Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction
🔊 Casa Pia head into this fixture on the back of a poor run and a notably underwhelming attacking record, while Rio Ave sit slightly higher in the table and have shown more consistent form. The hosts struggle in front of goal, averaging less than one goal per match, and their defense has been prone to lapses. Meanwhile, although the visitors are hardly prolific themselves, they have looked a touch more assured in recent outings and tend to secure better results. Given these factors, this clash promises to be a tense affair for both sides.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 04 January 2026 and ended in a 3-1 victory. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (Riu Ave were at home):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 9 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 10 vs 23;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Casa Pia and Rio Ave:
- 10 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 2 wins, while the visitors have 5 victories; 3 games have ended in a draw;
- Goals scored: Casa Pia 9, Rio Ave 14;
- Average first-half goals: 1.2; average second-half goals: 1.1;
- Average total goals per match: 2.3.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Casa Pia Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Vitória Guimarães hosting Casa Pia. The match ended 0-1.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Casa Pia vs Vitória Guimarães):
- Possession: 29% vs 71%;
- Corners: 4 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 16 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Casa Pia continue to struggle up front, as evidenced by a run of three defeats and a draw in their last five outings. Goals have been hard to come by during this stretch. Over their previous ten matches, they average just 0.5 goals per game, and across the season that figure rises only slightly to 0.91 per match. Defensive issues persist as well, with the team conceding an average of 1.7 goals, and even on home turf they rarely manage to put up much resistance. Their long streak without scoring twice in a single game highlights just how limited their attacking options are right now. On the flip side, the upcoming fixture is absolutely crucial-Casa Pia desperately need a win to avoid direct relegation.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Rio Ave Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing off against Rio Ave away from home. Sporting came away with a commanding 4-1 victory.
Here’s how the key stats break down (Rio Ave vs Sporting):
- Possession: 36% vs 64%;
- Corners: 5 vs 6;
- Fouls: 9 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Rio Ave head into this fixture as a side not known for prolific scoring, yet they consistently manage to pick up points, even away from home. In their last five matches, the visitors have recorded one win, two defeats, and two draws-a run that suggests a more balanced form compared to their opponents. Over the past ten games, Rio Ave average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, underlining a preference for tight, low-scoring contests without a clear upper hand. In the league table, Rio Ave sit slightly above Casa Pia, maintaining a safe distance from the automatic relegation spots and affording themselves the luxury of a pragmatic approach.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 5, draws - 3.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 6 vs 8;
- win percentage: 18% vs 24%;
- losses: 16 vs 14;
- draws: 11 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Rio Ave won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games against Casa Pia.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.9, the guests - 1.4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.3;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
- average total in the tournament: 2.61 vs 2.73;
- average total goals scored: 0.91 vs 1.03;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.39;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.45 vs 0.64;
- Casa Pia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.06;
- Rio Ave: average total away in the tournament - 1.06;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Casa Pia have conceded in last 7 games against Rio Ave.
- Casa Pia have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.3 (5 - for home team and 4.3 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8.6 (5.2 - for home team and 3.4 - for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88; at home field - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 3.8.
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.39, away - 3.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 4.25.
- Rio Ave have taken over 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 9 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/297, 10.1%), 1:1 (30/297, 10.1%);
- Casa Pia at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/16, 25%);
- Rio Ave away most often play: 1:2 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.35% (odds 7)
1:1 - 11.26% (odds 7)
0:1 - 10.39% (odds 13)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match narrative centers on a tense fight for points, with Casa Pia desperate for a win to keep their survival hopes alive. However, the hosts’ attacking options remain limited. Recent trends highlight that under 2.5 goals has landed in five consecutive home games for Casa Pia-a pattern mirrored by the visitors’ own struggles in front of goal. While both defenses are prone to mistakes, the numbers suggest a cagey affair is the most likely scenario. Our main prediction: under 2.5 goals.
.svg)
Betting Tips: Casa Pia - Rio Ave
in 10 of last 11 games (Primeira Liga).in last 5 home games (Primeira Liga).
in last 5 Casa Pia games (Primeira Liga).in 12 of last 14 Rio Ave games (Primeira Liga).in last 6 Rio Ave away games (Primeira Liga).in 6 of last 7 Casa Pia games against Rio Ave.in 7 of last 8 Rio Ave games (Primeira Liga).
in 12 of last 13 Helder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro games (in the Primeira Liga).in 8 of last 9 Helder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro games.in last 10 games against Rio Ave.in last 7 games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).in last 5 home games against Rio Ave.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
