Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 May 2026
π Cerezo Osaka currently sit fourth in the table and, in Matchweek 17 of the J1 League, they take on Nagoya Grampus-the leaders of the Western Conference. The visitors have been far more prolific in front of goal and have shown greater consistency over the course of the season, yet they come into this clash as underdogs. Does that mean theyβre likely to drop points here?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nagoya Grampus):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 6 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus:
- played 46 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 23, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 52 against 65;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.11, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
- average total goals in the match - 2.54.
Head-to-head statistics Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya
Cerezo Osaka Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Cerezo Osaka, away team - V-Varen Nagasaki). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Cerezo Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
Arthur Papasβ side currently sit fourth in the Western Group, and their campaign has been defined by a promising start derailed by a string of personnel setbacks. Over 16 matches, the team have registered 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, scoring 17 goals and conceding 16. Cerezo have struggled for consistency, picking up 3 victories alongside 2 losses in their last five outings, which makes a push for top spot seem unlikely.
Match Results: Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Nagoya Grampus, away - Kyoto Sanga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga):
- ball possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
The Reds, led by seasoned Serbian manager Mihailo PetroviΔ, are the frontrunners to top the group. They sit at the summit with 31 points from 16 matches (8 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). The team boasts the leagueβs most potent attack, having netted 28 goals (an average of 1.75 per game), and they are in scintillating form, having won their last three fixtures by an aggregate score of 7-1. Yuya Yamagishi fired a hat-trick past Kyoto Sanga (3-0), propelling himself to second place in the leagueβs scoring charts.
Match Results: Nagoya Grampus
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.11;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.61.
First-Half Stats: Cerezo Osaka (home) vs Nagoya Grampus (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
- wins: 2 (25%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 6 (75%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 0.29.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
- Cerezo Osaka scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (J1 League).
- Cerezo Osaka scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games (J1 League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 23, draws - 9.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 9 vs 10;
- win percentage: 56% vs 63%;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- Nagoya Grampus have not lost in 9 of last 10 games (J1 League).
- Nagoya Grampus have not lost in 6 of last 7 away games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.41;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
- average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.63 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.44 vs 1;
- Cerezo Osaka: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Nagoya Grampus: average total away in the tournament - 1.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.8) vs 2 (away - 1.75).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 Cerezo Osaka games (J1 League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Cerezo Osaka home games (J1 League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Nagoya Grampus games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
Cerezo Osaka: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.6.
Nagoya Grampus: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.38, away - 4.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 5.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 11 times.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Nagoya Grampus away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/161, 18.6%);
- Cerezo Osaka at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Nagoya Grampus away most often play: 1:1 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.32% (odds 6.04)
1:0 - 8.9% (odds 7.3)
2:1 - 8.47% (odds 7.12)
β Editor's Prediction
Nagoya Grampus' form leaves little doubt about the conference leaders: the visitors consistently pick up points thanks to their solid defence and clinical finishing. They have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 league outings. Cerezo Osaka tend to play on the front foot but often take matches all the way to penalties. With that in mind, our pick is Nagoya Grampus double chance. The most likely scenario is a high-scoring 1-1 draw, with both sides sharing the spoils after a closely contested battle.No comments
Betting Tips: Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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