Dortmund vs Inter Prediction
🔊 Can either of these teams secure a spot in the top 8? On the 16th, 14th-placed Inter travel to Signal Iduna Park to face 16th-placed Dortmund, with both sides vying for a direct spot in the Champions League Round of 16. While both clubs have been performing strongly in their domestic leagues, they've stumbled in recent rounds of the European competition. Nonetheless, the Milanese are closer to the coveted top eight and are considered favorites by the bookmakers. We'll delve into all the factors below before presenting the editorial team's prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these teams faced each other was during the group stage of the 2019/20 Champions League in its old format. Back then, in Group F, Inter secured a home victory (2-0) before Dortmund avenged the defeat on their own turf with a 3-2 win.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 In the Champions League, Dortmund initially dropped points at home against Bodø/Glimt with a 2-2 draw, and then suffered a defeat to Tottenham in London, playing with ten men from the 24th minute (0-2). The "Black and Yellows" sit 16th with 11 points, and even a victory on Wednesday leaves their chances of breaking into the top eight slim. It's highly likely that Niko Kovac's side will face playoff matches. Notably, Dortmund's goal difference stands at 19 scored, an impressive tally surpassed by only three clubs, but their 15 goals conceded (the same as Qarabag) is concerning-no team in the playoff zone has conceded more.
⚫ On Sunday, Dortmund claimed a commanding 3-0 victory over Union Berlin in the 19th round of the Bundesliga in Berlin, thanks to goals from Can (penalty), Schlotterbeck, and Beyer. Niko Kovac's team maintains their second-place standing in the league, reducing the gap to Bayern Munich to eight points.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Inter Milano Team Overview
⚫ The "Nerazzurri" are on a three-game losing streak in the Champions League, having fallen to Atletico (1-2), Liverpool (0-1), and Arsenal (1-3). However, four victories in the previous rounds have placed Cristian Chivu's team in 14th with 12 points, keeping their hopes alive to avoid playoff matches, provided they secure a positive result in Dortmund. Despite recent struggles, Inter have conceded just seven goals in seven matches, marking the third-best defensive record in this season's tournament.
🔵 After the defeat to Arsenal, the Milan side quickly bounced back in Serie A's 22nd round against Pisa on Friday. The home fixture turned into a goal fest as Inter triumphed 6-2, even though they trailed 0-2 by the 23rd minute. Goals from a Zelinski penalty, Lautaro, and Esposito completed the comeback before halftime, while Dimarco, Bonny, and Mkhitaryan widened the margin in the second half. Inter continue to lead Serie A, holding a five-point advantage over Milan.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Latest news
Borussia Dortmund
🎙️ Niko Kovač on the victory over Union: "It was an excellent response from the team after the defeat to Tottenham. Physically, we matched our opponents and earned our luck in front of goal. Of course, you can't call this game beautiful: it was cold, and Union often resorted to long balls. We usually play with three forwards, but today we needed more midfielders. If we had tried to play our usual style, things could have gone poorly. Today, the fight was more important than elegance, and we achieved the result we needed."
❌ Aaron Anselmino has been recalled from his loan and returned to Chelsea, so he won't play against Inter. Daniel Svensson will miss the match due to his red card against Tottenham. Marcel Sabitzer continues his recovery from injury.
Inter Milano
🎙️ Cristian Chivu after the match against Pisa: "The match lasts almost 100 minutes, so there was enough time to come back. We conceded two goals ourselves but then responded correctly and got into the game. As a coach, I take responsibility for the players' mistakes in any situation. In such matches, physical readiness and the right mentality are especially important."
❌ Hakan Calhanoglu and Denzel Dumfries continue their recovery from injuries and will not travel to Dortmund.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by István Kovács. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged 5.1 yellow cards per game. In the Champions League, Dortmund's average number of bookings stands at 1, while Inter's is 1.9. We're opting for under 3.5 yellow cards-a scenario that has occurred in all of Borussia's tournament games.
⚽ Goal Prediction
We anticipate a high-scoring encounter between these teams. Both clubs have essentially secured their spots in the playoffs, albeit not in the most straightforward manner. Squad rotation is likely, which could impact the game's tempo. Our pick is over 2.5 goals, a figure that has been hit in 4 of Dortmund's last 5 matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Dortmund averages 4.6 corners per game in the Champions League, while Inter averages 5.6. We're considering a higher odds option: Inter's individual total over 4.5 corners. This outcome has occurred in 6 of the last 7 away matches for the Italian side.
Editor's Prediction
First and foremost, we anticipate an open and high-scoring game from this clash-one without prolonged tactical battles. Both clubs are aware that their chances of breaking into the top eight are slim, and they will keep an eye on upcoming domestic league fixtures, where Dortmund aim to maintain their second place, while Inter look to preserve their lead at the top.
Despite generally solid defensive performances throughout the season, both teams have shown vulnerabilities in recent Champions League matches. Therefore, the main prediction is both teams to score (yes). A likely outcome of the match is a 2-2 draw.
Betting Tips: Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milano
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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