Man City vs Leverkusen Prediction 25 November 2025
🔊 How many goals will Manchester City score? That's the question as the "Citizens" prepare for their upcoming Champions League clash against Bayer Leverkusen in Manchester. Pep Guardiola's side suffered a defeat in their last match and will be eager to bounce back in front of their home crowd, determined to return to winning ways swiftly. Despite Bayer's impressive form under Kasper Hjulmand, they remain significant underdogs on the road. We explain why in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 This will be the first-ever meeting between the clubs.
Head-to-head statistics Man City - Leverkusen
Manchester City Team Overview
🔵 After four rounds, things are looking quite good for the Citizens: ten points and fourth place, with their only slip-up being a 2-2 draw away at Monaco. In the previous round at the Etihad, City hosted the German side Borussia Dortmund and faced little resistance, winning 4-1. Foden, who was the man of the match, scored twice, with Haaland and Cherki also finding the net. A win on Tuesday against another Bundesliga team would allow Manchester to stake a claim for a top-three spot.
⚪ However, their Premier League campaign is less successful. After the international break, City traveled to a tough away fixture at Newcastle at St James' Park, where Ruben Dias's goal wasn't enough to even secure a draw (1-2). After 12 rounds, the Citizens trail league leaders Arsenal by seven points. This is why the Manchester side will be highly motivated for the match against Bayer, aiming to regain their winning form and improve team morale.
Match Results: Manchester City
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
🔴 After being thrashed at home by PSG (2-7) in the third round of the Champions League, Leverkusen managed to bounce back with a hard-fought away victory in Lisbon against Benfica (1-0) - marking their first win in the tournament. The game was slightly dominated by the hosts, but Mark Flekken made five crucial saves, and Patrick Schick, coming off the bench, scored the winning goal just eight minutes later. The young Algerian Ibrahim Maza was named Man of the Match. Currently, Kasper Hjulmand's side sits 21st with five points, and a loss could push them out of the playoff zone.
⚫ The victory over Benfica allowed Bayer to regain some pride with their fans after a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich (0-3). They followed up by building momentum in the Bundesliga, defeating Heidenheim (6-0) and Wolfsburg (3-1). After 11 rounds, the "Pharmacists" hold third place, trailing Borussia Dortmund by two points and Bayern by eight. Under Hjulmand, the team has suffered two losses - to PSG and Bayern. Manchester City is also among Europe's elite clubs, making a positive result for Bayer on English soil seem unlikely.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Latest news
Manchester City
🎙️ Pep Guardiola after the game against Newcastle: "The team performed well. We understand how Newcastle play with intensity, and that's something you have to manage. They were on form - it happens. In the second half, we adjusted a bit, and our players in the center moved closer to the positions we needed. This sport is very physical: you win the ball, you lose the ball. We gave it our all. We wanted to push forward, as we have in the last couple of months, but it's always challenging after an international break. There's a long way to go ahead."
❌ Mateo Kovacic and Rodri will miss the match. The Croatian midfielder is sidelined with an ankle injury, while the Spaniard has a thigh issue. Calvin Phillips is not in the squad.
Bayer Leverkusen
🎙️ Kasper Hjulmand after the victory over Wolfsburg: "We're pleased with the three points. I'm satisfied with the first 40 minutes, but not with the second half - we were too passive and a bit unlucky."
🔝 Patrik Schick is the main attacking threat. He has scored seven goals across all competitions, including the winner in the last Champions League match. Left-back Alejandro Grimaldo is another key player: with an additional defender behind him, he pushes forward effectively, as evidenced by his seven goals and three assists this season.
❌ Bayer face significant absences: captain Robert Andrich is suspended, and defender Edmond Tapsoba will also miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Ezequiel Fernandez, Ezequiel Palacios, Lucas Vazquez, and Axel Tappe are still recovering from injuries. Arthur's participation is doubtful after missing the match against Wolfsburg. Out of action are Martin Terrier, Alejo Sarco, and Jonas Hofmann.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by João Pedro Pinheiro, who averages 4.4 yellow cards per match. In the last four rounds, Manchester City have received 8 warnings, while Bayer have been shown 7. We suggest betting on Manchester City's individual total of under 2.5 yellow cards - this bet has hit in all their Champions League matches this season and in the last five games for the Citizens.
⚽ Goal Prediction
At home, the Citizens are ruthless, having won seven consecutive matches. We recommend betting on Manchester City's individual total of over 2.5 goals - this wager has been successful in five of their last seven home games. Confidence is bolstered by the fact that the team will be eager to bounce back after the loss to Newcastle, and Erling Haaland rarely goes goalless in two consecutive matches. Additionally, Bayer have conceded more than 2.5 goals against both Bayern Munich and PSG.
🚩 Corner Prediction
After four Champions League rounds, Manchester City average 4.8 corners, while Bayer average 3.8. We recommend betting on under 11.5 total corners - this bet has been successful in six of City's last seven matches in the tournament since last season.
Editorial Prediction
We don't see Bayer standing a chance, despite their solid season so far. Leverkusen are outclassed by the hosts and face significant injury issues. Their opportunity lies in counterattacks and set-pieces, where Alejandro Grimaldo shines, but Guardiola is well aware of this threat and will likely instruct his team to avoid fouling near the penalty area. City will seize control from the start and pin the "Pharmacists" back to their goal line. We are confident that the visitors' defense won't keep a clean sheet. Our prediction: Manchester City to win with a -1.5 handicap. We anticipate a rout-3-0 or 4-0.
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Betting Tips: Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen
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