Palermo vs Lecce Prediction 17 August 2026
📢 How will the upcoming match between Palermo and Lecce end? The Salentini will be the only Serie A side required to play away from home in the round of 32 of the Coppa Italia. On top of that, they have drawn a far from comfortable opponent: Palermo came close to returning to the top flight last season and, backed by their home crowd, will surely look to make life difficult for the higher-profile visitors. That is why the upcoming match looks far less straightforward than it might seem at first glance at the two teams' names.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides last met on the pitch back in 2019, so breaking down the head-to-head history doesn't make much sense.
Head-to-head statistics Palermo - Lecce
Palermo Team Overview
The team's last match was on , when they lost to Juventus (0:2) in an exhibition friendly in Australia.
The match statistics were as follows (Palermo vs Juventus):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 12;
- fouls: 4 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Palermo had a decent season last time out. In 38 matches the team collected 72 points, finished fourth in Serie B and earned a direct place in the promotion playoff semi-finals. However, that was the stage where their luck ran out: away from home Palermo lost heavily to Catanzaro, 0-3, and a 2-0 home win was not enough to turn the tie around. So the club will spend another season in Italy's second tier.
Pre-season preparations were fairly average - three wins, two draws and two defeats. The only notable opponent was Juventus, to whom Palermo predictably lost. The team did get the chance to test themselves against clubs from Australia, Greece and the German 2. Bundesliga.
Match Results: Palermo
Lecce Team Overview
Lecce played their last match in a friendly against Monopoli (1:0).
The match stats were as follows (Lecce vs Monopoli):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 6 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
Lecce are one of Serie A's perennial underdogs, fighting the same battle year after year - staying in the top flight. Last season was no exception: over 38 rounds, the Salentini picked up 38 points and finished 17th. The run-in proved crucial, with the team winning two vital matches in a row - against Sassuolo (3:2) and Genoa (1:0). Those results were largely what kept them up.
In pre-season, Lecce played five friendlies and won three of them. On the surface the results look encouraging, but there were no serious opponents. In fact, the level of opposition was even lower than Palermo's, so drawing any far-reaching conclusions from those matches is difficult.
Match Results: Lecce
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.93, the guests - 1.36;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
- Palermo have conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Lecce.
Prediction on corners
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Palermo games.
⭐ Editor's Pick
According to the bookmakers, Palermo are considered slight favourites for the upcoming match. This assessment is largely linked to the home advantage, as Lecce performed very poorly away from home last season and picked up just 18 points. At the same time, the visitors clearly have no intention of going out of the Coppa Italia at the round of 64 stage, especially against a Serie B side, so they will look to take the initiative more often and create chances themselves. Recent head-to-head meetings between these two teams have been high-scoring: both sides scored in 7 of the previous 8 matches. That is why our main bet is both teams to score. The expected score in regular time is 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Palermo - Lecce
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