Estoril Praia vs Benfica Prediction
🔊 Benfica head into their away clash with Estoril boasting an unbeaten record this season. In stark contrast, the hosts are enduring a rough patch, having managed just one win in their last ten outings. Estoril’s defensive frailties have only made matters worse for them in recent weeks. The “Eagles” are clear favourites here and should be expected to claim all three points, though even a victory may not be enough to secure a Champions League spot. Here’s our editorial prediction for the match.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides took place on 03 January 2026 and ended in a 3-1 victory. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that encounter, with Benfica playing at home:
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 7 vs 3;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Key stats from the official head-to-head meetings between Estoril and Benfica:
- They have faced off 30 times;
- The hosts have claimed just 1 win, while the visitors have come out on top 26 times, with 3 draws;
- Goals scored: 23 for Estoril, 69 for Benfica;
- Average goals in the first half - 1.5, in the second half - 1.57;
- Average total goals per match - 3.07.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Estoril Praia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primeira, with Alverca hosting Estoril. The contest ended in a 1-1 draw.
Key match statistics (Estoril vs Alverca):
- Possession: 58% vs 42%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 15 vs 20;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Estoril are enduring a tough end to the season, with results taking a noticeable dip: over their last ten matches, they have managed just one win while suffering six defeats. Their attacking output has dropped to an average of only 0.7 goals per game during this stretch, highlighting clear struggles in both chance creation and finishing. Defensively, Estoril continue to be vulnerable-conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match over the same period, with their season-long tally not far off at 1.64 goals allowed per game. This combination of a misfiring attack and a leaky back line often leaves the hosts under pressure, even on home turf, forcing them to chase the game after conceding early goals.
Match Results: Estoril Praia
Benfica Lisbon Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official fixture took place on in the Primeira Liga, where Benfica hosted Braga. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Benfica vs Braga):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 8 vs 2;
- Fouls: 6 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Benfica remain firmly among the league leaders and are the only team yet to taste defeat this season. Still, that unbeaten run hasn’t been enough to secure their spot in the Champions League. The main issue: too many draws. Benfica have dropped valuable points against mid-table sides, and over their last five matches, they’ve picked up three wins and two draws. Across their previous ten fixtures, the visitors have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, while their season-long average for goals allowed sits at just 0.73 per match. Nevertheless, recent trends highlight a vulnerability-Benfica have conceded in seven consecutive away games, underlining their susceptibility to surprise counterattacks despite being favourites. Realistically, the club look set to finish third, but there’s added motivation here: this could be José Mourinho’s final match at the helm, with reports linking him to a move to Real Madrid.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Latest news
Estoril Praia
❌ The hosts have no injury concerns, but they will be without Pedro Carvalho and Antef Tsoungui, who are both suspended due to yellow card accumulation.
Benfica Lisbon
✅ The club have no absentees ahead of the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 30;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 7; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.37, while the visitors net 1.13.
First-Half Stats: Estoril Praia (home) vs Benfica Lisbon (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 5 (31.25%) vs 8 (50%);
- losses: 4 (25%) vs 2 (12.5%);
- draws: 7 (43.75%) vs 6 (37.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1.63 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.75 vs 0.19.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
- Estoril Praia have lost the 1st half in 11 of last 12 games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 26, draws - 3.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 10 vs 22;
- win percentage: 30% vs 67%;
- losses: 14 vs 0;
- draws: 9 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 6;
- losses: 6 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Estoril Praia won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 home games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.77, the guests - 2.3;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon
- average total in the tournament: 3.24 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 1.61 vs 2.15;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.79 vs 1.06;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.82 vs 1.09;
- Estoril Praia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Benfica Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 1.88;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.5) vs 2.2 (away - 1.8).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Estoril Praia home games against Benfica Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Estoril Praia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45; at home field - 4.81;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 6.25.
Benfica Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.15, away - 6.81;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.6; away - 8.4.
- Over 9.5 corners in last 9 Benfica Lisbon games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Benfica Lisbon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Estoril Praia at home - 11 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Estoril Praia at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Benfica Lisbon away - 5 (100%).
- Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in last 7 away games.
- Benfica Lisbon have scored and conceded in last 6 away games (Primeira Liga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/297, 10.1%), 1:1 (30/297, 10.1%);
- Estoril Praia at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Benfica Lisbon away most often play: 1:2 (6/16, 37.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 10.6% (odds 8)
0:2 - 10.51% (odds 7.5)
0:1 - 10.2% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Recent form and head-to-head stats clearly favour Benfica, but there’s one factor that can’t be overlooked: their vulnerability on the road. Benfica have conceded in seven consecutive away matches, a trend that aligns with the hosts’ current attacking form. While Estoril have struggled up front over the long haul, they could capitalise on Benfica’s defensive lapses. The main prediction here is both teams to score.
Betting Tips: Estoril Praia - Benfica Lisbon
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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