Libertad Loja vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Libertad sit near the bottom of the table and are going through a rough patch, as their recent results clearly show. Deportivo Cuenca, meanwhile, are much closer to the top and have delivered more consistent performances throughout the season. The main storyline here is the contrast between the hosts’ instability and the visitors’ reliability on the road: Libertad rarely manage to win even at home, while Cuenca have shown solid defensive organization away from home. This sets up a clash with no clear favorite and suggests a low-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 05 March 2026 and ended in a 3-0 scoreline. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that fixture (Deportivo Cuenca were the home side):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Libertad and Deportivo Cuenca:
- 7 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 3 wins, the visitors 2, with 2 draws;
- Goals scored: 8 for each side;
- Average first-half total: 0.57, second-half total: 1.71;
- Average goals per match: 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad Loja Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in Serie A, with Emelec playing host to Libertad. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from the game (Libertad vs Emelec):
- Possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 1 vs 11;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Libertad’s poor run of form continues: the team have lost three of their last five matches, managing just one win and one draw in that span. Over their previous ten games, they have registered only a single victory, with five defeats and four draws-a clear sign of a deep slump. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match, while their attack has been underwhelming, scoring less than once per game both over the season and in recent fixtures. Their defensive instability is further highlighted by a worrying trend: Libertad have now conceded in seven consecutive matches.
Match Results: Libertad Loja
Cuenca Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, with Guayaquil City hosting Deportivo Cuenca. The contest ended 0-1.
Here’s a look at the key stats (Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City):
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 2 vs 3;
- Fouls: 12 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Deportivo Cuenca have shown far greater consistency in their recent performances. Over the past five rounds, they have picked up two wins, two draws, and suffered just one defeat. Looking at a longer stretch, they have managed four wins, four losses, and two draws in their last ten outings. While their attacking numbers remain modest-averaging just under a goal per game-the team’s defensive organization stands out, conceding just 1.3 goals per match across those ten fixtures. Their approach on the road has also paid off: matches away from home almost always see fewer than 2.5 total goals.
Match Results: Cuenca
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 2.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Cuenca
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- win percentage: 23% vs 46%;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Cuenca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games against Libertad Loja.
- Cuenca won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 18 games (Serie A).
- Cuenca won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Cuenca
- average total in the tournament: 2.23 vs 2.38;
- average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.15;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.31 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.69;
- Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Cuenca: average total away in the tournament - 0.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.25) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
- Libertad Loja have conceded in last 7 games (Serie A).
- Cuenca have scored in last 8 games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.43 (4.43 - for home team and 3 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 6 (4 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
Libertad Loja: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.15; at home field - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 4.
Cuenca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.92, away - 3.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 2.8.
- Cuenca have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Libertad Loja.
- Cuenca have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Cuenca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cuenca away - 1 (14%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Cuenca away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (19/104, 18.3%);
- Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:2 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Cuenca away most often play: 0:1 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.02% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.8% (odds 7)
0:0 - 10.5% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Liberatad's form remains shaky, both in their recent run and across their last ten fixtures-the team struggles to find the net and consistently makes defensive errors, leaving them exposed even against cautious opposition. The visitors, meanwhile, have shown a knack for controlling matches on the road: their away games rarely turn into high-scoring affairs, thanks to a solid back line and a measured approach in attack. The best bet here looks to be under 2.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Libertad Loja - Cuenca
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