Racing vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 May 2026
🔥 Racing Montevideo and Cerro Largo kick off their Torneo Intermedio campaigns with a head-to-head clash. The hosts are looking to build on their momentum from the Apertura, banking on home advantage to make a strong start. Cerro Largo, true to form, rely on their well-drilled defence and disciplined counter-attacking approach. This upcoming fixture promises to be a tactical battle, with both sides eager to secure crucial points at the outset of this new stage of the championship.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides ended 1-0. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (Cerro Largo were the home team):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 3 vs 3;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Racing Montevideo and Cerro Largo:
- 12 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 5 wins, the visitors have 4 victories, and there have been 3 draws;
- Goals scored: 12 for each side;
- Average first-half total: 0.75 goals; second half: 1.25 goals;
- Average total goals per match: 2.
Head-to-head statistics Racing - Cerro Largo

Racing Montevideo Team Overview
The most recent official match for these teams took place in the Primera, with Central Español hosting Racing Montevideo. The game ended in a 2-0 victory.
Here are the key match stats (Racing Montevideo vs Central Español):
- Possession: 63% vs 37%;
- Corners: 2 vs 3;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Racing Montevideo have picked up three wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last five outings, maintaining an impressive balance between attack and defence. Over their previous ten matches, Racing have suffered only one loss, underlining the squad’s reliability. This season, they are averaging 1.57 goals per game while conceding just one per match-one of the best defensive records among the league’s top sides.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo

Cerro Largo Team Overview
The visitors played their most recent official match in the Primera tournament, with Cerro Largo hosting Peñarol. The contest ended in a 2-3 victory for Peñarol.
Here are the key match statistics (Cerro Largo vs Peñarol):
- Possession: 35% vs 65%;
- Corners: 1 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Cerro Largo have been struggling for more than a month now: their last five matches have produced just one win, three defeats, and a single draw, underlining the team’s lack of consistency. After ten rounds, the visitors have picked up four wins and suffered four losses, with the remaining fixtures ending in draws. Their attacking output has been modest this season, averaging just 0.93 goals per game, while their defense has hardly been solid either, conceding an average of 1.29 goals per match.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 12;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 4, Draws - 3.
Stats: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
- Games in the competition: 15 vs 14;
- Wins: 8 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 57% vs 29%;
- Losses: 2 vs 8;
- Draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- Racing Montevideo have avoided defeat in 13 of their last 14 Primera fixtures.
- Racing Montevideo are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 matches.
- Racing Montevideo are unbeaten at home in their last 7 Primera outings.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1, Away side - 1;
- Average goals per match - 2;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 4 times; at the home ground - once.
Average goals stats: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
- In the competition: 2.57 vs 2.21;
- Goals scored: 1.57 vs 0.93;
- First half: 0.79 vs 0.43;
- Second half: 0.79 vs 0.5;
- Racing Montevideo at home in the competition - 1.71;
- Cerro Largo away in the competition - 0.88;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 7 of Racing Montevideo’s last 8 Primera matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 12;
- Both teams have scored overall - 4 times;
- At the home ground - once.
Stats: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 14;
- Games with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 5;
- Racing Montevideo BTTS at home - 5 (71%);
- Cerro Largo BTTS away - 2 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- Games with BTTS: 6 vs 5;
- Racing Montevideo BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Cerro Largo BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- Most common scoreline in the competition: 0-1 (19 out of 113, 16.8%);
- Racing Montevideo’s most frequent home result: 1-1 (3 out of 7, 42.9%);
- Cerro Largo’s most common away results: 0-1, 1-0 (2 out of 8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm suggests the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 13.57% (odds: 5.5)
1-1 - 12.48% (odds: 6)
2-0 - 9.72% (odds: 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The contrast between Racing Montevideo’s impressive form and Cerro Largo’s ongoing struggles is clear even without a deep dive into the stats. The hosts are enjoying one of the strongest runs of the season, rarely losing and consistently converting chances up front. Meanwhile, the visitors mix occasional victories with extended winless spells and continue to make costly errors at the back. Backing Racing Montevideo to win looks like a well-founded pick for this fixture.