Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 May 2026
🔊 Sunday’s clash at Sanga Stadium brings together two sides separated by several places in the standings, yet only four points apart. Kyoto Sanga, firmly rooted in the lower half, host Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who are pushing for a top-five finish in the J1 League’s Western Conference. Can the hosts pull off an upset, or will the visitors justify their status as favourites?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sanfrecce Hiroshima):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Kyoto Sanga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima:
- played 10 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 10 against 16;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.8, in the 2nd half - 1.8;
- average total goals in the match - 2.6.
Head-to-head statistics Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kyoto Sanga Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Vissel Kobe, away team - Kyoto Sanga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Kyoto Sanga vs Vissel Kobe):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Kyoto Sanga head into Matchday 17 as a side whose home ground has proven to be a decisive factor this season. They currently sit ninth in the Western Conference standings with 20 points, boasting a record of four wins, five draws, and seven defeats. However, the numbers at Sanga Stadium paint a much brighter picture: Kyoto have lost just twice in their last six home fixtures and have found the net in every home game so far this campaign.
Match Results: Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Gamba Osaka, away - Sanfrecce Hiroshima). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, under Bartosch Gaul, are experiencing a paradoxical run of form. On one hand, they sit fifth in the table with 24 points (six wins, four draws, six defeats). On the other, their away record is a real concern: Sanfrecce have lost five of their last six league matches on the road. Notably, they’ve only failed to score once during that stretch, highlighting that their main issues lie at the back.
Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.
Statistics: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 7 vs 8;
- win percentage: 44% vs 50%;
- losses: 9 vs 8;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- Kyoto Sanga have not won in last 6 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.31;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.81;
- Kyoto Sanga: average total at home in the tournament - 1.71;
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 25 of last 26 Kyoto Sanga games (J1 League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Kyoto Sanga home games (J1 League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.3 (3.6 - for home team and 5.7 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.6 (2.6 - for home team and 5 - for away team).
Kyoto Sanga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.13; at home field - 6.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 7.5.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.75, away - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 3.6.
- Kyoto Sanga have taken over 3.5 corners in last 9 home games (J1 League).
- Kyoto Sanga have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Kyoto Sanga at home - 6 (86%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima away - 6 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Kyoto Sanga at home - 4 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima away - 3 (60%).
- Kyoto Sanga have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (J1 League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/161, 18.6%);
- Kyoto Sanga at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%);
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima away most often play: 2:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.26% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 9.09% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 8.83% (odds 8.5)