Fagiano vs Shimizu Prediction 17 May 2026
π In Round 17 of the J-League 1 Western Group, Fagiano Okayama are set to host Shimizu S-Pulse in a clash between direct rivals separated by just a single point in the standings. The stakes are high, with both sides sitting side by side on the table, but itβs not just the tight race that adds intrigue-history also plays its part. Shimizu boast a commanding advantage in their head-to-head record, yet recent form suggests this encounter could play out very differently.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Shimizu S Pulse):
- ball possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 7;
- fouls: 7 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Fagiano Okayama and Shimizu S Pulse:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 5, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 6 against 10;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.63, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Fagiano Okayama Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Vissel Kobe, away team - Fagiano Okayama). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here's the game statistics (Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe):
- ball possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 15 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Fagiano Okayama head into the next round as a side hitting their stride. They currently sit seventh in the Western group, boasting 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats. Takashi Kiyamaβs men have claimed four victories in their last five outings (including one via penalty shootout), suffering just a single loss-a clear sign of growing chemistry and notable progress. In their two most recent home fixtures, Okayama have kept back-to-back clean sheets.
Match Results: Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S Pulse Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Shimizu S Pulse, away - Avispa Fukuoka). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Shimizu S Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Shimizu head into the match riding a three-game winning streak, though it's worth noting that two of those victories came beyond regulation time. The team are enjoying a solid run of form and currently sit sixth in the table with 24 points (4 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses), boasting a positive goal difference (+1). The high number of draws under Takayuki Yoshida highlights Shimizu as a resilient, hard-to-beat side-firmly mid-table, but not quite among the leagueβs elite.
Match Results: Shimizu S Pulse
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.63;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.13, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Fagiano Okayama (home) vs Shimizu S Pulse (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 8;
- wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- draws: 5 (71.43%) vs 4 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 0.71 vs 0.88;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
- Fagiano Okayama have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Shimizu S Pulse.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 5, draws - 2.
Statistics: Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S Pulse
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 7 vs 8;
- win percentage: 44% vs 50%;
- losses: 9 vs 8;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- Fagiano Okayama have not won in 7 of last 8 games against Shimizu S Pulse.
- Shimizu S Pulse have not lost in 6 of last 7 away games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.75, the guests - 1.25;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S Pulse
- average total in the tournament: 2.63 vs 2.19;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.38;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.75;
- Fagiano Okayama: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Shimizu S Pulse: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 1.4).
- Fagiano Okayama have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Shimizu S Pulse.
- Fagiano Okayama have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 home games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
Fagiano Okayama: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.13; at home field - 6.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 4.75.
Shimizu S Pulse: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75, away - 4.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.6.
- Shimizu S Pulse have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 1 times.
Statistics: Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S Pulse
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Fagiano Okayama at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Shimizu S Pulse away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Fagiano Okayama at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Shimizu S Pulse away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/161, 18.6%);
- Fagiano Okayama at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Shimizu S Pulse away most often play: 1:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.59% (odds 5.53)
1:0 - 11.24% (odds 5.83)
0:1 - 10% (odds 6.38)
β Editorial Prediction
Head-to-head stats are simply too compelling to overlook here. Fagiano Okayama have failed to beat Shimizu in 7 of their last 8 encounters, and that psychological hurdle weighs heavily on the hosts. Shimizu, meanwhile, have become one of the toughest sides to face on the road, avoiding defeat in 6 of their previous 7 away league matches. They have the resilience and quality to come away with points from City Light Stadium. The main prediction: Shimizu to avoid defeat.
Betting Tips: Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S Pulse
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
