Spezia vs Empoli Prediction 17 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Spezia and Empoli in the 31st round of Serie B? Despite their inconsistent form, the visitors have the potential to trouble the hosts. Recent head-to-heads between these teams have been closely contested with few goals. However, current trends could impact the outcome of the upcoming match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Empoli):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 21 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Spezia Calcio and Empoli:
- played 13 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 2, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 15 against 14;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.08, in the 2nd half - 1.15;
- average total goals in the match - 2.23.
Head-to-head statistics Spezia - Empoli
Spezia Calcio Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away team - Spezia Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Spezia Calcio vs Modena):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 18 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Spezia are currently sitting in 19th place and battling to stay in the league. Their form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. On average, Spezia score about one goal per game but often struggle defensively, conceding more goals than they score. They need to focus on strengthening their defense and finding attacking opportunities against Empoli.
Match Results: Spezia Calcio
Empoli Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Empoli, away - Mantova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Empoli vs Mantova):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
Empoli sit in 13th place and have shown a tendency for draws-three of their last five matches have ended that way. They also struggle with scoring, netting just over one goal per game while conceding nearly two on average. This trend highlights their ability to both score and concede regularly, making their style of play quite open.
Match Results: Empoli
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 8.
Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Empoli
- matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- win percentage: 23% vs 23%;
- losses: 15 vs 12;
- draws: 8 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
- Spezia Calcio have not lost in last 9 games against Empoli.
- Empoli have not won in last 11 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.15, the guests - 1.08;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.23;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Empoli
- average total in the tournament: 2.37 vs 2.73;
- average total goals scored: 0.97 vs 1.27;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.53;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.73;
- Spezia Calcio: average total at home in the tournament - 0.93;
- Empoli: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.2 (away - 1.4).
- Spezia Calcio have conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Serie B).
- Empoli have scored in last 8 games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Spezia Calcio: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.97; at home field - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 4.2.
Empoli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.97, away - 4.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; away - 4.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Empoli
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 19;
- number of BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Empoli away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Empoli away - 4 (80%).
- Empoli have scored and conceded in last 8 games (Serie B).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (46/299, 15.4%);
- Spezia Calcio at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:1 (3/15, 20%);
- Empoli away most often play: 0:1 , 2:1 , 3:2 (2/14, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.52% (odds 4.6)
1:0 - 9.47% (odds 6.6)
0:0 - 8.96% (odds 6.4)
- Spezia Calcio drew 1:1 in 4 of last 5 games against Empoli (Serie B).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Spezia enter the match as favorites, yet their overall performance doesn't suggest a significant edge over their opponents. Additionally, the hosts rarely exhibit high scoring in head-to-head clashes with Empoli: in 10 of their last 11 encounters, they've scored no more than one goal. Against this backdrop, betting on Spezia's individual total under 1.5 goals seems like a reasonable prediction.
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Betting Tips: Spezia Calcio - Empoli
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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