Sturm vs Rapid Wien Prediction 17 May 2026
Sturm Graz head into this fixture sitting second in the table, boasting a 10-match unbeaten run and showcasing rock-solid defensive performances. Over that stretch, they have picked up four wins and six draws, but now they need all three points on the final matchday to keep their title hopes alive. Rapid Vienna are currently fifth, and their recent form has been far from convincing-just one win and three defeats in their last five outings. The key storyline here is the hosts’ consistency versus the visitors’ erratic results.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Rapid Wien):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 0 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sturm Graz and Rapid Wien:
- played 59 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 21, draws - 18;
- number of goals - 78 against 82;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.22, in the 2nd half - 1.49;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sturm Graz Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Bundesliga tournament (home team - Hartberg, away team - Sturm Graz). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:4.
Here's the game statistics (Sturm Graz vs Hartberg):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
Sturm Graz are defined first and foremost by their solid defensive play: over their last 10 matches, they have conceded less than one goal per game on average. During this stretch, the hosts have picked up four wins and remain unbeaten, drawing the other six fixtures. Their last five outings featured four draws and just one victory, underscoring the team’s cautious approach and their ability to avoid late-game risks. Offensively, Sturm also post respectable numbers-close to two goals scored per match across those 10 rounds-but the consistent under 2.5 goals trend at home highlights a preference for tighter, more controlled contests on their own turf.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
Rapid Wien Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Bundesliga tournament (home team - Rapid Wien, away - Austria Wien). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the match stats (Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 7 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Rapid remain outside the top spots and their recent form has been far from convincing: they have suffered three defeats in their last five matches, alongside just one win and a draw. Over a longer run of 10 games, the visitors have managed as many victories as Sturm Graz, but their defensive line has looked much shakier-conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, while their scoring rate hovers only slightly above one goal per game. This inconsistency is often down to their struggles in the second half or after conceding first, as the team finds it difficult to regain momentum and get back into the contest.
Match Results: Rapid Wien
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 59;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 12; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 1.22;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.61, while the visitors net 0.61.
First-Half Stats: Sturm Graz (home) vs Rapid Wien (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 14;
- wins: 3 (20%) vs 4 (28.57%);
- losses: 3 (20%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- draws: 9 (60%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- Average goals scored: 0.8 vs 1.14;
- Average goals conceded: 0.47 vs 0.57.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6).
- Sturm Graz have drawn in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Sturm Graz have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- home team wins - 20, away team wins - 21, draws - 18.
- Sturm Graz have drawn in 5 of last 6 games (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz have drawn in last 4 home games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 1.39;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 38; at the home team's field - 21.
Statistics: Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 2.42;
- average total goals scored: 1.58 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.87 vs 0.68;
- Sturm Graz: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Rapid Wien: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Rapid Wien have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games against Sturm Graz.
- Rapid Wien have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 13 away games.
- Rapid Wien have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games (Bundesliga).
- Rapid Wien have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
Sturm Graz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.45; at home field - 5.53;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 5.2.
Rapid Wien: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61, away - 5.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 3.25.
- Rapid Wien have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- both teams scored all-time - 38 times;
- on the home team’s field - 21 times.
- Sturm Graz have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Bundesliga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/186, 12.9%);
- Sturm Graz at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/15, 26.7%);
- Rapid Wien away most often play: 1:1 (5/14, 35.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.94% (odds 6.88)
1:1 - 10.85% (odds 6.26)
2:1 - 9.52% (odds 6.76)
- Sturm Graz drew 1:1 in 4 of last 5 games (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 home games (Bundesliga).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The under 2.5 goals trend has hit in nine consecutive home matches for Sturm Graz - a key factor pointing towards a low-scoring affair here. The hosts rarely allow opponents to break down their defense at home, and they themselves often settle for narrow wins or share the points in matches with few goals. Rapid struggle to convert chances and find it especially tough to break through well-organized defenses on the road, particularly against top-three sides, where the added pressure makes things even more difficult for the visitors. Our main prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien
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