Bragantino vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 May 2026

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Key points

    πŸ”Š The clash between Bragantino and Vitoria stands out as one of the most intriguing mid-table battles in this round of the Brazilian Serie A. Both sides sit close in the standings and remain firmly in the hunt for a spot in the league’s upper echelon, but they approach this fixture with contrasting mindsets. Bragantino are banking on their aggressive, high-tempo football at home, while Vitoria have recently embraced a more pragmatic and disciplined approach.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official fixture between these sides took place on 03 December 2025 and ended in a 4-0 victory. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Bragantino were the home side):

    • Possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • Corners: 5 vs 0;
    • Fouls committed: 21 vs 12;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
    • Shots on target: 9 vs 3.

    πŸ“Š Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Bragantino and Vitoria:

    • They have faced off 15 times;
    • The hosts have claimed 8 wins, while the visitors have 6 victories, with 1 draw between them;
    • Goals scored: 23 for the home side, 20 for the away team;
    • Average goals in the first half: 1.33; in the second half: 1.53;
    • Average total goals per match: 2.87.

    Head-to-head statistics Bragantino - Vitoria

    56%
    9 Wins
    6%
    1 Draw
    38%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    16
    Avg. total goals
    2.81
    Both teams scored
    38%
    1.56
    Average total
    1.25
    1.5
    Yellow cards
    1.88
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    3.17
    0.52
    7
    6
    21
    11
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3.17
    0.52
    7
    6
    21
    11
    4
    2
    03.12.25
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    2.2
    0.4
    5
    0
    21
    12
    3
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.2
    0.4
    5
    0
    21
    12
    3
    0
    20.07.25
    Serie A
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    0.27
    1.23
    2
    5
    18
    13
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.27
    1.23
    2
    5
    18
    13
    2
    2
    19.10.24
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    -
    -
    5
    5
    15
    7
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    15
    7
    2
    1
    23.06.24
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    -
    -
    6
    7
    11
    12
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    7
    11
    12
    3
    2
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    Bragantino Team Overview

    The team’s most recent official match took place on in the Copa do Brasil, with Mirassol hosting Bragantino. The game ended in a 2-1 victory.

    Here’s how the key stats broke down (Bragantino vs Mirassol):

    • Possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • Corners: 4 vs 2;
    • Fouls committed: 19 vs 7;
    • Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    πŸ”΄ Bragantino remain one of the most unpredictable yet entertaining sides in the league. They consistently play high-intensity, vertical football, generating plenty of chances, but defensive issues continue to haunt them. In recent home fixtures, Bragantino have beaten Flamengo 3-0 and Remo 4-2, underlining their impressive attacking potential. However, the team have also faced a tough spell: defeats to Palmeiras (0-1) and River Plate (0-1) have shown that Bragantino struggle against well-organised opponents who know how to control the space between the lines. Their vulnerability is especially evident when defending against quick counter-attacks.

    βšͺ Bragantino’s main strength remains their home form. On their own turf, they play with much more aggression, pressing high up the pitch and looking to transition swiftly into the final third via the flanks. According to recent home stats, Bragantino average more than two goals per match. It’s also important to note their congested fixture list, as they are simultaneously competing in the Copa Sudamericana. This has led the coaching staff to rotate the squad regularly, particularly in midfield.

    Match Results: Bragantino

    Last matches
    02.11.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Santos
    Santos
    1.64
    1.17
    7
    5
    15
    5
    1
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.64
    1.17
    7
    5
    15
    5
    1
    3
    W
    28.10.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    2.56
    0.69
    7
    4
    11
    6
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.56
    0.69
    7
    4
    11
    6
    0
    0
    W
    24.10.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    3.56
    0.49
    10
    9
    7
    10
    2
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3.56
    0.49
    10
    9
    7
    10
    2
    4
    L
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    1.49
    2.1
    14
    3
    9
    15
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.49
    2.1
    14
    3
    9
    15
    2
    1
    D
    13.10.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    3.08
    2.68
    7
    6
    12
    12
    2
    2
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    3.08
    2.68
    7
    6
    12
    12
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    EC Vitoria BA Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa do Brasil, facing VitΓ³ria away from home. Flamengo came away with a 2-0 victory.

    Here’s a look at the key stats from that match (VitΓ³ria vs Flamengo):

    • Possession: 26% vs 74%;
    • Corners: 1 vs 8;
    • Fouls: 12 vs 14;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 7.

    πŸ”΄ VitΓ³ria are enjoying a far more consistent season than many anticipated. After a tough start, the team have managed to build a more organized playing structure and have gradually climbed towards the upper half of the table. Key results include a 2-0 win over SΓ£o Paulo and a commanding 4-1 victory against Coritiba. VitΓ³ria look particularly strong in transition, making the most of the space behind opposing full-backs. In recent rounds, they have consistently found the net-even against higher-profile opponents such as Fluminense (2-2) and Athletico Paranaense (1-3).

    ⚫ Their away performances deserve special mention. On the road, Vitória adopt a much more cautious approach, typically sitting in a mid-block and looking to break quickly after turnovers. As a result, their away matches tend to be high-scoring but tense affairs. In every away fixture of the current campaign, Vitória have conceded at least once. The attacking unit continues to impress, scoring in most matches this season, and recently they've shown clear improvement in set-piece efficiency.

    Match Results: EC Vitoria BA

    Last matches
    06.11.26
    Serie A
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    0.85
    2.23
    9
    6
    13
    19
    2
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.85
    2.23
    9
    6
    13
    19
    2
    0
    L
    31.10.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba
    Coritiba
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    2.58
    0.44
    7
    5
    20
    12
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.58
    0.44
    7
    5
    20
    12
    1
    1
    L
    24.10.26
    Serie A
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.72
    0.57
    3
    5
    11
    19
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.72
    0.57
    3
    5
    11
    19
    2
    4
    D
    19.10.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    1.99
    0.78
    9
    1
    10
    14
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.99
    0.78
    9
    1
    10
    14
    1
    1
    D
    11.10.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    EC Vitoria BA
    EC Vitoria BA
    1.9
    1.23
    6
    2
    13
    13
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.9
    1.23
    6
    2
    13
    13
    4
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 15;
    • First-half wins: home side - 3, away side - 1, draws - 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.33 goals;
    • This season, the home team average 0.67 first-half goals, visitors - 0.67.

    First-half stats: Bragantino (home) vs VitΓ³ria (away)

    • Matches played in the competition: 7 vs 7;
    • Wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 4 (57.14%);
    • Draws: 2 (28.57%) vs 3 (42.86%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.71;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 1.43.

    Last 10 matches (overall):

    • Wins: 1 vs 5;
    • Losses: 2 vs 1;
    • Draws: 7 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Bragantino have scored in the first half at home in seven of their last eight Serie A matches.
    • VitΓ³ria have conceded in the first half in eight of their last nine away games in Serie A.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Bragantino to score goal (odds: 1.77)

    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 15;
    • Home wins - 8, Away wins - 6, Draws - 1.

    Stats: Bragantino vs Vitoria

    • Matches in the competition: 15 vs 14;
    • Wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Win percentage: 40% vs 36%;
    • Losses: 7 vs 5;
    • Draws: 2 vs 4.

    Last 10 games:

    • Wins: 4 vs 5;
    • Losses: 5 vs 2;
    • Draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Bragantino have won six consecutive home head-to-head clashes against Vitoria.
    πŸ‘‰Prediction: Bragantino to Win (odds: 1.75)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head average total goals:

    • Home side - 1.53, Away side - 1.33;
    • Overall head-to-head average - 2.87;
    • Both teams have scored: all-time - 6 times; at Bragantino’s ground - 3 times.

    Average goals stats: Bragantino vs Vitoria

    • Competition average: 2.33 vs 2.71;
    • Goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.29;
    • First half: 0.67 vs 0.5;
    • Second half: 0.47 vs 0.79;
    • Bragantino at home in this competition - 1.57;
    • Vitoria away in this competition - 0.86;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.8 (home - 1.6) vs 1.8 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Bragantino have netted over 1.5 goals at home in six of their last seven head-to-head meetings with Vitoria.
    πŸ‘‰Prediction: Bragantino Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.87)

    Corner Kicks Prediction

    Bragantino: Stats

    • This season: average corners per match - 5.47; at home - 6;
    • Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.7; at home - 5.4.

    Vitoria: Stats

    • This season: average corners per match - 3.79; away - 3.71;
    • Last 10 matches: average corners - 3.8; away - 2.5.
    Trends
    • Bragantino have recorded fewer than 5.5 corners in five straight matches.
    πŸ‘‰Prediction: Corners - Bragantino Total Under (5,5) (odds: 1.98)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 15;
    • Both teams have scored in all meetings - 6 times;
    • At Bragantino’s ground - on three occasions.

    Stats: Bragantino vs Vitoria

    • Matches played in the competition: 15 vs 14;
    • BTTS matches this season: 7 vs 7;
    • Bragantino BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
    • Vitoria BTTS away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 games:

    • BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • Bragantino BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
    • Vitoria BTTS away - 4 (100%).
    Trends
    • Vitoria have both scored and conceded in five consecutive away fixtures.
    πŸ‘‰Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.92)

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Bragantino step into this clash as favourites, fuelled by their home advantage and aggressive style of play. However, Vitoria are currently in strong form and consistently trouble opponents with their rapid transitions into attack. This fixture promises to be open, as Bragantino typically play with high intensity at home, both sides are regular scorers, and each club struggles to defend space-recent Bragantino matches have often seen high goal totals. Adding to that, Bragantino have won their last six head-to-head meetings at home against Vitoria. Our prediction: home win.

    Bragantino to Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-143
    Published: 16/05/2026, 14:18

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    Betting Tips: Bragantino - EC Vitoria BA

    Bragantino have won:
    bragantino-spvitoria-ba-1in last 6 home games against EC Vitoria BA.
    Bragantino to Win
    Bovada
    -175
    Bragantino have not lost:
    bragantino-spvitoria-ba-1in last 7 home games against EC Vitoria BA.
    EC Vitoria BA have not won:
    vitoria-ba-1in 11 of last 12 away games.
    vitoria-ba-1in last 8 away games (Serie A).
    Bragantino will not lose
    Everygame
    -667
    Bragantino have scored under 2.5 goals:
    bragantino-spvitoria-ba-1in 10 of last 11 games against EC Vitoria BA.
    bragantino-spin 14 of last 16 games (Serie A).
    bragantino-spin 6 of last 7 games.
    Bragantino Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    bragantino-spvitoria-ba-1in 7 of last 8 Bragantino games against EC Vitoria BA.
    bragantino-spin 14 of last 15 Bragantino games (Serie A).
    bragantino-spin 6 of last 7 Bragantino home games (Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 14
    +1
    -5
    11 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    3
    4
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    11
    14
    Conceded
    16
    2.9
    Average total per match
    2.7
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats