Atalanta vs Chelsea Prediction 9 December 2025
🔊 Can Atalanta overtake Chelsea in the top 8 of the Champions League main stage? Currently, the teams are separated only by goal difference, which keeps the English side in 7th place in the standings. The Italians sit three spots lower. However, the upcoming match will take place at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, where the "Queen of the Provinces" has suffered just one defeat this season. Can the visitors from London inflict a second loss? We'll evaluate both teams' chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Atalanta - Chelsea
Atalanta Team Overview
The arrival of Raffaele Palladino as head coach in early October has yet to bring significant success for Atalanta in Serie A. The former Juventus forward's debut match ended in a defeat against Napoli (1-3). However, the situation improved noticeably with three consecutive wins in the Champions League, the league, and the cup. Yet, the 14th round of the Italian regular season saw another setback as Atalanta suffered an away loss to a modest Verona, who are second from the bottom in the standings (1-3). Despite holding territorial advantage (64% to 36% possession), they failed to outshoot their opponents (12 shots each).
Things look much brighter in the Champions League, where Atalanta are just outside the top ten. After an opening defeat to PSG (0-4), the Bergamaschi embarked on an impressive run of four matches with only one draw. In their latest outing, the "Orobici" thrashed Eintracht away (3-0). The teams shared possession almost equally (54% to 46% in favor of the visitors), but Raffaele Palladino's side attacked far more frequently and effectively, registering 21 shots with an xG of 3.14 compared to 9 shots with an xG of 1.12.
Match Results: Atalanta
Chelsea Team Overview
The "Pensioners" are struggling to secure a win in their last three Premier League matches. During this stretch, the "Blues" have suffered just one loss, but have only managed to gather two points, dropping them from second to fourth in the EPL standings. A draw against Arsenal (1-1) can be considered a success, especially since the "Lions" achieved this result while playing with a man down. However, away games against Leeds (1-3) and Bournemouth (0-0) saw Enzo Maresca's side underperform offensively, falling short in expected goals against both opponents.
In the Champions League, Chelsea sit in seventh place, which secures them a spot in the Round of 16. After an opening defeat to Bayern Munich (1-3), the Londoners have remained unbeaten, drawing just once-away at Qarabag (2-2). In their latest outing at Stamford Bridge, they left no room for Barcelona to maneuver (3-0). True, the visitors were down to ten men from the 44th minute, but even before the sending-off, the "Pensioners" were statistically and on the scoreboard superior, leading by one goal.
Match Results: Chelsea
Latest news
Atalanta
🎙 Atalanta's head coach reflected on the defeat against Verona in the 14th round of Serie A. "We knew Verona would play with intensity and fight for every ball. They're the team with the least possession in the league, but they utilize direct vertical passes. We failed to understand the type of match we needed to play and didn't adapt. We were sluggish. I can't explain it. I didn't see signs of fatigue or complacency. But this performance wasn't typical of Atalanta. We need a winning mentality, not a losing one. Sometimes, a good wake-up call is beneficial for growth, but we can't step onto the pitch without the right mindset and intensity. It's okay to lose, but not like this," said Raffaele Palladino.
❌ During the summer preseason, Mitchel Bakker tore his ACL. We won't see him back on the field before March next year. Kamaldeen Sulemana is recovering from a muscle injury, with his return expected in the middle of this month.
Chelsea
🎙 Chelsea's head coach commented on the draw with Bournemouth in the 15th round of the Premier League. "I think we tried to win. We had our chances. I've often said it's important not to lose if you can't win. We lacked quality in the final third. We had a few opportunities to score. It's crucial that we didn't concede. Hopefully, we'll be luckier and start scoring," said Enzo Maresca.
❌ Joining the usual list of injured players, which includes Dário Essugo, Levi Colwill, and Romeo Lavia, is another player. Liam Delap couldn't finish the match against Bournemouth due to an injury. This is the striker's second injury of the current season.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by the main referee Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez (Spain). His average number of yellow cards over the last 20 La Liga matches is 5.3. Matches involving Chelsea in the current Champions League have seen significantly more cautions compared to Atalanta: 4.2 versus 2.6 over five rounds. However, we anticipate that the upcoming game's yellow card count will likely align closer to Chelsea's numbers. With a spot in the top 8 at stake, and considering Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez's refereeing style, which suggests frequent stoppages, our prediction is: total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Predictions
Chelsea's recent performances have been less than stellar, and even at their best, the Blues' defense hasn't been particularly reliable. Combined with their dynamic attackers, Chelsea's matches tend to be quite entertaining: in 4 of their last 6 Champions League games, the total goals exceeded 2.5. Atalanta matches this trend, with the same figure in 4 of their last 5 home games in this European competition. Our editorial choice: total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Predictions
Let's take a closer look at Chelsea's recent performances. Against lower-profile teams like Leeds and Bournemouth, the Blues dominated possession, averaging 66%. However, this didn't translate into set-piece opportunities at the opponent's end - they earned just two corners in total. Despite a respectable corner average in the Premier League (5.67), Chelsea's away performance in this regard is concerningly low (4.86). We expect that Chelsea's total corners will be under 5.5.
Editors' Prediction
Chelsea's form has dipped recently, following their impressive thrashing of Barcelona at Stamford Bridge in the fifth round of the Champions League. In their subsequent three Premier League matches, the London side have only managed to secure two points. Their last two games were on the road, and the upcoming one is also away from home. Given that Chelsea have failed to win in their last four away matches, it's a well-founded prediction to back Atalanta not to lose. Considering the entertaining nature of both teams' Champions League encounters, a 2-2 draw seems like a fair outcome.
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Betting Tips: Atalanta - Chelsea
in 9 of last 10 home games.
in 8 of last 9 games.in 7 of last 8 away games.
in 12 of last 14 Atalanta home games.in last 6 Atalanta games.in 16 of last 18 Chelsea away games.in 6 of last 7 Chelsea games.
in 7 of last 8 Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez games.in 20 of last 21 games.in 18 of last 19 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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