Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 May 2026
🔊 Fluminense and São Paulo head into this clash sitting third and fourth in the league table, respectively. Both sides have struggled for consistency over their last ten matches, but their attacking output has remained solid-Fluminense are averaging 1.2 goals per game in that stretch, while São Paulo are just behind with 1. Defensively, Fluminense have looked more vulnerable, conceding more goals than their rivals. This encounter promises to be a pivotal battle for both clubs as they fight to secure a spot in the top three.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 27 November 2025 and ended in a commanding 6-0 victory. Here’s a statistical breakdown of that match (Fluminense were the home side):
- Possession: 57% vs 43%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 8 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 11 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Fluminense and São Paulo:
- They have faced off 39 times;
- The hosts have claimed 18 wins, the visitors have 11 victories, and there have been 10 draws;
- Total goals scored: 64 for Fluminense, 43 for São Paulo;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.13; in the second half: 1.62;
- Average total goals per match: 2.74.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Sao Paulo
Fluminense Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on as part of the Copa do Brasil, with Fluminense hosting Operario. The match ended in a 2-1 victory for the home side.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Fluminense vs Operario:
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 5 vs 1;
- Fouls committed: 24 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 5.
🔴 Fluminense have been alternating between disappointing and successful spells: over their last five matches, they have managed just one win, alongside two defeats and two draws. The team consistently delivers high-scoring performances at home-each of their last six home games has seen over 2.5 goals, highlighting their attacking mindset even at the expense of defensive solidity. Across their previous ten outings, Fluminense have averaged 1.5 goals conceded per match and 1.2 goals scored, underlining their open style of play and tendency to come under pressure, even on home turf.
Match Results: Fluminense
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa do Brasil, facing Juventude away from home. The contest ended with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here’s how the key stats shaped up (São Paulo vs Juventude):
- Possession: 42% vs 58%;
- Corners: 4 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 19;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 8.
⚪ São Paulo sit slightly lower in the table, and their recent form raises some concerns: they have suffered two defeats and drawn three times in their last five outings, failing to register a single win during this stretch. On the positive side, their defence has tightened up, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per game over their past ten matches. Offensively, they score roughly one goal per match-hardly prolific up front, but this approach has brought greater stability at the back.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 39;
- Home wins - 18, Away wins - 11, Draws - 10.
Stats: Fluminense vs São Paulo
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Wins: 8 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- Losses: 4 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
- Fluminense have won their last five home head-to-head clashes against São Paulo (Serie A).
- Fluminense have won 15 of their last 17 home league matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average goals):
- Home side - 1.64, Away side - 1.1;
- Combined average in head-to-heads - 2.74;
- Both teams scored: overall - 26 times; at Fluminense’s ground - 12 times.
Average goals stats: Fluminense vs São Paulo
- In this competition: 3 vs 2.47;
- Goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.4;
- First half: 0.73 vs 0.4;
- Second half: 0.93 vs 1;
- Fluminense at home in the league - 1.88;
- São Paulo away in the league - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.6) vs 1 (away - 0.67).
- Fluminense have conceded in nine of their last ten matches.
- Fluminense have conceded in seven straight Serie A fixtures.
- Fluminense have conceded in six consecutive home games.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Fluminense: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.8; at home - 5.75;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 3.8; at home - 5.4.
São Paulo: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 6.93; away - 5.63;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 7.2; away - 4.83.
- Fluminense have recorded under 5.5 corners in 13 of the last 14 head-to-head league meetings with São Paulo.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Total matches played - 39;
- Both teams have scored in these meetings - 26 times;
- At Fluminense’s ground - on 12 occasions.
Stats: Fluminense vs São Paulo
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- BTS (both teams to score) matches this season: Fluminense - 11, São Paulo - 8;
- Fluminense BTS at home - 6 (75%);
- São Paulo BTS away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTS matches: Fluminense - 7, São Paulo - 4;
- Fluminense BTS at home - all five home games (100%);
- São Paulo BTS away - three times (50%).
- Fluminense have both scored and conceded in six straight home matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines this season:
- The most frequent result in the league: 1-1 (21 out of 147, or 14.3%);
- Fluminense’s most common home results: 1-0, 2-1 (2 out of 8, or 25%);
- São Paulo’s most frequent away result: 1-1 (2 out of 8, or 25%).
The algorithm projects the top three likely outcomes based on stats and probability distributions:
1-1 - 12.46% (odds: 6.5)
1-0 - 10.81% (odds: 6.5)
2-1 - 9.89% (odds: 8.5)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Statistics clearly highlight Fluminense’s attacking prowess at home - their last six home matches have all featured at least three goals, with both sides often finding the net in these fixtures. The hosts’ defense has looked vulnerable, conceding in nine of their previous ten outings, which suggests we’re in for an open contest with end-to-end action and defensive lapses on both sides. Given the visitors’ current form, even their usually solid backline could be breached by Fluminense’s aggressive attack, especially with both teams highly motivated to stay among the league leaders. The main prediction: both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: Fluminense - Sao Paulo
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