Kairat vs Olympiacos Prediction 9 December 2025
🔊 Do Kairat or Olympiacos have a better chance of making a push for the Champions League playoffs? Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the standings. They are separated by just one point, but need at least two victories to reach the coveted 24th spot. The upcoming clash at the Astana Arena presents a prime opportunity for each side to boost their points tally with a first win in Europe's premier club competition. We'll provide an insightful prediction on who might perform better in Kazakhstan's capital in our editorial analysis.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Kairat - Olympiacos
Kairat Almaty Team Overview
The season in Kazakhstan wrapped up at the end of October. In a tense battle with Astana, Rafael Urazbakhtin's team clinched the championship title. The suspense lasted until the final round, where Kairat faced off directly against the capital club. The match ended in a draw, which was enough for the "yellow-blacks" to secure the title (1-1).
After claiming the championship, Kairat have not had regular match practice, competing only in the Champions League. Despite defeats to Inter Milan (1-2) and Copenhagen (2-3), the Almaty side held their own against more prestigious European clubs. Against the Danes at the Parken Stadium, they fought on equal terms, conceding just 54% possession and engaging in a thrilling shootout with a total of 31 shots (18 to 13 in favor of the hosts).
Match Results: Kairat Almaty
Olympiacos Team Overview
The season in Greece, unlike Kazakhstan, is in full swing. After 13 rounds, Olympiacos confidently hold the top spot in the league table. Under the guidance of Jose Luis Mendilibar, they are on a nine-match winning streak domestically, including cup games. In their latest Super League match, they thrashed OFI, who sit in 12th place, with overwhelming dominance (32 to 2 shots with an xG total of 2.72 against 0.35).
In the Champions League, the "red-and-whites" can't boast the same success as they do at home. After five matches, the Greeks have managed just two points from games against Pafos (0-0) and PSV (1-1). However, Olympiacos certainly have potential. In their last home encounter against Real Madrid, they engaged in a real shootout, outshooting their opponents 18 to 15 despite having only 41% possession. Nevertheless, a slightly lower expected goals figure (1.5 compared to 1.65) meant the hosts couldn't secure an advantage in the scoreline (3-4).
Match Results: Olympiacos
Latest news
Kairat Almaty
🎙 Kairat's head coach gave an honest assessment of his team's performance in the 5th round Champions League match against Copenhagen at Parken Stadium. "In the second half, we started playing the kind of football we wanted to see from the first minute. Unfortunately, in the first half, we were very passive and lost many challenges. Our opponents outperformed us in ball control, duels, and most importantly, desire. We lacked aggression, passion, and courage. We addressed this with the players during halftime. In the second half, we came out and tried to change the course of the game. With the introduction of fresh players, our game noticeably improved," said Rafael Urazbakhtin.
❌ The lack of match practice hasn't significantly affected Kairat's roster. Among notable absences is defender Ofri Arad, who scored against Inter in the 4th round of the Champions League. João Paulo and Elder Santana have also been out for an extended period. However, Almaty will miss Dastan Satpayev the most, as he will sit out the upcoming game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Olympiacos
🎙 Olympiacos head coach commented on their defeat to Real Madrid in the latest round of the Champions League. "We started the match very well. I would have preferred the score to be 4-3 in our favor. Our first goal was beautiful-both in terms of combination play and execution. But after Real's equalizer, we seemed a bit stunned. Nevertheless, we fought hard. Real had to defend their lead towards the end-that speaks to our efforts. They made us run more than any other opponent. However, we didn't give up, even when trailing 1-3 and 2-4. Real Madrid have the best players in the world, technically flawless. It's tough to handle how Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior link up on the pitch," said Jose Luis Mendilibar.
❌ Unlike Kairat, the Greek club faces significantly greater losses ahead of their head-to-head clash. Olympiacos' head coach will be unable to count on Yusuf Yazici, Ruben Vezo, Gustavo Manchu, Remy Cabella, Bruno Onyemaechi, Alexandros Paschalakis, Panagiotis Retsos, and Konstantinos Angelakis.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Juan Martinez Munuera from Spain. His average for yellow cards in the last 20 La Liga matches stands at 4.8. In the Champions League, Kairat's matches have been slightly more intense than Olympiacos', with 3.8 versus 3.2 cautions over five rounds. The upcoming clash is expected to reach its peak intensity, as both teams still have a mathematical chance of reaching the main European tournament's playoff zone. We anticipate that the total yellow cards will exceed 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
The lack of domestic competition has actually benefited Rafael Urazbakhtin's squad. The head coach can focus entirely on preparing his players for Champions League fixtures without distractions from other tournaments. This has resulted in the Almaty team scoring three goals in their last two group stage matches, compared to just one in their first two outings. Olympiacos have conceded in 3 of their last 4 away matches. We expect that Kairat will find the net.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The primary formation used by Rafael Urazbakhtin in the Champions League is 4-2-3-1. Kairat rarely attack positionally, but their effective wingers allow them to create chances through counterattacks. The "Yellow and Blacks" are also not shy about set pieces, averaging 3.6 corners over five rounds. We believe the Kazakh fans at "Astana Arena" will push the hosts forward. In such an atmosphere, opportunities up front are bound to arise, potentially leading to Kairat's total corners exceeding 3.5.
Editorial Prediction
We've previously noted Kairat's lack of match fitness, albeit positively. Yet, even in this mode, the Almaty side manage to lose key players. Perhaps the most significant loss is the absence of their main creative force-forward Dastan Satpayev. Yes, their scoring improves with each Champions League round, but they failed to score in two home matches even with Satpayev in the lineup. Moreover, the upcoming clash isn't on home turf but in Kazakhstan's capital, Astana, which might affect the nominal hosts' confidence. Despite the support from the stands, we expect a commendable performance from Rafael Urazbakhtin's team, but the visitors seem capable of clinching the game with their class. Our bet: Olympiacos win. Predicted scoreline-2-1 in favor of the Greeks.
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Betting Tips: Kairat Almaty - Olympiacos
in 9 of last 10 games.
in last 8 games (Champions League).in 9 of last 10 games.in 15 of last 17 away games.
in 11 of last 12 Juan Martinez Munuera games.
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