PSV vs Bayern Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Do PSV stand a chance? Arguably, they face the toughest challenge in the race for the playoffs in the final round. Bayern, who suffered their first Bundesliga defeat over the weekend, are visiting the Philips Stadion. They are unlikely to lose two matches in a row, even with their Champions League objectives already secured. This will be an extremely difficult task for the Eindhoven side, given their current form, which we will discuss in detail in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last time these teams faced off was in the 2016/17 Champions League season. In Group D, Bayern secured two victories: 4-1 in Munich and 2-1 in Eindhoven.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    100%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    3.67
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1
    Total average
    2.67
    1.33
    Yellow cards
    1
    Last matches
    28.01.26
    UCL
    PSV
    PSV
    1
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    0.76
    2.09
    5
    6
    11
    10
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.76
    2.09
    5
    6
    11
    10
    4
    2
    01.11.16
    UCL
    PSV Eindhoven
    PSV Eindhoven
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    19.10.16
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    PSV Eindhoven
    PSV Eindhoven
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    Empty
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    PSV Team Overview

    🔴 Last week, Peter Bosz's team traveled to England and suffered a comprehensive defeat against Newcastle (0-3) - a match where they showed no initiative. After seven rounds, the Eindhoven side are in 22nd place with 8 points and risk missing out on the playoffs if they fail to beat Bayern and their rivals secure points in their matches.

    ⚪ In the Eredivisie, PSV are comfortably leading with a significant 14-point advantage over Feyenoord after 20 rounds. However, on Saturday, they unexpectedly dropped points in a home game against second-to-last Breda (2-2), which clearly reflects the current form of Bosz's squad ahead of their clash with the Munich machine.

    Match Results: PSV

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Twente
    Twente
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    PSV
    PSV
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    PSV
    PSV
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    D
    23.04.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    6
    1
    1
    0
    5
    1
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    W
    11.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Sparta
    Sparta
    PSV
    PSV
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    W
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    Bayern Munich Team Overview

    🔴 The Munich side comfortably defeated Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0, thanks to a second-half brace from Kane. Bayern are in second place, trailing Arsenal by three points. Kompany's team have secured a spot in the Round of 16, but haven't locked in the second position yet. A loss at "Philips" could see Real Madrid and Liverpool level on points, leaving goal difference to decide the standings.

    ⚪ In the Bundesliga, Bayern suffered their first defeat in 19 matches-and it was a home loss-falling to underdogs Augsburg 2-1. While this is unlikely to shake their standing, the gap to Dortmund has now narrowed to eight points. A team like Bayern rarely loses twice in a row, so there will be no underestimating the opponent in Eindhoven.

    Match Results: Bayern Munich

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Cologne
    Cologne
    2.98
    0.65
    5
    5
    6
    4
    1
    1
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2.98
    0.65
    5
    5
    6
    4
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    1.47
    2.18
    13
    5
    6
    7
    3
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.47
    2.18
    13
    5
    6
    7
    3
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    PSV

    🎙 Peter Bosz criticized his team's performance after the match against Breda: "In the first fifteen minutes, I was genuinely wondering: what am I seeing? We couldn't even string three passes together properly. That speaks for itself. As the game progressed, it got slightly better, but overall, it was just a poor performance from us. It's the first time since Telstar that I feel we were truly incompetent."

    ❌ Jarek Gasirowski will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Myron Boadu, Nick Olij, Ricardo Pepi, Alassane Pléa, Anass Salah-Eddine, Guus Til, and Ruben van Bommel are sidelined with injuries.

    Bayern Munich

    🎙 Vincent Kompany on Bayern's first league defeat: "Congratulations to Augsburg. There are matches where the opponent plays well, and right now, we're in a very intense part of the season-five games in 13 days. From experience, I know anything can happen during such periods. We tried, but in the second half, we couldn't bring the energy onto the pitch. This gave Augsburg the chance to be dangerous. We've had many victories here and often reasons to celebrate, but now we've lost, and we need to accept that. The hunger for victory is always there-that's not the issue. Sometimes you just don't play your best on a given day. People often say the Bundesliga is easy, but we know from our own experience that's not true. We shouldn't question everything now-we just have to accept that today wasn't our day. However, what's crucial is not what we say, but how we react on the field. It's not a guarantee, but we know what we need to do."

    ❌ Kim Min-jae will miss the match due to a red card against Union. Serge Gnabry and Raphael Guerreiro might also be unavailable. Konrad Laimer is injured, and Dayot Upamecano is ill. Sacha Boey and Josip Stanišić have returned to training, but their participation remains uncertain.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by João Pinheiro. Over his last 10 matches, the Portuguese referee has averaged 5.2 yellow cards per game. Both teams have averaged 2.1 yellow cards per match after seven rounds. Therefore, we are backing Bayern's individual total to exceed 1 yellow card - a bet that has come through in Bayern's last four matches.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Just as Bayern rarely lose back-to-back games, they seldom finish a match without scoring at least two goals - this has occurred only twice in their last 31 matches. Considering PSV's defensive struggles, our pick is Bayern to score over 1.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    PSV averages 5 corners per match, while Bayern averages 4.4. We're going with under 10.5 total corners, a bet that has paid off in seven of Bayern's Champions League games.

    Editorial Prediction

    Can football be unfair? Perhaps, especially when an underdog like PSV, desperately needing points, faces a visit from Bayern, a favorite that has essentially secured their tournament position. That's football: points should have been secured in earlier rounds to avoid such uncertainty in the final match.

    The hosts might find the net, but we doubt PSV can claim all three points - the gap in quality is too significant. Thus, we predict a Bayern victory. Expected scoreline - 3-1.

    Our choice
    Bayern Munich Win at odds of -167*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 January 2026, 10:53)

    Betting Tips: PSV - Bayern Munich

    Bayern Munich have won
    bayern-munich-1in 6 of last 7 games (Champions League).
    bayern-munich-1in last 5 away games.
    Bayern Munich Win
    MyBookie
    -111
    PSV have not lost
    psv-eindhoven-2in 9 of last 10 home games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    PSV will not lose
    MyBookie
    -125
    Bayern Munich have not lost
    bayern-munich-1in 15 of last 16 away games.
    bayern-munich-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    bayern-munich-1in 7 of last 8 games (Champions League).
    Bayern Munich will not lose
    MyBookie
    -455
    PSV have conceded
    psv-eindhoven-2in 15 of last 17 home games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 11 games (Champions League).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 8 of last 9 games.
    Bayern Munich have scored
    bayern-munich-1in last 31 games.
    bayern-munich-1in last 16 away games.
    bayern-munich-1in last 11 games (Champions League).
    Bayern Munich will score goal
    -1667
    View more facts

    PSV - Bayern Table position

    UEFA Champions League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    880023-424
    2.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    870122-821
    3.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    860220-818
    27.
    Union Saint-Gilloise
    Union Saint-Gilloise
    83058-179
    28.
    PSV
    PSV
    822416-168
    29.
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    82249-148

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 30
    Conceded - 18
    +12
    +13
    31 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    30
    Scored
    31
    18
    Conceded
    18
    4.8
    Match goals average
    4.9
    3
    Goals scored per match on average
    3.1
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    9
    Both teams scored
    7
    30'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    29'
    View all stats