Fluminense vs Cruzeiro Prediction
🔊 On July 17, 2025, the Maracanã Stadium will host the 14th round match of the Brazilian Série A between Fluminense and Cruzeiro. For both teams, this game presents an opportunity not only to climb the standings but also to affirm their ambitions on both national and international stages. Fluminense, who have impressed this year with their performance at the Club World Cup, aim to solidify their success on home turf. Cruzeiro, showcasing confident form in the league, are eager to prove they are ready to contend for the championship. We're in for a truly intriguing and intense showdown.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 October 2024 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter, with Fluminense as the home side:
- possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 8 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Fluminense and Cruzeiro:
- 35 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 13, draws - 7;
- total goals scored - 49 for Fluminense, 47 for Cruzeiro;
- average first-half goals - 1.34, second-half - 1.4;
- average total goals per match - 2.74.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the Club World Cup semi-finals, with Fluminense as the home side and Chelsea as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Chelsea):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
The "Tricolor" are currently sitting in 7th place in the Serie A standings, with 20 points from 11 matches. The team has secured 6 wins, drawn twice, and suffered 3 losses, scoring 15 goals while conceding 12. Fluminense have shown consistency in recent games, but they face challenges in defense and a lack of efficiency in attack. On the international stage, the club displayed maturity and resilience, reaching the semifinals of the Club World Cup, where they narrowly lost to London’s Chelsea (1-2). In attack, players like Matheus Martinelli and Hercules stand out, capable of breaking through defenses and scoring crucial goals. However, the club's key star is John Arias, who has been repeatedly named Man of the Match during the Club World Cup, garnering interest from England's Wolverhampton.
Match Results: Fluminense
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 13th round of Brazil's Serie A (Cruzeiro as the home team, Grêmio as the visitors). The match concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Cruzeiro vs Grêmio):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
As of July 16, 2025, the "Celestial" side holds the second spot in the Serie A standings with 27 points from 13 matches. The team has secured 8 victories, drawn 3 times, and suffered 2 defeats, scoring 21 goals while conceding 9. Leading the attack is forward Kaio Jorge, who has netted 11 goals in the league (making him the top scorer in Serie A) and 13 across all competitions this season. However, on the international stage, Cruzeiro failed to advance past the group stage of the Copa Sudamericana, allowing them to focus on domestic competitions. In the league, though, the "Celestial" team displays a solid performance both offensively and defensively, making them a formidable opponent for Fluminense.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- First-half wins for the home team - 3; for the away team - 4; draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.34;
- Today's home team averages 0.63 goals, while the visitors average 0.71.
First-Half Statistics: Fluminense (home) vs Cruzeiro (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 6;
- Wins: 2 (40%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Losses: 1 (20%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Draws: 2 (40%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.33;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.1).
- Fluminense have drawn the first half at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters against this team.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Home wins - 15, away wins - 13, draws - 7.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Cruzeiro
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 13;
- Wins: 6 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 55% vs 62%;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 6;
- Losses: 1 vs 0;
- Draws: 2 vs 4.
- Cruzeiro cover the +1.5 spread away in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
- Cruzeiro cover the +1.5 spread in 19 of their last 20 matches (Serie A).
- Cruzeiro cover the +1.5 spread in 18 consecutive matches.
- Cruzeiro cover the +1.5 spread away in 16 of their last 17 matches.
- Cruzeiro cover the +1.5 spread away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1.4 goals, visitors - 1.34;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.74;
- Both teams scored: overall - 19 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Cruzeiro
- Average tournament total: 2.45 vs 2.31;
- Average goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.62;
- Average first-half total: 0.36 vs 1;
- Average second-half total: 1 vs 0.62;
- Fluminense: average home total in the tournament - 1.6;
- Cruzeiro: average away total in the tournament - 1.17;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.67) vs 1.8 (away - 2).
- Total under 2.5 goals occurred in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Serie A).
- Total under 2.5 goals occurred in the last 5 head-to-head matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.45; at home - 6.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 6.17.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.77, away - 5.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.8; away - 4.6.
- Cruzeiro take fewer than 4.5 corners away in the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.94 (1.97 for home and away teams);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.41 (2.12 for the home team and 2.29 for visitors).
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 1.82; at home - 1.6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; at home - 2.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.69, away - 2.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 1.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Both teams scored overall - 19 times;
- At the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Cruzeiro
- Total matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 13;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Fluminense - 6, Cruzeiro - 5;
- BTTS for Fluminense at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS for Cruzeiro away - 1 (17%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Fluminense - 4, Cruzeiro - 4;
- BTTS for Fluminense at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS for Cruzeiro away - 1 (20%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the performances of both teams this year, we can anticipate a highly intense and tactically astute match. Fluminense have the advantage of playing at home and possess international experience, which boosts their confidence. Cruzeiro, on the other hand, are motivated and can pose significant challenges with their powerful attack and balanced defense. However, looking at the head-to-head history at the Maracanã, it's clear that Fluminense have not lost to Cruzeiro at their home ground for 11 consecutive matches. Notably, only three of these 11 encounters saw over 2.5 goals scored. Therefore, our prediction is a Fluminense win with a handicap (0).
Betting Tips: Fluminense - Cruzeiro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
