Man City vs Dortmund Prediction 5 November 2025
🔊 Can Dortmund withstand Haaland? In the third round of the Champions League group stage, Manchester City host Borussia Dortmund. Both teams enter the match unbeaten in the tournament, but they have dropped points and currently hold the same number of them. Both clubs are chasing the leaders in their respective leagues, but on Wednesday, the focus will be on the battle to see which team can reach 10 points. Who is closer to this goal and who has the better odds? We break it down in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The clubs have faced each other six times: City have claimed three victories, Borussia have won once, and two matches ended in draws. Their most recent encounter was in Group G of the old Champions League format during the 2022/2023 season. In the first meeting, City secured a 2-1 win at the Etihad, while a goalless draw was recorded in Dortmund.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Manchester City Team Overview
🏆 In the previous round, Manchester City secured a solid victory in Spain against Villarreal (2-0). Erling Haaland and Bernardo Silva found the net in the first half, with assists from Rico Lewis and Savinho. Earlier, the English club had drawn with Monaco (2-2), and in their opening match, they handled Napoli (2-0). The Citizens currently sit 7th in the overall standings with a goal difference of 6:2. A win in the upcoming match could propel Guardiola's side into the top five.
🔵 Following their clash with Villarreal, City fell to Aston Villa (0-1) in the Premier League, but bounced back last weekend with a victory over Bournemouth (3-1). In the English championship, the Citizens are in second place, trailing Arsenal by six points. Guardiola's squad is also performing well in the EFL Cup: they defeated Championship side Swansea (3-1) in the Round of 16 and will face Brentford in the quarter-finals. The club's main attacking threat is Erling Haaland, who has already scored 26 goals in 16 matches for club and country this season, including four in the Champions League. This won't be the first time the Norwegian faces his former team; in the 2022/2023 season, he scored against the Bees, securing a comeback win for City (2-1). Will he manage to trouble his former club once again?
Match Results: Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🏆 The "Bumblebees" traveled to Copenhagen in the last round of the Champions League and secured a high-scoring victory (4-2). Felix Nmecha netted a brace, Ramy Bensebaini converted a penalty, and Fabio Silva scored his debut goal for Dortmund. This marked Borussia's second win in the tournament; earlier, Kovac's side thrashed Athletic Bilbao (4-1) and played out a thrilling draw with Juventus (4-4). The team sits above City in 6th place, thanks to a superior goal difference (12:7). Thus, Borussia also has a chance to break into the top 5 by the end of Matchday 4.
🟡 After the match in Copenhagen, the "Bumblebees" bounced back in the Bundesliga following their first defeat of the season against Bayern Munich (1-2), securing narrow victories over Cologne and Augsburg (both 1-0). These successes have allowed Kovac's team to keep pace with Bayern, although they trail by seven points. Currently, Dortmund are in third place, two points behind RB Leipzig. In the DFB-Pokal, Borussia advanced to the Round of 16, where they will face Bayer Leverkusen. In the Round of 32, they overcame Eintracht with a 1-1 draw in regular and extra time, winning 4-2 on penalties. Felix Nmecha is Borussia's top scorer in the Champions League with three goals, while Serhou Guirassy has netted five times in the Bundesliga. The Guinean ended a five-match goal drought in the recent game against Augsburg. Can he extend his scoring streak at the Etihad?
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Latest news
Manchester City
🎙️ Pep Guardiola on comparisons between Haaland and Ronaldo and Messi: "Have you seen this guy's numbers? Of course, he's at that level. Messi and Ronaldo have done it for 15 years straight, but that's a different level. Erling has that hunger. He's incredibly adaptable and coachable. Sometimes I'm tough on him, but he's open to everything new. He lives for goals, and sometimes the pressure doesn't allow him to last the full 90 minutes, but that's normal."
❌ Central midfielder Mateo Kovačić will not be available for the match. All other registered players are fit to play.
Borussia Dortmund
🎙️ Niko Kovac on the win over Augsburg: "We knew how tough it would be in Augsburg, so the game was intense. We came out on top thanks to Girassi's strike, but otherwise, it was a lot of battling and hustle. After 120 minutes in the Cup, we particularly needed a forward like Serhou-he's our points guarantee. The more he scores, the better our chances of winning. Today, he netted the decisive goal, and we kept a clean sheet-I'm pleased."
⚠️ After the match, Borussia's fans were unhappy with the team's conduct. Typically, fans and players celebrate victories together by singing club songs, but in Augsburg, the team approached the stands for only a few seconds before heading straight to the dressing room. Emre Can and Niko Kovac explained that Borussia was rushing to catch a flight to Munich: the airport closes at midnight, and the club needed to depart early. Recovery procedures were cut short to ensure they made it in time. Ultimately, the team's plane took off 15 minutes before the airport closed.
🏥 Emre Can has returned to fitness but remained on the bench against Augsburg. Nico Schlotterbeck missed several training sessions due to a cold but will travel to England with the team. The management and coach are confident he can participate in the final training session and start if there are no setbacks. Niklas Süle also returns to the squad.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Szymon Marciniak. The Polish referee tends to keep the game flowing, averaging 2.5 yellow cards over his last ten matches. Dortmund aren't known for their rough play either, making the bet on Borussia's individual total under 2.5 yellow cards a sensible choice. This has been successful in the last three Champions League rounds and Dortmund's last three consecutive matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Manchester City have netted two goals in each of their previous Champions League fixtures, while every Dortmund match in the tournament has been high-scoring, with no fewer than five goals. Considering Erling Haaland's current form and his face-off against his former club, we recommend betting on over 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The "Citizens" have earned 15 corners over three matches (averaging 5 per game), while the "Bumblebees" have secured 13 (4.3 per game). A prudent option would be total corners under 11.5, which has been a winning bet in all matches of this Champions League season for both the home and away sides.
Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers have Manchester City as the clear favorite, despite Dortmund's impressive season so far. The "Black and Yellows" have only suffered one defeat, while City have lost three times this season. However, playing at home and having a striker like Haaland makes it easy to agree with the odds favoring City. We don't expect Dortmund to suffer a heavy defeat, but it's unlikely they'll leave the "Foggy Albion" with three points. A draw seems improbable as well, although Dortmund might find the net, given City's defense has conceded in their last three matches. Our prediction is for Manchester City’s individual total to be under 2.5 goals. As for the scoreline, we foresee a home victory at 2-1.
Betting Tips: Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
