Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 May 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Sunday’s clash at Sanga Stadium brings together two sides separated by several places in the standings, yet only four points apart. Kyoto Sanga, firmly rooted in the lower half, host Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who are pushing for a top-five finish in the J1 League’s Western Conference. Can the hosts pull off an upset, or will the visitors justify their status as favourites?

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sanfrecce Hiroshima):

    • ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 5;
    • fouls: 12 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Kyoto Sanga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima:

    • played 10 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
    • number of goals - 10 against 16;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.8, in the 2nd half - 1.8;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.6.

    Head-to-head statistics Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    36%
    4 Wins
    18%
    2 Draws
    45%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    11
    Avg. total goals
    2.73
    Both teams scored
    55%
    0.91
    Average total
    1.82
    3.36
    Corners
    6.09
    2.27
    Yellow cards
    0.73
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    J1 League
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    -
    -
    1
    10
    6
    14
    2
    1
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    10
    6
    14
    2
    1
    27.02.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    10
    5
    12
    16
    0
    5
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    10
    5
    12
    16
    0
    5
    12.09.25
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    6
    1
    9
    16
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    9
    16
    0
    3
    29.03.25
    J1 League
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.62
    1.42
    1
    9
    16
    11
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.62
    1.42
    1
    9
    16
    11
    0
    0
    03.11.24
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    13
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    13
    2
    2
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    Kyoto Sanga Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Vissel Kobe, away team - Kyoto Sanga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe):

    • ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
    • fouls: 12 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    Kyoto Sanga head into Matchday 17 as a side whose home ground has proven to be a decisive factor this season. They currently sit ninth in the Western Conference standings with 20 points, boasting a record of four wins, five draws, and seven defeats. However, the numbers at Sanga Stadium paint a much brighter picture: Kyoto have lost just twice in their last six home fixtures and have found the net in every home game so far this campaign.

    Match Results: Kyoto Sanga

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    J1 League
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1.34
    0.94
    4
    10
    16
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.34
    0.94
    4
    10
    16
    6
    1
    1
    L
    03.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    7
    4
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    3
    -
    -
    7
    4
    3
    4
    1
    2
    L
    23.09.26
    Emperor Cup
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    Fujieda
    Fujieda
    -
    -
    9
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    9
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    0.31
    0.59
    7
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.31
    0.59
    7
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    W
    15.09.26
    AFC Champions League
    Daejeon
    Daejeon
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    4
    3
    9
    9
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    9
    9
    0
    0
    L
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    Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Gamba Osaka, away - Sanfrecce Hiroshima). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here are the match stats (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka):

    • ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
    • fouls: 17 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima, under Bartosch Gaul, are experiencing a paradoxical run of form. On one hand, they sit fifth in the table with 24 points (six wins, four draws, six defeats). On the other, their away record is a real concern: Sanfrecce have lost five of their last six league matches on the road. Notably, they’ve only failed to score once during that stretch, highlighting that their main issues lie at the back.

    Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.5
    1.05
    2
    4
    15
    10
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.5
    1.05
    2
    4
    15
    10
    3
    1
    W
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Iwaki
    Iwaki
    -
    -
    3
    1
    13
    5
    2
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    13
    5
    2
    2
    W
    29.09.26
    J. League Cup
    Tochigi City
    Tochigi City
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    11
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    11
    1
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    2
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.18
    4.64
    2
    16
    12
    8
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.18
    4.64
    2
    16
    12
    8
    2
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    4.09
    0.42
    9
    4
    8
    5
    0
    1
    6
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    4.09
    0.42
    9
    4
    8
    5
    0
    1
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 10;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • wins: 7 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 44% vs 50%;
    • losses: 9 vs 8;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • losses: 6 vs 6;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Kyoto Sanga have not won in last 6 games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will not lose (odds: 1.29)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.6;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.6;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.31;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.81;
    • Kyoto Sanga: average total at home in the tournament -  1.71;
    • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 25 of last 26 Kyoto Sanga games (J1 League).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Kyoto Sanga home games (J1 League).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3,5) (odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.3 (3.6 - for home team and 5.7 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.6 (2.6 - for home team and 5 - for away team).

    Kyoto Sanga: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.13; at home field - 6.86;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 7.5.

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.75, away - 4.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 3.6.
    Trends
    • Kyoto Sanga have taken over 3.5 corners in last 9 home games (J1 League).
    • Kyoto Sanga have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Kyoto Sanga Total Over (3,5) (odds: 1.41)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 10;
    • both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 11;
    • number of BTTS matches for Kyoto Sanga at home - 6 (86%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima away - 6 (75%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Kyoto Sanga at home - 4 (100%);
    • BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima away - 3 (60%).
    Trends
    • Kyoto Sanga have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.67)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/161, 18.6%);
    • Kyoto Sanga at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%);
    • Sanfrecce Hiroshima away most often play: 2:1 (2/8, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.26% (odds 6.5)
    0:1 - 9.09% (odds 8.5)
    1:2 - 8.83% (odds 8.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams finding the net looks likely in this clash, given Kyoto Sanga’s attacking approach at home. The hosts are regularly involved in high-scoring encounters, consistently scoring and conceding goals on their own turf. With that in mind, a well-founded prediction is for Kyoto Sanga’s run of both teams scoring at home to continue-backing both teams to score (yes) appears a solid pick.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-149
    Published: 16/05/2026, 00:02

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    Betting Tips: Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    Kyoto Sanga have not won:
    kyoto-sanga-fcin last 6 games (J1 League).
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima will not lose
    -345
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    kyoto-sanga-fcin 25 of last 26 Kyoto Sanga games (J1 League).
    kyoto-sanga-fcin 12 of last 13 Kyoto Sanga home games (J1 League).
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 8 of last 9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima games (J1 League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -303
    Kyoto Sanga have conceded:
    kyoto-sanga-fcin last 13 games (J1 League).
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored:
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 22 of last 24 games.
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 17 of last 19 games (J1 League).
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 11 of last 12 away games.
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 8 of last 9 away games (J1 League).
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    Kyoto Sanga have scored:
    kyoto-sanga-fcsanfrecce-hiroshimain 9 of last 10 games against Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
    kyoto-sanga-fcsanfrecce-hiroshimain 8 of last 9 games against Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League).
    kyoto-sanga-fcin last 8 home games (J1 League).
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima have conceded:
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 14 of last 15 away games.
    sanfrecce-hiroshimain 10 of last 11 away games (J1 League).
    Kyoto Sanga will score goal
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 10
    -1
    +19
    25 - Scored
    6 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    2
    5
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    25
    10
    Conceded
    6
    1.9
    Average total per match
    3.1
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.5
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.6
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    103'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    36'
    View all stats