Chicago Fire vs Saint-Louis Prediction 17 August 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Chicago Fire and St. Louis City promises to be an exciting event in the MLS regular season. Both teams are searching for consistency, but the hosts have a slight edge due to their higher position in the standings and the home-field advantage. Chicago are showing decent form despite recent setbacks, while the visitors continue to struggle on the road. Expect a matchup of contrasting styles: the hosts will aim to dominate through ball control, while the visitors will look for opportunities on the counterattack.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 12 May 2024 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (St. Louis City were the home side):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊 The teams have faced each other in three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- Goals: 4 to 4;
- Average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
- Average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Chicago Fire - Saint-Louis

Chicago Fire Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the MLS, with Chicago Fire at home against Los Angeles. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 7 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Chicago Fire, sitting in ninth place in the standings, have been delivering average performances at home, scoring under 2.5 goals in nearly all of their recent matches. Known for their aggressive play and focus on attacking football, the team averages 1.88 goals per game, though their defense is less reliable, conceding around 1.68 goals. In their last match against St. Louis City, the club suffered a disappointing 1-3 defeat. This setback should fuel the Fire with extra motivation heading into their upcoming clash.
Match Results: Chicago Fire

Saint-Louis City Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the MLS, where St. Louis City hosted Nashville. The game ended with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (St. Louis City vs Nashville):
- possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
St. Louis City are currently sitting in fourteenth place, experiencing a challenging stretch with frequent away losses-an eight-game losing streak speaks volumes. Their playing style revolves around quick counterattacks and a focus on physical fitness. However, this strategy has yet to yield the desired results on the road, as the team seldom scores more than one goal per match. They need to make changes, but it might already be too late. With the playoffs approaching, St. Louis are likely to miss out.
Match Results: Saint-Louis City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Saint-Louis City
- matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- wins: 10 vs 5;
- win percentage: 40% vs 20%;
- losses: 9 vs 14;
- draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Saint-Louis City have lost in last 8 away games.
- Saint-Louis City have lost in last 7 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Saint-Louis City
- average total in the tournament: 3.56 vs 2.72;
- average total goals scored: 1.88 vs 1.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.04 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.84 vs 0.56;
- Chicago Fire: average total at home in the tournament - 1.17;
- Saint-Louis City: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.17) vs 1.6 (away - 0.75).
- Saint-Louis City have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10 (4 - for home team and 6 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11 (4.5 - for home team and 6.5 - for away team).
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.24; at home field - 4.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 3.67.
Saint-Louis City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.64, away - 3.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 4.5.
- Under 8.5 corners in last 5 Chicago Fire games (MLS).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.34 (1.67 for home team and 1.67 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.5 (1 for home team and 1.5 for away team).
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.24; at home - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.33.
Saint-Louis City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.96, away - 2.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; away - 1.5.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Saint-Louis City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Saint-Louis City away - 4 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Saint-Louis City away - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the current form of the teams and past game statistics, Chicago are expected to capitalize on their status as favorites and once again showcase their strength in front of the home crowd. Given the visitors' offensive struggles, the advantage should be significant, as Fire know how to find the back of the net. The team needs points, and they've encountered a suitable opponent to collect them from. St. Louis will need to exceed expectations to deliver anything noteworthy on the field. Our pick is a Chicago Fire victory.