Heracles vs Groningen Prediction
๐ Can Groningen secure a European spot as the Eredivisie season wraps up? In the final round, Groningen, who sit on the edge of the top nine and hold a two-point cushion over their closest rivals, head to face Heracles. The Almelo club have long lost any hope of staying in the top flight. Will the visitors find enough motivation to extend Heraclesโ losing streak? Our editorial team breaks down the odds and offers a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Groningen):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
๐Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heracles Almelo and Groningen:
- played 36 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 16, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 57 against 66;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.53, in the 2nd half - 1.89;
- average total goals in the match - 3.42.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Telstar, away team - Heracles Almelo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Heracles Almelo vs Telstar):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Heracles are enduring a severe crisis: the team are currently on a five-match losing streak and have gone 12 consecutive Eredivisie fixtures without a win. Over this stretch, the Almelo club have managed to pick up just two points. Their stats during this run are particularly poor, averaging only 0.3 goals scored per game while conceding 2.5 on average. Even across the entire season, their attacking output remains lackluster at just 1.03 goals per match, and Heracles effectively sealed their relegation fate well before the end of the campaign.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo
Groningen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
The team have shown more consistent form lately, even though they've only picked up seven points from their last five matches. Still, in their previous outing, Groningen managed to defeat NEC Nijmegen-who were third in the Eredivisie at the time-by a 2-1 scoreline, underlining their ambition to fight for a European spot. Groningen display a well-balanced approach, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. With just a two-point gap separating them from tenth place, dropping points is simply not an option at this stage.
Match Results: Groningen
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Games played - 36;
- Home wins - 15, Away wins - 16, Draws - 5.
Stats: Heracles Almelo vs Groningen
- Matches in this competition: 33 vs 33;
- Wins: 5 vs 13;
- Win percentage: 15% vs 39%;
- Losses: 24 vs 14;
- Draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 0 vs 4;
- Losses: 8 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Heracles Almelo have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 8 of the last 9 Eredivisie head-to-heads against Groningen.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average goals):
- Home side - 1.58, Away side - 1.83;
- Overall H2H average - 3.42 goals per match;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 25 times; at Heraclesโ ground - 13 times.
Average total stats: Heracles Almelo vs Groningen
- This competition: 3.55 vs 2.76;
- Goals scored: 1.03 vs 1.42;
- First half: 0.52 vs 0.61;
- Second half: 0.52 vs 0.82;
- Heracles Almelo at home in this competition - 1.38;
- Groningen away in this competition - 1.25;
- Last 10 matches: 0.3 (home - 0.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.4).
- Heracles Almelo have found the net at home in each of the last nine Eredivisie head-to-heads with Groningen.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Heracles Almelo: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 4.36; at home - 4.56;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.4; at home - 5.
Groningen: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 6.3; away - 5.69;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 6.1; away - 7.
- Groningen have won fewer than 5.5 corners in 10 of their last 11 Eredivisie meetings with Heracles Almelo.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Games played - 36;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 25 times;
- At Heraclesโ ground - on 13 occasions.
Stats: Heracles Almelo vs Groningen
- Matches in this competition: 33 vs 33;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 16 vs 18;
- Heracles Almelo BTTS at home - 8 (50%);
- Groningen BTTS away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- Heracles Almelo BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Groningen BTTS away - 4 (80%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (34/297, 11.4%);
- Heracles Almeloโs most frequent home results: 0-2, 0-3, and 1-1 (2/16, 12.5%);
- Groningenโs most frequent away results: 0-2 and 2-0 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three likely outcomes:
1-2 - 9.94% (odds: 6.83)
1-1 - 8.83% (odds: 7.4)
0-1 - 8.57% (odds: 8.38)
โญ Editorโs Prediction
Groningenโs motivation is clear: they need to secure a top-nine finish and keep Sparta at bay in the battle for a European spot heading into the final matchday. Heracles, meanwhile, have long since lost any hope of survival, with a five-game losing streak highlighting their ongoing crisis. Groningen have shown far better balance between attack and defense in recent fixtures, a trend reflected both in their recent form and season-long stats. Given all this, backing Groningen to win stands out as the only logical play.
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Betting Tips: Heracles Almelo - Groningen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
