Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Iñigo Pérez’s side extend their unbeaten run? As the week draws to a close, the “Campo de Vallecas” will host its final La Liga fixture of the season, with Villarreal visiting Rayo Vallecano. Both teams have already accomplished their main objectives: the “Bees” have secured safety from relegation, while the “Yellow Submarine” have locked in Champions League football for next season. Thanks to home advantage, bookmakers are giving a slight edge to the hosts. 

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Recently, the Madrid side have struggled in their encounters with Villarreal. A quick look at the last ten head-to-head meetings tells the story: two wins for Los Franjirrojos, two draws, and six victories for the Yellow Submarine. It's also worth noting the average goals scored over that span-Villarreal lead the way with 2 per game, while Rayo Vallecano manage just 0.6. Earlier this season, Marcelino’s men left Rayo with no chance at the Estadio de la Cerámica, cruising to a 4-0 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    24%
    7 Wins
    17%
    5 Draws
    59%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    29
    Total Goals Avg
    3.17
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.21
    Total average
    1.97
    1.76
    Yellow cards
    1.62
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    01.11.25
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.51
    1.15
    3
    5
    7
    11
    1
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2.51
    1.15
    3
    5
    7
    11
    1
    1
    22.02.25
    PRI
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1
    Villarreal CF
    Villarreal CF
    0.61
    0.53
    3
    5
    15
    12
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.61
    0.53
    3
    5
    15
    12
    1
    4
    18.12.24
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.78
    1.59
    7
    7
    1
    7
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.78
    1.59
    7
    7
    1
    7
    4
    3
    28.04.24
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    -
    -
    3
    6
    15
    10
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    15
    10
    2
    1
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    Rayo Vallecano Team Overview

    🔴 Iñigo Pérez’s side have shown marked improvement in the closing stages of the La Liga season, steering clear of relegation danger. Currently, the “Bees” sit 10th in the table, five points above the drop zone and just four adrift of the top seven. It’s clear their main focus now is the upcoming Conference League final. Let’s take a look at Rayo Vallecano’s average stats this La Liga campaign: they score 1.03 goals per match while conceding 1.19 on average.

    ⚪ Midweek saw the “Bees” travel to Mestalla, where Iñigo Pérez’s men let a lead slip and had to settle for a 1-1 draw against Valencia. Rayo Vallecano are known for their high-intensity pressing and relentless desire to win back possession quickly. The Spanish coach favours a 4-2-3-1 formation, perfectly suited to their dynamic style of play. The main attacking threat for the “Bees” this La Liga season has been Jorge de Frutos, who has netted 10 goals in 34 appearances.

    Match Results: Rayo Vallecano

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Conference League
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    L
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    D
    11.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Girona
    Girona
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    D
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    Villarreal Team Overview

    🟡 With two rounds remaining in the league campaign, Villarreal are sitting comfortably in third place, holding a three-point cushion over their closest challengers. For the second consecutive season, the “Yellow Submarine” are on course for a spot in Europe’s premier club competition-a clear testament to the outstanding work Marcelino has done at the helm of the Castellón-based side. Villarreal’s attacking output in La Liga stands at an average of 1.86 goals scored per match, while they concede 1.19 on average.

    🔵 In the previous round of the domestic championship, Villarreal suffered a surprise home defeat to Sevilla (2-3). The setback wasn’t just about the final scoreline; Villarreal squandered a two-goal lead and struggled to create real danger despite dominating possession. Their build-up play lacked penetration and failed to overload the flanks. The expected goals tally tells its own story: 0.87 to 0.82, narrowly in Sevilla’s favor. Georges Mikautadze remains Villarreal’s leading scorer in this La Liga campaign.

    Match Results: Villarreal

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    2.45
    1.01
    5
    9
    3
    12
    0
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    L
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    1.19
    1.1
    6
    4
    11
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    1.19
    1.1
    6
    4
    11
    9
    2
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    2.11
    1.21
    5
    4
    17
    13
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2.11
    1.21
    5
    4
    17
    13
    2
    0
    D
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    1.91
    0.82
    7
    3
    14
    7
    3
    1
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    1.91
    0.82
    7
    3
    14
    7
    3
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Rayo Vallecano

    ❌ Rayo Vallecano are dealing with several squad issues. The absence of Ilias Akhomach is a major blow, as his injury has kept him sidelined since early May. Luis Felipe has also been out of action since mid-April due to a hamstring injury and is expected to miss four months. Álvaro García remains a doubt for the upcoming fixture-the Spanish forward was left out of the squad against Valencia because of a minor knock. During the recent clash at Mestalla, Gerard Gumbau picked up an unspecified injury that forced him off in the 67th minute. Lastly, Isi Palazón is serving a suspension and will not be available for La Liga action until next season.

    Villarreal

    ❌ Villarreal will be without Renato Veiga, a key figure in the “Yellow Submarine’s” tactical setup, as he serves a suspension for accumulated yellow cards. On a brighter note, Pau Cabanes has returned to training following a serious knee injury. However, Juan Foyth is not expected back until the start of next season, with the Argentine still recovering from an Achilles injury suffered at the end of January. 

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Inigo Perez’s side have consistently impressed on home turf. However, Villarreal’s backline can hardly be called a model of defensive solidity. The Yellow Submarine have conceded in 12 consecutive matches. There’s another notable trend: both teams have found the net in each of Villarreal’s last six outings. Our pick: Both teams to score (Yes) at odds of 1.61*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Four of Villarreal’s last five matches have seen no more than ten corners. A similar pattern emerges in six of the previous seven head-to-head clashes between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal. Both sides prefer a direct style of play and rarely threaten from the flanks. We’re backing the following market: Total corners under 9.5 at 1.82*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    Editor’s Prediction

    Villarreal have already wrapped up their objectives for the season, so it’s unlikely we’ll see the Yellow Submarine at full throttle here. Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano are eager to settle the score after suffering a heavy defeat at La Cerámica earlier in the campaign. In-form Rayo, boosted by home advantage, should be well placed to deliver their best football under Iñigo Pérez and add to their points tally. A final scoreline of 2-1 looks plausible. The main tip: Rayo Vallecano to win with a (0) handicap. 

    Our choice
    Rayo Vallecano Handicap (0) at odds of -135*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 May 2026, 07:32)

    Betting Tips: Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal

    Rayo Vallecano have drawn in the 1st half
    rayo-vallecano-1in 6 of last 7 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +600
    Rayo Vallecano have not lost
    rayo-vallecano-1in 14 of last 15 home games (LaLiga).
    rayo-vallecano-1in 10 of last 11 home games.
    rayo-vallecano-1in last 7 games.
    Rayo Vallecano will not lose
    Everygame
    -345
    Rayo Vallecano have scored
    rayo-vallecano-1in 14 of last 15 home games.
    rayo-vallecano-1in last 11 home games (LaLiga).
    rayo-vallecano-1in last 8 games.
    Villarreal have conceded
    villarreal-cfin 24 of last 25 games.
    villarreal-cfin 20 of last 21 games (LaLiga).
    villarreal-cfin 15 of last 16 away games.
    villarreal-cfin 11 of last 12 away games (LaLiga).
    Rayo Vallecano will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    rayo-vallecano-1in 14 of last 15 Rayo Vallecano games (LaLiga).
    rayo-vallecano-1in 10 of last 11 Rayo Vallecano home games.
    rayo-vallecano-1in 7 of last 8 Rayo Vallecano home games (LaLiga).
    villarreal-cfin last 5 Villarreal away games (LaLiga).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    38275677-3586
    3.
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    382261072-4672
    4.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382161162-4469
    7.
    Getafe
    Getafe
    381561732-3851
    8.
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    3812141241-4450
    9.
    Valencia
    Valencia
    3813101546-5549

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 7
    +7
    +8
    21 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    2
    1
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    21
    7
    Conceded
    13
    2.1
    Match goals average
    3.4
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    8
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats