Real Madrid vs Monaco Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Real Madrid secure their spot among the Champions League's elite eight? With just a couple of matches left in the group stage for each team, every point is now worth its weight in gold. On Tuesday, Real Madrid host Monaco in what promises to be a pivotal clash for both sides. The "Royal Club" are eager to avoid any unnecessary playoff encounters and aim to solidify their position in the top eight, while the French side still face the risk of missing out on the knockout stages. You'll find our prediction for this game in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These rivals haven't faced each other in the past 20 years.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    1
    Total Goals Avg
    7
    Both teams scored
    100%
    6
    Total average
    1
    10
    Corner
    6
    1
    Yellow cards
    1
    9
    Fouls
    11
    Last matches
    20.01.26
    UCL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Monaco
    Monaco
    3.43
    1.78
    10
    6
    9
    11
    1
    1
    6
    1
    2
    0
    4
    1
    3.43
    1.78
    10
    6
    9
    11
    1
    1
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    ⚪ The appointment of a new head coach at Real Madrid has been one of the main football stories of the past week. Álvaro Arbeloa is set to lead Los Blancos forward, while Xabi Alonso has been dismissed by the Spanish club as if he was never there. The decision is, to put it mildly, controversial, but as they say, it's not for us to decide. Real's current opponent also changed their coach during the tournament and, judging by the results, the management has likely regretted it ten times over.

    🟡 Real Madrid are performing well in the Champions League, sitting in 7th place in the standings with four wins and two losses. In the latest UCL round, they suffered a defeat against Manchester City (1-2). Both teams were evenly matched, and the result could have gone either way, but that's how it turned out. In La Liga, Álvaro Arbeloa's squad won their previous match against Levante (2-0), closing the gap to leaders Barcelona to just one point.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
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    Monaco Team Overview

    🔴 AS Monaco's "fairytale" under their not-so-new coach Sébastien Pocognoli continues with the promise of building a European powerhouse, but that's a story for another day. The current reality sees the Monegasques struggling in Ligue 1, sliding down the standings as they suffer defeat after defeat. For now, the French Cup offers some respite for the head coach, but that's hardly a strong argument in his favor.

    ⚪ In the Champions League, Monaco find themselves in 19th place, and a loss in the upcoming match would put their playoff hopes, as well as next year's participation, in serious jeopardy. In their last UCL outing, the Monegasques managed a narrow home victory against Galatasaray (1-0), delivering an unconvincing performance with a missed penalty and just 42% possession.

    Match Results: Monaco

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    5
    4
    1
    3
    4
    1
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Real Madrid

    🎙 Former Real Madrid midfielder Benito has commented on the boos directed at Vinicius from the stands, as some fans partly blame him for Xabi Alonso's departure from the team. "Vinicius is a player who always stands out. He's faced very challenging situations at Real. It's surprising that so much attention is focused on him when the issue is more widespread," stated Benito.

    ❌ Real Madrid are dealing with injuries ahead of their match against Monaco, affecting players to varying degrees. Missing the upcoming clash with Monaco are Rodrygo, Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, and Trent Alexander-Arnold. Alvaro Carreras will also be absent due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

    Monaco

    ❌ Monaco face a host of injuries ahead of their upcoming clash with Real Madrid: Mohammed Salisu, Paul Pogba, Takumi Minamino, Lukas Hradecky, Wout Faes, Luka Mishael, and Pape Cabral are all sidelined. The timeline for their return remains uncertain.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Espen Andreas Eskås from Norway. Over the span of 100 matches, he averages 3.39 yellow cards per game, with 21 fouls. In the Champions League, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Real Madrid averages 2.3 per game, while Monaco averages 1.8. Both teams have not been heavily penalized with warnings this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 5.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Real Madrid's individual total in the Champions League averages 2.2 goals per match, while Monaco averages 1.2. The goal-scoring rate in matches involving these teams is quite high: the hosts average 3.3, and the visitors 2.5. Given these statistics, we recommend considering a bet on total match goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In their six Champions League matches, Real Madrid averages 4.6 corners per game, while Monaco averages 5.2. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner and show above-average statistics for the tournament, so we suggest betting on total corners over 8.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    Monaco are clearly in a slump, having lost seven of their last eight Ligue 1 matches. Although they had some victories in the Champions League, those games were played quite a while ago, and we're focusing on their current form here. Real Madrid are doing well, securing wins in their last three home games with an aggregate scoreline of 9-1. We predict the hosts will clinch a victory with a score of 3-1, and for this match, we've chosen to bet on Real Madrid with a -1.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Real Madrid Handicap (-1.5) at odds of -130*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 January 2026, 13:05)

    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Monaco

    Real Madrid have won
    real-madrid-1in 14 of last 16 home games.
    Real Madrid Win
    Everygame
    -333
    Real Madrid have not lost
    real-madrid-1in 19 of last 21 home games.
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -1250
    Real Madrid have scored
    real-madrid-1in 24 of last 25 home games.
    real-madrid-1in last 9 games.
    Monaco have conceded
    as-monaco-1in 16 of last 17 away games.
    Real Madrid will score goal
    -3333
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    real-madrid-1in 12 of last 13 Real Madrid home games.
    as-monaco-1in last 9 Monaco games.
    as-monaco-1in last 5 Monaco games (Champions League).
    in 13 of last 14 Espen Andreas Eskas games.
    in last 7 Espen Andreas Eskas games (in the Champions League).
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    MyBookie
    -200
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Monaco Table position

    UEFA Champions League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    851215-916
    9.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    850321-1215
    10.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    850315-715
    20.
    Galatasaray Istanbul
    Galatasaray Istanbul
    83149-1110
    21.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    82428-1410
    22.
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    831413-2110

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 13
    +4
    +2
    20 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    20
    13
    Conceded
    18
    3
    Match goals average
    3.8
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats