Atl. Mineiro vs Mirassol Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 May 2026
🔊 Atlético Mineiro head into this fixture with inconsistent results, currently sitting 13th in the table and only narrowly clear of the relegation zone. Defensive lapses remain a concern, as reflected in their high average goals conceded. Mirassol, meanwhile, occupy 18th place but are enjoying a strong run of form-having won four of their last five matches and drawn the other. The stark contrast in recent performances is set to be a decisive factor in this head-to-head clash.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 28 September 2025 and ended 1-0. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match, with Atlético Mineiro playing at home:
- Possession: 30% vs 70%;
- Corners: 4 vs 11;
- Fouls committed: 11 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Atlético Mineiro and Mirassol have faced off just twice in official competition. Their most recent head-to-head took place at Atlético Mineiro’s home ground on 28 September 2025, with the hosts edging out a 1-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Atl. Mineiro - Mirassol
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Copa do Brasil, with Ceará hosting Atlético Mineiro. The match ended 2-1.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Ceará):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 3 vs 3;
- Fouls: 18 vs 19;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 5.
⚫ Atlético Mineiro have managed just one win in their last five outings. They average 1.1 goals per game but concede at a higher rate, allowing 1.6 goals on average. Over the course of the season, Atlético Mineiro score just over one goal per match, while their average goals conceded also surpasses the one-goal mark-highlighting persistent defensive issues despite some positive results along the way.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Mirassol Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa do Brasil, facing Mirassol away from home. Bragantino came up short, falling 2-1 on the road.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that Mirassol vs Bragantino clash:
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 2 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 7 vs 19;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 4.
🟡 Mirassol are currently enjoying their best run of the season, going unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and a draw. Over their previous ten fixtures, the visitors have picked up five victories, suffered three defeats, and drawn twice-a record that highlights their clear improvement since the start of the campaign. Mirassol have consistently averaged more than a goal per game (1.3), while defensively they have conceded just one goal per match over that same ten-game stretch. This defensive solidity has been key to their recent climb, even if they still sit low in the standings.
Match Results: Mirassol
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 2;
- Home wins - 1, Away wins - 0, Draws - 1.
Stats: Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 14;
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 21%;
- Losses: 7 vs 7;
- Draws: 3 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Mirassol have covered a +1.5 handicap in 25 of their last 26 matches (Serie A).
- Mirassol have covered a +1.5 handicap away from home in 10 of their last 11 matches.
- Mirassol have covered a +1.5 handicap away from home in 7 consecutive Serie A fixtures.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.5, Away side - 1;
- Total goals in head-to-head - 2.5;
- Both teams scored: all-time - once; at the home ground - never.
Average total stats: Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol
- Tournament average: 2.6 vs 2.57;
- Goals scored per match: 1.2 vs 1.14;
- First half: 0.67 vs 0.64;
- Second half: 0.53 vs 0.5;
- Atlético Mineiro at home in this competition - 1.43;
- Mirassol away in this competition - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.1 (home - 1.25) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 7 of Atlético Mineiro’s last 8 matches.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 6 of Atlético Mineiro’s last 7 Serie A matches.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in each of Atlético Mineiro’s last five home games.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in 9 of Mirassol’s last 10 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 2;
- Both teams have scored all-time - once;
- At the home ground - never.
Stats: Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol
- Matches played in the competition: 15 vs 14;
- Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 6 vs 9;
- Atlético Mineiro BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Mirassol BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- Atlético Mineiro BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Mirassol BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent scores (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (21/147, 14.3%);
- Atlético Mineiro’s most frequent home result: 1-0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Mirassol’s most frequent away result: 1-0 (3/6, 50%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 13.03% (odds: 6)
1-0 - 10.88% (odds: 6.5)
2-1 - 9.27% (odds: 8.5)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Mirassol are in impressive form, showing strong momentum both in terms of results and attacking quality. Meanwhile, Atlético Mineiro continue to struggle defensively, with a run of 12 consecutive matches without a clean sheet highlighting the hosts’ ongoing issues at the back. The bet on Mirassol to score is well supported by the visitors’ attacking stats and the home side’s persistent defensive frailties throughout the season.No comments
Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Mirassol
in 7 of last 8 games.
in 14 of last 15 home games.in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 away games.in 11 of last 12 home games.in last 15 games (Serie A).in 13 of last 14 away games (Serie A).in last 9 away games.in 7 of last 8 Atletico Mineiro home games.in last 12 Mirassol games.in 9 of last 10 Mirassol games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 Mirassol away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
