Saint-Louis vs Sporting Prediction 17 July 2026
π St. Louis City have found their rhythm in recent rounds leading up to the World Cup break. Sporting Kansas City, meanwhile, sit at the bottom of the table and are enduring one of the leagueβs worst runs over their last ten matches, rarely managing to secure a positive result. The hosts remain moderately motivated - with the season only at its halfway point, every point is crucial in the battle for a top-nine finish. As for the visitors, they have yet to show any real signs that they can mount a playoff push.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 15 May 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Hereβs a comparative breakdown of that match, with St. Louis City playing at home:
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 5 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 5.
π Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between St. Louis City and Sporting Kansas City:
- 10 matches played;
- St. Louis have 3 wins at home, Sporting Kansas City have 4, with 3 draws;
- Total goals scored: 20 for the hosts, 18 for the visitors;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 goals; second-half average: 2.1 goals;
- Overall average goals per match: 3.8.
Head-to-head statistics Saint-Louis - Sporting

Saint-Louis City Team Overview
The teamβs most recent official match took place on in MLS action, with St. Louis City hosting Austin. The contest ended in a 3-0 victory for St. Louis City.
Hereβs a breakdown of the key stats (St. Louis City vs Austin):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 2 vs 2;
- Fouls: 19 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 2.
St. Louis City have shown steady improvement, picking up six wins and suffering just three defeats in their last ten matches a sign of growing consistency. Over their most recent five outings, they have claimed four victories and registered a single draw, underlining their strong current form. During this ten-match stretch, they average 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4, demonstrating an ability to maintain a solid balance between attack and defense. Their motivation remains reasonably high: the hosts are pushing to close the gap on the playoff spots, making every positive result crucial in pursuit of their season objective.
Match Results: Saint-Louis City

Sporting Kansas-City Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, facing Sporting Kansas City away from home. The match ended with a score of 1-2.
Hereβs a look at the key stats from that Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls encounter:
- Possession: 61% vs 39%;
- Corners: 6 vs 1;
- Fouls committed: 5 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 4.
Sporting Kansas City are enduring a tough campaign, displaying one of the weakest runs of form over their last ten matches, just two wins, seven defeats, and a single draw. During this stretch, the team have averaged only 0.9 goals per game while conceding 2.8, with their defense clearly emerging as the most vulnerable part of the squad. In their five most recent outings, Sporting have picked up just two victories and suffered two losses. Their struggles on the road persist, Sporting Kansas City have lost twelve of their last fourteen away fixtures, underlining their ongoing issues away from home. Motivation in the league appears to be lacking, as the gap to the playoff spots remains considerable.
Match Results: Sporting Kansas-City
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 10;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.7;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.7.
First-Half Stats: Saint-Louis City (home) vs Sporting Kansas-City (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- wins: 3 (50%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 5 (71.43%);
- draws: 2 (33.33%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.71;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.57.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 1.5).
- Sporting Kansas-City conceded in the 1st half in 12 of last 14 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.
Statistics: Saint-Louis City vs Sporting Kansas-City
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 29% vs 21%;
- losses: 6 vs 9;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Sporting Kansas-City have lost in 12 of last 14 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.8;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.8;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Saint-Louis City vs Sporting Kansas-City
- average total in the tournament: 2.57 vs 3.57;
- average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.57;
- Saint-Louis City: average total at home in the tournament - 1.83;
- Sporting Kansas-City: average total away in the tournament - 0.71;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2.6) vs 0.9 (away - 0.5).
- Saint-Louis City have conceded in last 9 games against Sporting Kansas-City (MLS).
- Saint-Louis City have conceded in 18 of last 20 home games.
- Saint-Louis City have conceded in 17 of last 18 home games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.7 (4.9 - for home team and 5.8 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.4 (4.8 - for home team and 6.6 - for away team).
Saint-Louis City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.86; at home field - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.2.
Sporting Kansas-City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.71, away - 3.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 3.17.
- Over 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Saint-Louis City games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 4 times.
Statistics: Saint-Louis City vs Sporting Kansas-City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Saint-Louis City at home - 4 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Kansas-City away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Saint-Louis City at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Sporting Kansas-City away - 2 (33%).
- Saint-Louis City have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Sporting Kansas-City (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/218, 9.2%);
- Saint-Louis City at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:1 , 2:1 , 2:3 , 3:0 , 3:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Sporting Kansas-City away most often play: 1:2 , 3:0 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.27% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 9.26% (odds 9)
1:1 - 8.57% (odds 10)
β Editorial Prediction
Over their last five outings, St. Louis City have struck a solid balance between attack and defense, but the prevailing trend is low-scoring football: five consecutive matches have finished under 3.5 goals, underscoring this pattern. Sporting Kansas City are struggling defensively, yet even so, their games rarely see more than three goals in total due to a lack of firepower up front. While head-to-head clashes between these sides can sometimes produce fireworks, the hostsβ recent home form sets the tone for this prediction: St. Louis City's tendency for tightly contested, low-scoring affairs remains the key factor. The prediction: under 3.5 goals.