Al Fateh vs Al-Ahli Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 October 2026
📢 Al-Fateh have had a poor season so far and head into matchday 8 of the Pro League sitting in 15th place. Al-Ahli are considerably higher up in sixth, though they too are looking to gradually close the gap on the leading group. The difference between the two sides is visible not only in the table but also in squad quality, where the advantage lies with the visitors.
Head-to-Head
Al-Ahli beat Al-Fateh 3-1 in their Pro League meeting on 06 May 2026. With corners and fouls level, the hosts were significantly superior in shots - 20 to 12 - and expected goals - 4.85 to 1.38.
Across 28 official meetings, Al-Ahli have won 16 to Al-Fateh's seven, with five draws. The goal difference also favours Al-Ahli - 56:31 - though on Al-Fateh's ground the win record is much closer: 7:6.
Head-to-head statistics Al Fateh - Al-Ahli
Al Fateh Team Overview
Al-Fateh's last Pro League match 13 September 2026 ended in a 2-4 away defeat to Neom. The score was level at 1-1 at half-time; Al-Fateh had fewer shots overall but more on target - seven to six - yet it wasn't enough to win.
Al-Fateh have had a difficult start to the season, picking up just three points and sitting 15th in the table. Across their last ten matches, they have managed only one win, drawing four and losing five. The problems in attack are particularly noticeable: Al-Fateh are averaging just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4. There has been no improvement in their most recent matches either - after three consecutive draws, the team have lost their last two. Their low scoring rate remains one of the main reasons Al-Fateh are struggling to climb out of the bottom of the table.
Match Results: Al Fateh
Al Ahli Jeddah Team Overview
Al-Ahly's away match at the FIFA Intercontinental Cup on 19 September 2026 ended in a 1-2 defeat to Mamelodi Sundowns. After an even first half, they conceded the decisive goal; they were outplayed in possession - 32% to 68% - and in shots - 8 to 13.
After seven rounds, Al-Ahli have 12 points and sit sixth in the table, nine points ahead of their opponents. In their last ten matches they have won five, and over a shorter run they have won three of their last five. Al-Ahli are considerably more effective going forward, averaging 2 goals per game. Their defence, however, is not particularly reliable - over the same period they are conceding an average of 2 goals per game, which means their matches often tend to be open affairs.
Match Results: Al Ahli Jeddah
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 matches, Al-Fateh have seen fewer than 3.5 goals, which points to a consistent low-scoring trend. Al-Fateh are a notably low-scoring side - averaging 0.57 goals per game this season and 0.33 at home - and have also frequently managed fewer than 1.5 goals, doing so in 8 of their last 9 matches. Their opponents Al-Ahli are not always prolific away from home either, averaging 1 goal per game on the road this season. On that basis, the bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.77* looks reasonable.
Corners Prediction
Al-Fateh have won more than 2.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 Pro League matches. That consistent run points to a high potential for corners from this side. The bet on Al-Fateh Team Total Corners - Over 2.5 at 1.32* looks quite reliable.
Reliable Bet
Al-Fateh have failed to win in 11 of their last 12 Pro League matches and have not won a single game this season - either at home or overall. Al-Ahli have been considerably more successful, with 4 wins this season, 3 of them at home. Given these conditions, the Double Chance (Al-Ahli not to lose) at 1.1* is backed up by both the statistics and the current trend.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 0-1 (14.49%), 1-1 (10.3%) and 0-2 (8.86%). Our editorial team expects the scoreline to read 0-2.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers do not expect Al-Ahli to have much trouble in this match, and it is hard to disagree. The visitors are considerably stronger in terms of squad quality, while Al-Fateh sit in the lower half of the table and have yet to show any consistent form. Given that gap in level, Al-Ahli should be able to control the game and win comfortably. Our pick is Al-Ahli - Handicap (-1).
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