Marseille vs Newcastle Prediction 25 November 2025
🔊 Can Marseille leap into the Champions League playoff spots after their clash with Newcastle? On Tuesday, these teams will face off at the Orange Vélodrome in the fifth round of the UCL. Despite Marseille's reputation as a strong home team, bookmakers have made their opponents slight favorites. Let's delve deeper into this matchup. Read our analytical piece for a prediction on the game's outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past 20 years, these teams haven't faced each other and are gearing up for their first encounter in modern history.
Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Newcastle
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
🔵 Marseille are typically strong at home: this season, across all competitions, the "white and blues" have suffered just one defeat on their own turf - a 0-1 loss to Atalanta. In their other matches, they've secured five wins and drawn once. In the Champions League, Roberto De Zerbi's side have only one victory, but it was a remarkable 4-0 triumph at home against Ajax.
⚪ In the French Championship, Marseille are one of the main contenders challenging PSG for the title - the gap between them is just two points, with the "southerners" trailing. In their last two Ligue 1 rounds, Roberto De Zerbi's team secured emphatic victories, defeating Brest 3-0 and Nice 5-1.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Newcastle United Team Overview
⚫ Newcastle are off to a strong start in the Champions League group stage. Their only setback came in the opening match against Barcelona, losing 2-1. Since then, they've secured three clean-sheet victories. Their opponents were no pushovers, but the Magpies have found their stride on the international stage. With nine points, Eddie Howe's side sit comfortably in the top six of the Champions League standings.
⚪ In the domestic league, Newcastle's form has been less consistent, despite showing flashes of promise. After 12 matches, Eddie Howe's men find themselves in 14th place, even though they recently managed an impressive 2-1 victory over Manchester City. Overall, the team lacks stability, struggling to string together consecutive wins for quite some time.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Olympique Marseille
❌ Marseille's injury list is overflowing - the team faces numerous absences, though not all affect the starting lineup. Among those definitely sidelined are Facundo Medina, Michael Murillo, Amine Gouiri, and Nayef Aguerd.
Newcastle United
🎙 Eddie Howe summed up the victory over Manchester City and emphasized the need to move forward. "This is an important result for us, something we definitely needed after a few disappointing outcomes. We had to be involved in this game. Scoring in the second half means a lot to us-three points." He added, "This is football, and the quicker you move on from missed opportunities, the faster you recover, so we have to forget about it and keep going," Howe stated at the press conference.
❌ Newcastle face uncertainty over the availability of three players-William Osula, Lewis Hall, and Anthony Gordon. They are all in recovery from various injuries sustained in recent matches. There's no definitive information yet on whether we'll see them back on the pitch!
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Maurizio Mariani from Italy. Over a span of 100 matches, he averages 4.01 yellow cards per game, with 24 fouls. In the Champions League, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Marseille averages 2.8 per game, while Newcastle averages 1. In the UCL, the "white and blues" receive significantly more cautions than their opponents, so we suggest betting on Marseille to win the yellow card count.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Marseille's individual total in the Champions League averages 1.5 goals per match, while Newcastle's stands at 2.5. The goal-scoring averages for our teams are as follows: the hosts at 2.8, and the visitors at 3. Considering this data, we recommend a bet on the match total over 2.5 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In their last four Champions League matches, Marseille averages 2.8 corners per game, whereas Newcastle averages 6.3. It's evident that the "Magpies" earn set pieces from the corner much more frequently, so we suggest betting on the visitors to win the corner count.
Editor's Prediction
While Newcastle have secured more victories in this season's Champions League, their inconsistency is evident in their domestic league performances. Marseille are formidable at home and rarely falter in front of their fans. In their recent Ligue 1 outings, the southern side have delivered dominant performances, and we anticipate a similar outcome against Newcastle, predicting a 2-1 victory for Marseille. For our main bet on this match, we've opted for a more cautious approach - the hosts will not lose.
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Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United
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in last 12 Newcastle United games.
in 11 of last 12 Maurizio Mariani games.
in 13 of last 14 games.in 11 of last 12 home games.in last 12 games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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