Spain vs Italy Prediction 17 June 2025

    📢 Will the third-round group stage clash at the UEFA European Under-21 Championship between Spain U21 and Italy U21 be a true battle for the top spot in Group A? Both teams are in excellent form: the Spaniards have won all their recent official matches, while the Italians remain unbeaten for quite some time. The designated home side showcases a confident attacking style, averaging 2.6 goals per game, whereas the visitors are renowned for their solid defense. This encounter promises to be a real test for both squads.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Spain U21 and Italy U21:

    • 4 matches played;
    • home side victories - 3, away side victories - 1, draws - 0;
    • goals scored - 9 for Spain, 7 for Italy;
    • average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.25;
    • average total goals per match - 3.5.

    Head-to-head statistics Spain - Italy

    25%
    1 Win
    50%
    2 Draws
    25%
    1 Win
    Total games
    4
    Avg. total goals
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    75%
    1.25
    Average total
    1.25
    5
    Corners
    3
    1.75
    Yellow cards
    4
    12.25
    Fouls
    14.25
    Last matches
    17.06.25
    Euro U21
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    0.9
    0.57
    3
    2
    15
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    0.57
    3
    2
    15
    11
    2
    2
    27.03.21
    UEC
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    1
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    14
    14
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    14
    14
    -
    -
    16.06.19
    UEC
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    14
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    14
    -
    -
    27.06.17
    UEC
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    -
    -
    -
    -
    6
    16
    -
    -
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    6
    16
    -
    -
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    Spain U21 Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the UEFA European Under-21 Championship, with Spain U21 as the nominal hosts and Romania U21 as the nominal visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for Spain.

    Here are the match statistics (Spain U21 vs Romania U21):

    • possession: 76% vs 24%;
    • corners: 11 vs 2;
    • fouls: 9 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 3.

    🔴 Spain U21 are sitting at the top of their group, showcasing incredible form. In their last ten official matches, the team has secured nine victories and drawn just once, boasting an impressive scoring average of 2.6 goals per game. La Rojita favor a possession-based style with high pressing, which has been key to their success on the pitch.

    ✅ The Spanish squad is delivering exciting attacking football in this tournament. Following a thrilling 3-2 win over Slovakia, they created numerous chances against Romania, achieving an impressive xG of 3.37. Although both goals came after the 85th minute, the 2-1 victory was well-deserved. The hero of the match was Espanyol's forward Roberto Fernandez, who netted the decisive goal.

    Match Results: Spain U21

    Last matches
    01.10.26
    U21 Euro Qualification
    San Marino U21
    San Marino U21
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    1
    -
    -
    0
    12
    10
    7
    0
    1
    0
    13
    0
    5
    0
    8
    -
    -
    0
    12
    10
    7
    0
    1
    W
    25.09.26
    U21 Euro Qualification
    Finland U21
    Finland U21
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    -
    -
    4
    9
    13
    12
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    9
    13
    12
    2
    4
    L
    31.03.26
    U21 Euro Qualification
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    Kosovo U21
    Kosovo U21
    -
    -
    7
    1
    15
    9
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    15
    9
    1
    1
    W
    27.03.26
    U21 Euro Qualification
    Cyprus U21
    Cyprus U21
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    -
    -
    1
    7
    10
    7
    3
    2
    0
    7
    0
    1
    0
    6
    -
    -
    1
    7
    10
    7
    3
    2
    W
    18.11.25
    U21 Euro Qualification
    Romania U21
    Romania U21
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    -
    -
    4
    9
    8
    5
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    9
    8
    5
    0
    2
    W
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    Italy U21 Team Overview

    The last official match the current nominal visitors played was on in the UEFA European Under-21 Championship, with Slovakia U21 as the nominal hosts and Italy U21 as the visitors. The match concluded with a score of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Italy U21 vs Slovakia U21):

    • Ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 4;
    • Fouls: 29 vs 15;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 2 vs 1.

    ⚪ Italy U21 hold the second spot and continue to delight their fans with consistent performances-no defeats in recent official matches! The team boasts a well-balanced game: a strong attack, averaging 2.7 goals per match, is complemented by a solid defense, allowing just 0.4 goals on average. The last head-to-head clash between these teams ended in a goalless draw, highlighting the Italians' resilience even against the toughest opponents.

    ✅ The Italy U21 squad approaches the tournament with a style distinctly different from Spain's-they don't dominate possession but play pragmatically and focus on the result. In both matches, they didn't statistically outshine their opponents and at times even trailed, yet they managed to secure maximum points each time. In the second round against Slovakia (1-0), an early goal in the 7th minute by the talented midfielder Cesare Casadei was decisive. After that, the Italians calmly saw out the victory.

    Match Results: Italy U21

    Last matches
    05.10.26
    U21 Euro Qualification
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    Poland U21
    Poland U21
    -
    -
    9
    4
    16
    11
    1
    0
    6
    2
    2
    0
    4
    2
    -
    -
    9
    4
    16
    11
    1
    0
    W
    01.10.26
    U21 Euro Qualification
    Armenia U21
    Armenia U21
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    -
    -
    2
    13
    7
    13
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    13
    7
    13
    2
    4
    W
    26.08.26
    European Mediterranean Football Games
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    Kosovo U21
    Kosovo U21
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    W
    24.08.26
    European Mediterranean Football Games
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    Algeria U21
    Algeria U21
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    L
    22.08.26
    European Mediterranean Football Games
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    Albania U21
    Albania U21
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 4;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Spain U21 vs Italy U21

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • wins: 2 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 100% vs 100%;
    • losses: 0 vs 0;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 9 vs 7;
    • losses: 0 vs 0;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Italy U21 won with a +1.5 handicap in last 25 games.
    • Italy U21 won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 away games.
    • Italy U21 won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games (European Under-21 Championship).
    👉Prediction: Italy U21 Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.32)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 2.25, the guests - 1.75;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 0.
    Trends
    • Spain U21 have scored over 1.5 goals in 13 of last 15 home games.
    👉Prediction: Spain U21 Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on corners

    Spain U21: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 9.5; at home field - 11;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.5; at home field - 9.2.

    Italy U21: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 3.25.
    Trends
    • Under 10.5 corners in 12 of last 14 Italy U21 games.
    • Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Italy U21 away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10,5)(odds: 1.59)

    Prediction on cards

    Spain U21: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.2; at home - 0.2.

    Italy U21: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.4; away - 0.75.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (2,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 4;
    • both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Spain U21 vs Italy U21

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 0;
    • number of BTTS matches for Spain U21 at home - 1 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Italy U21 away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
    • BTTS matches for Spain U21 at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Italy U21 away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes)(odds: 1.85)

    Editorial Prediction

    Spain's U21 team has been showcasing vibrant attacking football throughout the tournament, netting three goals against Slovakia, two against Romania, and consistently applying pressure on their opponents' goalposts. The team maintains strong ball possession, creates numerous chances, and is rightly seen as the favorite for the upcoming match. With both teams already securing a spot in the playoffs and vying for the top position, it's reasonable to expect Spain to continue playing on the front foot. In this context, betting on Spain to score over 1.5 goals seems a sound choice.

    Spain U21 Total goals Over (1,5)
    Odds-111
    Published: 15/06/2025, 19:24

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    Betting Tips: Spain U21 - Italy U21

    Spain U21 have won the 2nd half:
    spain-1in 13 of last 14 home games.
    2nd Half Spain U21 to Win
    Everygame
    +120
    Spain U21 have won:
    spain-1in last 15 home games.
    spain-1in 11 of last 12 games.
    Spain U21 to Win
    Bovada
    -110
    Italy U21 have not lost:
    italy-5in last 13 away games.
    italy-5in last 12 games.
    Italy U21 will not lose
    Everygame
    -118
    Spain U21 have not lost:
    spain-1in 25 of last 26 games.
    spain-1in last 15 home games.
    spain-1in 7 of last 8 games (European Under-21 Championship).
    Spain U21 will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    View more facts

    Spain - Italy Table position

    Group Group A
    MPWDLGPForm
    1.
    Spain U21
    Spain U21
    32106-47
    2.
    Italy U21
    Italy U21
    32103-17
    3.
    Slovakia U21
    Slovakia U21
    31024-53
    4.
    Romania U21
    Romania U21
    30032-50

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 29
    Conceded - 8
    +21
    +20
    30 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draw
    1
    2
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    29
    Scored
    30
    8
    Conceded
    10
    3.7
    Average total per match
    4
    2.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    3
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    31'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    30'
    View all stats