffered a heavy away defeat to Hearts in the Premiership, losing 5-0. Despite possession being almost even, the visitors were outshot on target 1-6 and lost the expected goals battle 0.71-3.15.
St Mirren sit just above their opponents in the table and are also pushing for a place among the leading sides. However, they have lost four of their last five matches, winning just once in that run. Their average of 0.9 goals scored across their last ten matches is low, while they have been conceding at a rate of 2 goals per game over that same period; the seasonal figure is slightly better - an average of one goal conceded per game across eight rounds. This points to difficulties at both ends of the pitch: their attacking output is limited and the defence does not always hold up under pressure.
Match Results: St. Mirren
Total Goals Prediction
St Mirren have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in five consecutive matches, which is consistent with their current trend. Their seasonal average is exactly 1 goal per game, and over their last 10 matches it stands at 0.9. These figures point to a sustained low-scoring output from the visitors. We're backing St Mirren Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.32*
Corners Prediction
Aberdeen have taken more than 5.5 corners at home in 7 of their last 8 matches - a strong home trend that points to consistent attacking activity at their own ground and supports the line selection. We're backing Aberdeen Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at odds of 1.66*.
Reliable Bet
St Mirren have covered the +1.5 handicap in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings between these two sides, a trend supported by both long-term and recent evidence. This line is backed by consistent results in their direct encounters. We're backing St Mirren Handicap (+1.5) at 1.28*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-0 (15.53%), 1-1 (11.07%) and 0-0 (10.13%). All three scorelines fit a low-scoring scenario and carry similar probabilities, though 1-0 stands out slightly as the most likely. The probability distribution between the options is fairly close.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams have been struggling with finishing and consistency of results: neither side stands out for high scoring or defensive reliability during the early part of the season. Their shared aim of staying close to the Champions League places adds to a cautious mood - neither is particularly willing to take unnecessary risks at this stage. A further indication of low scoring is the trend from St Mirren's side: Total Goals - Under 2.5 has come in in six of their last seven away league matches. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Aberdeen - St. Mirren
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