PSG vs Newcastle Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Will PSG finish the Champions League group stage in the top 8? On Wednesday, the Parisians host Newcastle. Both teams currently sit among the top eight, granting them a pass from the playoff knockout rounds, but their positions are precarious, and a loss could see them slip down the standings. Let's delve into this match in more detail and make an insightful prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These opponents have faced each other only twice, both encounters taking place in the 2023 Champions League. In those matchups, Newcastle appeared more assured-the English club secured a home victory (4-1) and managed a draw away (1-1).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    67%
    2 Draws
    33%
    1 Win
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1
    Total average
    2
    6.33
    Corner
    1.33
    3.33
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    10.33
    Fouls
    10
    Last matches
    28.01.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    2.95
    1
    5
    1
    8
    8
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2.95
    1
    5
    1
    8
    8
    0
    1
    28.11.23
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    -
    -
    6
    2
    14
    7
    6
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    14
    7
    6
    3
    04.10.23
    UCL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    1
    8
    15
    9
    3
    4
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    8
    15
    9
    3
    4
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 In the Champions League, PSG were in solid form until the previous round when Luis Enrique's side unexpectedly fell to Sporting away (1-2). This result didn't reflect the flow of the match but has added some unnecessary complications for the Parisians. Currently, the French club sits in 6th place in the standings with 13 points, which might not be enough to secure a spot in the top 8.

    🔴 In Ligue 1, PSG recently edged out Auxerre with a modest 1-0 victory. This win, combined with Lens's slip-up, has allowed the Parisians to reclaim the top spot in the Ligue 1 table for the first time in a month and a half. With spirits high, Luis Enrique's men head into the final round of the Champions League group stage.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    UCL
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    3
    2.15
    0.43
    11
    3
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    Newcastle United Team Overview

    ⚫ Newcastle are holding their own in the Champions League group stage, confidently competing among the elite in the standings. The Magpies have the same 13 points as PSG, so their situation and objectives are quite similar. In the previous round, the English side hosted PSV and left no room for doubt, securing a 3-0 victory.

    ⚪ In the English Premier League, things aren't going as smoothly for Newcastle. Any hopes of contending for the title are long gone, and now they risk missing out on European competition altogether. In their most recent Premier League match, the Magpies faced one of the league's frontrunners, Aston Villa, and suffered a 0-2 defeat. Quite a stark contrast compared to their previous Champions League performance.

    Match Results: Newcastle United

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Fulham
    Fulham
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.73
    0.35
    6
    6
    13
    6
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.73
    0.35
    6
    6
    13
    6
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    1.5
    1.42
    9
    1
    8
    11
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    1.42
    9
    1
    8
    11
    1
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    D
    02.05.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    2.3
    1.46
    2
    10
    10
    12
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.3
    1.46
    2
    10
    10
    12
    3
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    0.85
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    10
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.85
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    10
    2
    2
    L
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    Latest news

    Paris Saint-Germain

    🎙 PSG head coach Luis Enrique shared his thoughts on the upcoming match. "We're participating in a competition we enjoy, and that's a good thing. Today's training session was at a very high level. This competition is crucial for the club. My focus is on reaching the top eight and winning against a very strong team. It will be tough. This is a pivotal moment in the season, but the upcoming matches will be even more crucial," stated the PSG manager.

    ❌ PSG face some injury setbacks ahead of their match against Newcastle. Out indefinitely due to various injuries are Matvey Safonov (broken arm) who has started training, Quentin N'Janto (muscle injury), and Kang-in Lee (hip injury). Additionally, Droe Fernandez will miss the match as a tactical decision by the coach.

    Newcastle United

    ❌ The participation of two Brazilians in the upcoming match is in doubt due to recent injuries: Bruno (ankle injury) and Joelinton (muscle injury). Newcastle will definitely be without Emil Krafth, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schär, and Mark Gillespie against PSG, as they remain sidelined for an extended period, continuing their recovery from previous injuries.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by Slavko Vincic from Slovenia. Over his last 100 matches, he averages 3.97 yellow cards per game, with 25 fouls. In this season's Champions League, PSG average 0.9 yellow cards per game, while Newcastle average 1.6. Both teams have received few warnings this season, so we suggest a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    PSG's individual total in the Champions League averages 2.9 goals per match, while Newcastle's is 2.3. The goal-scoring in matches involving these teams is notably high: the hosts average 4.3 and the visitors 3.1. Considering these stats, we recommend a bet on total match goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    This Champions League season, PSG average 7 corners per game, while Newcastle average 5.6 in the same period. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner and show above-average stats for the tournament, so we suggest betting on total corners over 8.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Two exciting, high-scoring teams are set to clash as they aim to finish in the top eight of the Champions League group stage, avoiding extra matches in the process. Both sides clearly have one goal in mind-win at all costs. Given their scoring form this season, we anticipate a goal-filled encounter and suggest betting on over 2.5 goals. Playing at home, PSG should have the edge, and we predict the hosts will secure a 3-1 victory.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -217*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 January 2026, 15:07)

    Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United

    Under 4.5 goals scored
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 8 Paris Saint-Germain games.
    newcastle-unitedin 15 of last 16 Newcastle United away games.
    newcastle-unitedin 13 of last 15 Newcastle United games.
    newcastle-unitedin last 7 Newcastle United games (Champions League).
    in 9 of last 10 Slavko Vincic games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -303
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored
    paris-saint-germain-1in 14 of last 15 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 11 of last 12 games (Champions League).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Newcastle United have conceded
    newcastle-unitedin 9 of last 10 away games.
    Paris Saint-Germain will score goal
    -1667
    Over 2.5 goals scored
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 Paris Saint-Germain games (Champions League).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 Paris Saint-Germain home games.
    newcastle-unitedin 6 of last 7 Newcastle United games (Champions League).
    in 6 of last 7 Slavko Vincic games.
    Total goals Over (2.5)
    -256
    Paris Saint-Germain scored in the 2nd half
    paris-saint-germain-1in 13 of last 14 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 games (Champions League).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    2nd half, Paris Saint-Germain will score goal
    -345
    View more facts

    PSG - Newcastle Table position

    UEFA Champions League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    850321-1215
    10.
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    850315-715
    11.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    842221-1114
    12.
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    842217-714
    13.
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    834114-1013
    14.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    841317-1513

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 12
    +8
    -6
    13 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    13
    12
    Conceded
    19
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.2
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats