Porto vs Nacional Prediction 17 May 2025
🔊 This weekend, Porto face off against Nacional de Madeira in a match that promises to be intriguing. Porto need at least one point to secure their hold on third place. As for Nacional, they've already secured their spot in the Primeira Liga, so they lack any real tournament motivation. The question remains whether the visitors can surprise the favorites under these circumstances.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional de Madeir):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Porto and Nacional de Madeir:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 0, draws - 0;
- number of goals (home/away) - 28 against 3;
- average total goals in the match - 3.88.
Head-to-head statistics Porto - Nacional
Porto Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Boavista Porto, away team - Porto). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Porto vs Boavista Porto):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 0;
- fouls: 19 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
The team sits third in the league, credited to their attacking prowess and solid defense. They average 1.88 goals per match while conceding just 0.91. In their last ten games, the "Dragons" have secured seven victories, showcasing remarkable form. It's crucial for them to maintain their third-place standing to secure direct qualification to the group stage of the Europa League.
Match Results: Porto
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Nacional de Madeir, away - Rio Ave). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.
Here are the match stats (Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Nacional de Madeira are far from the league leaders, sitting in 13th place, struggling to accumulate points with just nine wins out of thirty-four matches this season. Their average scoring rate is low at 0.94, while they concede around 1.44 goals per game. Nonetheless, the visitors have repeatedly demonstrated their ability to defend with discipline: in 7 of their last 8 matches, they have only lost by a margin of one goal or less.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Latest news
Porto
🔗 In the last round, captain Diogo Costa made his return to the pitch after an injury. He had an impressive performance, conceding only from the penalty spot. It's likely that the Portuguese goalkeeper will leave the team this summer for Manchester City.
❌ Vasco Sousa and Marko Grujić have missed several matches due to injuries. Meanwhile, Nehuén Pérez is a recent setback. The Argentine defender will be unavailable after receiving a red card in the match against Boavista.
Nacional de Madeir
❌ Three players have been absent from the field for a while now - Diego Souza, Ivanildo Fernandes, and Miguel Baeza. A significant loss is the starting goalkeeper Lucas França, who received an additional yellow card in the last round.
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Porto (Home) vs Nacional de Madeir (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- Number of wins: 8 (0.5%) vs 2 (0.13%);
- Number of losses: 3 (0.19%) vs 8 (0.5%);
- Number of draws: 5 (0.31%) vs 6 (0.38%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.94;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.31 vs 0.69.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.8).
- Nacional de Madeir have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Porto (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Porto vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 21 vs 9;
- win percentage: 64% vs 26%;
- losses: 7 vs 18;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Nacional de Madeir won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3.5, the guests - 0.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Porto vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2.79 vs 2.38;
- average total goals scored: 1.88 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.73 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.15 vs 0.44;
- Porto: average total at home in the tournament - 2.25;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 0.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.5).
- Porto have conceded in 8 of last 9 home games.
Prediction on corners
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61; at home field - 6.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 4.75.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.41, away - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.75.
- Nacional de Madeir have taken over 2.5 corners in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have taken over 2.5 corners in last 6 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on cards
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.39; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; at home - 3.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.12, away - 2.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 2.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Porto vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Porto at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 5 (31%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Porto at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 1 (25%).
- Porto have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
- Porto have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-head statistics, Porto are expected to dominate. However, it's worth noting that Nacional rarely suffer heavy defeats, not only in their recent matches but also against the "Dragons." The last three encounters have been low-scoring affairs, with Tiago Margarido's side even coming out on top in the first round of this season (2-0). Taking this into account, we predict under 3.5 goals, which has been the outcome in Nacional's last eight away games in the Primeira Liga.
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Betting Tips: Porto - Nacional de Madeir
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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