Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction 17 May 2026
🔊 In the final round of the Greek Super League, Panathinaikos are set to face off against PAOK. The hosts have little left to play for this season, as they are guaranteed to finish fourth regardless of the outcome. In contrast, the visitors are highly motivated: with the right results elsewhere, they could secure a spot in the Champions League. Based on recent form and overall quality, PAOK appear to have the upper hand-though they'll need to overcome the challenges of playing away from home.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PAOK Thessaloniki):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Panathinaikos Athens and PAOK Thessaloniki:
- played 73 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 29, for the away team - 30, draws - 14;
- number of goals (home/away) - 85 against 99;
- average total goals in the match - 2.52.
Head-to-head statistics Panathinaikos - PAOK
Panathinaikos Athens Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - Olympiacos, away team - Panathinaikos Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Panathinaikos Athens vs Olympiacos):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 5.
Panathinaikos are struggling as the season draws to a close: they've suffered three defeats and two draws in their last five matches. Their most recent victory dates back to the regular season-March 22, to be exact. In the previous round, they fell to Olympiacos, 0-1. Over the past six weeks, Panathinaikos have managed to score just once. Defensively, things remain consistently poor, with the team conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game. Their recent goal difference is also in the negative. Facing a highly motivated opponent, it's hard to see Panathinaikos mounting a serious challenge.
Match Results: Panathinaikos Athens
PAOK Thessaloniki Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - PAOK Thessaloniki, away - AEK Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
The visitors currently sit third in the table and have already secured a Europa League spot. However, if Olympiacos slip up in the final round and PAOK come out on top in their upcoming fixture, it will be the Thessaloniki side who claim a place in Europe's premier competition. The team will do everything in their power to secure all three points. Their recent form has been somewhat mixed, but not long ago they managed to defeat Olympiacos 3-1. They are now unbeaten in three straight matches. Statistically, PAOK are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Compared to Panathinaikos, their position looks quite promising.
Match Results: PAOK Thessaloniki
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 73;
- home team wins - 29, away team wins - 30, draws - 14.
- Panathinaikos Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 25 home games.
- Panathinaikos Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 1.36;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
- both teams scored: overall - 35; at the home team's field - 18.
Statistics: Panathinaikos Athens vs PAOK Thessaloniki
- average total in the tournament: 2.45 vs 2.58;
- average total goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.84;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.74 vs 0.9;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.94;
- Panathinaikos Athens: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- PAOK Thessaloniki: average total away in the tournament - 1.71;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.25) vs 1.5 (away - 1.2).
- PAOK Thessaloniki have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games.
- PAOK Thessaloniki have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (Super League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 73;
- both teams scored all-time - 35 times;
- on the home team’s field - 18 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/226, 14.2%);
- Panathinaikos Athens at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/15, 20%);
- PAOK Thessaloniki away most often play: 0:0 , 1:1 , 2:1 (2/14, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.47% (odds 7)
1:1 - 11.88% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.5% (odds 10)
Editorial Prediction
In the final round of the championship, Panathinaikos are unlikely to find the spark to deliver a surprisingly strong attacking performance. The squad is hampered by numerous absences, many of which directly impact their creativity going forward. PAOK are set to put in a balanced shift at both ends of the pitch, and their squad situation is far more stable than their rivals from Athens. Position by position, the visitors are clear favorites, but Razvan Lucescu’s side won’t take unnecessary risks-they’re focused on the result above all else. Our editorial team expects a pragmatic win for PAOK and recommends a bet on under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Panathinaikos Athens - PAOK Thessaloniki
in 7 of last 8 games.in 15 of last 17 games (Super League).
in 8 of last 9 home games (Super League).in 7 of last 8 home games.in 7 of last 8 away games.in 12 of last 14 PAOK Thessaloniki away games (Super League).in 6 of last 7 PAOK Thessaloniki games (Super League).in last 5 PAOK Thessaloniki games.
in 12 of last 13 Goga Kikacheishvili games.in last 7 Panathinaikos Athens games (Super League).in last 6 Panathinaikos Athens games.in 8 of last 9 PAOK Thessaloniki away games (Super League).in 7 of last 8 PAOK Thessaloniki games (Super League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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