V-Varen vs Vissel Kobe Prediction 17 May 2026
๐ On Sunday, two sides from opposite ends of the J1 League West Division spectrum will go head-to-head. V-Varen Nagasaki are battling desperately to escape the foot of the table, while Vissel Kobe sit just one win away from claiming top spot. However, the visitorsโ form has wavered unexpectedly, with three defeats in their last five outings-a run that hardly befits title contenders.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Vissel Kobe):
- ball possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
๐Statistical preview of official matches between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki and Vissel Kobe:
- played 7 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 5, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 4 against 12;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.29, in the 2nd half - 1;
- average total goals in the match - 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics V-Varen - Vissel Kobe

V-Varen Nagasaki Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Cerezo Osaka, away team - V-Varen Nagasaki). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 14 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Takuya Takagiโs side are enduring a tough campaign. The club sits firmly at the bottom of the Western Division, having suffered defeat in 10 of their 16 matches. Nagasakiโs attack, with 18 goals scored, has shown some promise, but their defence-conceding 25 times-is among the worst in the entire league. Still, itโs worth noting that after a run of three consecutive losses, the team have picked up 7 points from their last five outings, finding the net in every match.
Match Results: V-Varen Nagasaki

Vissel Kobe Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Vissel Kobe, away - Kyoto Sanga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
The visitors are in the title race but currently mired in a prolonged slump. Vissel Kobe sit second in the table with 31 points from 16 matches, trailing league leaders Nagoya Grampus only on goal difference. Michael Skibbeโs side have looked formidable going forward, netting 24 goals - an average of 1.5 per game. However, they have conceded nine times in their last four outings, a worrying defensive record for any title contender.
Match Results: Vissel Kobe
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 5, draws - 2.
Statistics: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 6 vs 10;
- win percentage: 38% vs 63%;
- losses: 10 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 7 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- V-Varen Nagasaki won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 home games (J1 League).
- V-Varen Nagasaki won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.57, the guests - 1.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
- average total in the tournament: 2.69 vs 2.69;
- average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.94;
- V-Varen Nagasaki: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Vissel Kobe: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.5 (away - 2).
- V-Varen Nagasaki have scored in 14 of last 15 home games.
- Vissel Kobe have conceded in 11 of last 12 away games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
V-Varen Nagasaki: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.94; at home field - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 5.2.
Vissel Kobe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.44, away - 4.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.25.
- V-Varen Nagasaki have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home teamโs field - 1 times.
Statistics: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for V-Varen Nagasaki at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vissel Kobe away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for V-Varen Nagasaki at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Vissel Kobe away - 3 (75%).
- V-Varen Nagasaki have scored and conceded in last 5 games (J1 League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/161, 18.6%);
- V-Varen Nagasaki at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Vissel Kobe away most often play: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.02% (odds 7)
0:1 - 10.22% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 9.46% (odds 8.5)