AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction
🔊 In the final round of the Greek football championship, AEK are set to face Olympiacos. The hosts have already secured the league title ahead of schedule, so they lack significant motivation heading into this clash. The visitors, on the other hand, have plenty at stake as they continue their battle for a Champions League spot. If the Piraeus side field their strongest lineup, they could be much closer to claiming victory.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Olympiacos):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AEK Athens and Olympiacos:
- played 68 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 39, draws - 12;
- number of goals - 76 against 135;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.97;
- average total goals in the match - 3.1.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
AEK Athens Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - PAOK Thessaloniki, away team - AEK Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (AEK Athens vs PAOK Thessaloniki):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
In the previous round, after a 1-1 draw with PAOK, AEK secured the title and left their rivals out of reach. The hosts are already in a celebratory mood, basking in their championship triumph. None of the regular starters are expected to push themselves here, and the coaching staff are well aware of that-they’re set to rotate the squad, giving minutes to those who haven’t featured much throughout the season. As a result, AEK may lack their usual cohesion on the pitch. Home advantage is certainly a plus, but facing a motivated opponent will be a real test regardless. On average, AEK score 1.5 goals per match and concede around one, but it’s important to note these stats reflect performances by the first team. Expecting similar numbers from a mixed lineup would be overly optimistic.
Match Results: AEK Athens
Olympiacos Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - Olympiacos, away - Panathinaikos Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Athens):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
- fouls: 19 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
Olympiacos currently sit second in the table, but their Champions League qualification is still far from guaranteed. That’s why the visitors are expected to field their strongest lineup. In their recent clash with Panathinaikos (1-0), they ground out a hard-fought win, showing resilience both at the back and going forward. Olympiacos bring solid international experience to the table, which should help them hold their own against the newly crowned champions. Statistically, the visitors boast the tournament’s best defensive record, conceding just 0.5 goals per game on average. Offensively, they fare slightly better, averaging a goal per match. Overall, this is a side built around defensive solidity and low-scoring encounters.
Match Results: Olympiacos
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 68;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 39, draws - 12.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.12, the guests - 1.99;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.1;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: AEK Athens vs Olympiacos
- average total in the tournament: 2.42 vs 2.13;
- average total goals scored: 1.81 vs 1.61;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.65 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.16 vs 0.97;
- AEK Athens: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Olympiacos: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2.2) vs 1 (away - 1.6).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 AEK Athens home games (Super League).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Olympiacos away games (Super League).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.68 (2.34 for home team and 2.34 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.93 (2.48 for home team and 2.45 for away team).
AEK Athens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.74; at home - 2.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 1.8.
Olympiacos: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.39, away - 1.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 68;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/226, 14.2%);
- AEK Athens at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (5/15, 33.3%);
- Olympiacos away most often play: 0:2 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.64% (odds 6)
0:1 - 10.84% (odds 7)
1:0 - 9.58% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current circumstances, it's unrealistic to expect AEK to deliver a spectacular performance. After clinching the long-awaited league title in the previous round, celebrations have clearly taken over the squad. Meanwhile, Olympiacos are highly motivated-not just for the prestige, but also for financial reasons. The visitors from Piraeus will fight tooth and nail for a Champions League spot, making victory in this clash absolutely crucial. They have the quality and experience to get the job done. That's why our editorial team recommends backing an Olympiacos win.
Betting Tips: AEK Athens - Olympiacos
in 10 of last 11 home games (Super League).in 6 of last 7 home games.in 14 of last 15 away games.in 11 of last 12 away games (Super League).in last 23 games (Super League).in last 11 home games (Super League).in 8 of last 9 home games.in 7 of last 8 games.in 8 of last 9 AEK Athens games.in last 6 AEK Athens games (Super League).in 22 of last 23 Olympiacos games.in 20 of last 21 Olympiacos games (Super League).in 11 of last 12 Olympiacos away games.in 9 of last 10 Olympiacos away games (Super League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
