Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Baltika finally claim their first home victory over Dynamo? It's hard to find a bigger storyline in this matchup. At best, the Kaliningrad side are fighting for fifth place, while the Moscow outfit can only hope to climb as high as seventh. Which team will be more motivated to secure points in this upcoming clash? Our editorial team breaks down the odds and offers a well-founded prediction for this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In seven official meetings, Baltika have yet to register a single victory over Dynamo. The Kaliningrad side have managed to earn a draw only twice. Notably, both teams have found the net in five out of those seven encounters.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    13%
    1 Draw
    88%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    75%
    0.88
    Total average
    2.13
    1.25
    Yellow cards
    1.63
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    18.07.25
    RPL
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    1.82
    1.11
    9
    1
    10
    23
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.82
    1.11
    9
    1
    10
    23
    2
    3
    11.05.24
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Dinamo Moscow
    Dinamo Moscow
    -
    -
    3
    2
    11
    10
    0
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    2
    11
    10
    0
    4
    23.02.24
    Club Friendly Games
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Dinamo Moscow
    Dinamo Moscow
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    13.08.23
    RPL
    Dinamo Moscow
    Dinamo Moscow
    FC Baltika Kaliningrad
    FC Baltika Kaliningrad
    -
    -
    6
    5
    5
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    5
    8
    1
    0
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    Baltika Kaliningrad Team Overview

    Baltika are enduring a tough spell as the season draws to a close. The Kaliningrad side have struggled to pick up wins ever since head coach Andrey Talalaev was handed a suspension. Even after his return, their form has only deteriorated. At the moment, Baltika are on a three-match losing streak and have now gone seven matches without a victory.

    Last week, Baltika suffered a disappointing trip to Lokomotiv (0-1). Things started to unravel early on, with the hosts finding the net in just the 4th minute, and the visitors going down to ten men by the 12th. Despite the setback, Baltika refused to give in. They managed to control possession for 35% of the match and matched the Moscow side in attack-registering nine shots with 1.52 xG compared to Lokomotiv’s twelve shots and 1.29 xG. The Kaliningrad club even had a chance to snatch a point from the capital but squandered a penalty in the second half.

    Match Results: Baltika Kaliningrad

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    L
    10.05.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    1
    1.29
    1.52
    5
    2
    14
    12
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.29
    1.52
    5
    2
    14
    12
    4
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    1
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    0.59
    0.38
    6
    4
    20
    11
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.59
    0.38
    6
    4
    20
    11
    2
    2
    L
    27.04.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Akron Tolyatti
    Akron Tolyatti
    0.88
    0.64
    3
    0
    19
    5
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.88
    0.64
    3
    0
    19
    5
    1
    3
    L
    23.04.26
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    0.34
    1.60
    5
    4
    12
    22
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.34
    1.60
    5
    4
    12
    22
    2
    3
    D
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    Dynamo Moscow Team Overview

    Dynamo, led by Rolan Gusev, saw their hopes for silverware vanish last week after falling to Krasnodar in the Russian Cup upper bracket final Russian Cup. In the Premier League, the Moscow side had already slipped out of contention by the end of the first half of the season. Still, they've put together a solid run this spring, suffering just two defeats during that stretch.

    Last round, Dynamo got a measure of revenge for their painful cup exit by edging Krasnodar 2-1 at home. Despite the result, the hosts were second best in several key areas-conceding the possession battle (43% to 57%) and generating fewer dangerous chances (10 shots, 0.66 xG vs. 14 shots, 1.61 xG). The match was level at 1-1 after regular time, but with their head coach sent off, Dynamo managed to snatch a dramatic winner deep into stoppage time thanks to Ivan Sergeev’s late heroics.

    Match Results: Dynamo Moscow

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.96
    0.94
    5
    2
    24
    8
    4
    3
    W
    11.05.26
    RPL
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    0.66
    1.61
    2
    6
    16
    18
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0.66
    1.61
    2
    6
    16
    18
    3
    1
    W
    07.05.26
    Russian Cup
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    -
    -
    6
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    6
    5
    -
    -
    6
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    RPL
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.37
    0.68
    6
    5
    19
    11
    2
    2
    D
    26.04.26
    RPL
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    Sochi
    Sochi
    1.41
    1.25
    5
    5
    13
    12
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.41
    1.25
    5
    5
    13
    12
    3
    2
    W
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    Latest news

    Baltika Kaliningrad

    ❌ Baltika’s only absentee in the treatment room is their first-choice goalkeeper, Maksim Borisko. He suffered a meniscus injury last month and has already undergone surgery. In addition to Borisko, Kevin Andrade will also miss the upcoming match after being sent off in the previous round.

    Dynamo Moscow

    ❌ In addition to the head coach, Ivan Sergeev and Maksim Osipenko will also miss the next match after picking up too many yellow cards. And let's not forget Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov, who has been sidelined with an injury since October last year.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Baltika are known for their physical style of play. In only three of their last eleven matches in the second half of the season have the Kaliningrad side picked up fewer than two bookings. Lately, discipline has become an even bigger issue for Andrey Talalaev’s squad, as evidenced by consecutive red cards in their last two fixtures. Despite having little to play for in the standings, there’s little doubt that their outspoken manager will demand maximum commitment and intensity. Given these factors, a bet on Baltika over 2.5 yellow cards looks like a strong option once again.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Baltika have failed to score in three consecutive rounds, despite consistently outperforming their opponents on expected goals (xG) in four straight matches. Dynamo, on the other hand, have shown the opposite trend-Moscow’s side have been outperformed on xG in three of their last four league games, yet still managed to find the net. With both teams showing these attacking tendencies, backing both teams to score (yes) at odds of 1.78* seems a logical choice.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Baltika rarely build up through positional attacks, which reflects in their modest possession numbers and set-piece stats. When it comes to corners, they have the lowest average in the RPL-just 3.41 per match over 29 rounds. Their home and away numbers are nearly identical (3.5 at home versus 3.33 away).

    Even though Andrey Talalaev sometimes lines up with three forwards, he typically opts for an ultra-defensive 5-4-1 formation. We expect Baltika to set up similarly against a heavyweight like Dynamo, so don’t expect much attacking activity down the flanks from the hosts. Our prediction: Baltika under 4.5 corners at 1.75*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editorial Prediction

    Dynamo head into the final matchday of the RPL in far better form and spirits than their opponents. Baltika, on the other hand, seem to be feeling the pressure after a poor run of results, with nerves clearly showing-especially in terms of discipline following back-to-back defeats. The Moscow side will no doubt be fighting not only for themselves but also for their head coach, who, despite being absent from the touchline, remains a key figure for the squad.

    Overall, Dynamo have put together a solid spring campaign, but speculation about Roland Gusev’s successor continues to swirl around the club-a victory in this final round could go a long way toward strengthening his position at the helm. We expect at the very least that Dynamo avoid defeat. Even a 1-1 draw would be enough for this bet to come through.

    Our choice
    Dynamo Moscow will not lose at odds of -175*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (15 May 2026, 16:24)

    Betting Tips: Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow

    Dynamo Moscow have drawn
    fc-dinamo-moscowin last 3 away games.
    Draw
    +250
    Baltika Kaliningrad have not won
    fc-baltika-kaliningradfc-dinamo-moscowin last 7 games against Dynamo Moscow.
    fc-baltika-kaliningradin last 7 games (Premier League).
    Dynamo Moscow have not lost
    fc-dinamo-moscowin 8 of last 9 games.
    fc-dinamo-moscowin 7 of last 8 away games.
    fc-dinamo-moscowin last 6 away games (Premier League).
    Dynamo Moscow will not lose
    -179
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    fc-baltika-kaliningradin 15 of last 17 Baltika Kaliningrad home games.
    fc-dinamo-moscowin last 6 Dynamo Moscow games.
    fc-dinamo-moscowin last 5 Dynamo Moscow games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    -263
    Baltika Kaliningrad have conceded
    fc-baltika-kaliningradin last 7 games (Premier League).
    Dynamo Moscow have scored
    fc-dinamo-moscowin 14 of last 15 games (Premier League).
    fc-dinamo-moscowin last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Dynamo Moscow will score goal
    -303
    View more facts

    Baltika - Dynamo Moscow Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    30157847-3952
    5.
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    30156944-3351
    6.
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    301113638-2146
    7.
    Dynamo Moscow
    Dynamo Moscow
    30129951-4045
    8.
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    301110929-3043
    9.
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    309101135-3937

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 12
    +1
    +4
    14 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    4
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    14
    12
    Conceded
    10
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats