Torpedo vs Veles Prediction 17 September 2026
🔉 The headline match of round 12 in the First League takes place in Khimki, where Torpedo Moscow host Veles. The visitors have slipped off second place after being overtaken by Sochi, while the hosts failed to beat Nizhny Novgorod and have yet to break into the top four. The match is of major importance to both sides, as each has promotion as their goal.
Head-to-Head
📊 Torpedo Moscow and Veles have met six times in official matches. Torpedo have won four, Veles one, with one draw. Torpedo have scored 17 goals, Veles 7. On average, the two sides have scored 1.83 goals per first half and 2.17 per second half, giving an overall match average of 4 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Torpedo - Veles
Torpedo Moscow Team Overview
After a difficult start, Torpedo picked up momentum and won four consecutive First League matches. Nizhny Novgorod ended that run, but even in defeat Torpedo looked decent: their opponents dropped their usual style and sat back, and the difference was made by a contentious penalty. The problem is that the gap to the leaders has grown to nine points. That said, Torpedo's attack is one of the best in the league - 20 goals scored, with only Nizhny Novgorod having more. In their last five matches the team created 30 chances and recorded 10.81 xG. Alexei Kashtanov has hit form and scored five goals in his last four matches.
Match Results: Torpedo Moscow
Veles Moscow Team Overview
Veles have been the standout story of the season's opening weeks. Having only just been promoted to the First League, they sit third, having beaten the main favourites Nizhny Novgorod 3-2. But recent rounds have not gone their way: despite an xG of 2.59, they managed just one goal against Ufa (1-1), then lost to Sochi (1-2) following a series of serious errors by goalkeeper Kuptsov. It is the first time this season that Veles have dropped points in two consecutive matches. Away from home, the Moscow Region club have been noticeably less convincing: across five away matches they have two wins, two defeats and a draw. The toughest opponent on that run was Yenisey, who beat them 4-1. The return from suspension of Smirnov and Kolосkov will strengthen the defence, but injuries to Murza and Kotov limit the options available.
Match Results: Veles Moscow
Prediction for the 1st half
Torpedo Moscow regularly score in the first half of their home matches: they have done so in 7 of their last 8 home games. On top of that, Torpedo Moscow average 1.8 goals per home match this season. These figures make Torpedo Moscow Team Total - Over 0.5 in the First Half worth considering at 1.64*.
Total Goals Prediction
Veles have been playing extremely low-scoring away matches: Total Goals - Under 3.5 came in 16 of their last 17 away games. On average, Veles score just 0.8 goals per away game this season, while Torpedo Moscow concede 1.2 goals per home game. The statistics for both sides point towards a low-scoring match, making the Total Goals - Under 3.5 bet at odds of 1.3 a reasonable one.
Reliable Bet
Torpedo Moscow have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches, which points to a strong trend. Over the course of the season the team average 2 goals per match, and 1.8 at home. This makes Torpedo Moscow Team Total - Over 0.5 at 1.11* the most reliable bet.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1:0 (12.99%), 2:0 (10.59%) and 2:1 (10.52%). The 1:0 is the most probable outcome, though the gap between the three leading options is fairly small. All three reflect an expectation of moderate scoring and an advantage for Torpedo Moscow.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Torpedo lost a crucial match against Nizhny Novgorod, but they didn't lose their game. The team are still creating chances, and Kashtanov is in excellent form. Veles are inconsistent away from home, and their recent results suggest luck has turned against the Moscow region club. Torpedo are also aggressive at home, and Storozhuk knows how to prepare for opponents who don't change their style. Veles are exactly that kind of team. We're backing a Torpedo win.
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Betting Tips: Torpedo Moscow - Veles Moscow
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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