Real Madrid vs Levante Prediction 17 January 2026
🔊 How will the first La Liga match for the "Los Blancos" unfold after the dismissal of Xabi Alonso? Kicking off Saturday's La Liga fixtures is the clash between Real Madrid and Levante at the Santiago Bernabéu. The Valencia-based club is still searching for their best form, but a trip to an irate Real Madrid could prove disastrous. The capital side have closed the gap to the top spot to just 4 points, making any slip-up unacceptable. Bookmakers see little chance of an upset from the visitors, giving more than a tenfold advantage to the "Galacticos."
Head-to-Head
📊 This season, the teams have already faced each other. In the first round of La Liga, the "Los Blancos" secured a convincing victory at the "Ciudad de Valencia" with a 4-1 scoreline. A second-half brace from Kylian Mbappe sealed the deal. Let's note the outcomes over the last 10 head-to-head encounters: 5 wins for Real, 2 draws, and 3 victories for Levante. The average scoring rate for each side during this period stands at 2.4 for "Los Blancos" and 1.4 for the "Frogs."
Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - Levante
Real Madrid Team Overview
⚪ Real Madrid will spend the second half of the season under the guidance of Álvaro Arbeloa. The Spanish tactician has signed a contract with the club until 2027. At this point, Los Blancos still have a shot at La Liga glory, trailing Barcelona by just 4 points. It's worth noting that Madrid's squad boasts the most effective defense in the league, conceding only 0.89 goals per match. On home turf, Real have been equally impressive, securing 8 wins with just one slip-up in 9 games.
📌 Last week, Real Madrid were engaged in the Spanish Super Cup fixtures. While they managed to edge past Atletico Madrid (2-1), they suffered a setback against Barcelona (2-3). Following the disappointing result in El Clasico, the football world was stunned by the news of the head coach's dismissal. Reports suggest that the primary reason wasn't the inconsistent results but rather poor relationships with the players. Xabi Alonso failed to earn respect in the dressing room and couldn't connect with the key figures of Los Blancos.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Levante UD Team Overview
🔵 The change in head coach has indeed had a positive impact on Levante's results. For three consecutive matchdays, the "Frogs" remain unbeaten with two draws and one win. The Valencian club now has 14 points, placing them 19th in the league standings. They are four points behind the crucial 17th spot. Let's take a look at Levante's average statistics for the current season: they score 1.17 goals per match while conceding 1.67. Interestingly, the La Liga newcomers have earned the majority of their points (11 out of 14) away from home.
🔴 Last weekend, Levante managed to snatch points from this season's surprise package in La Liga, Espanyol, with a 1-1 draw. Despite a notable difference in the quality of football displayed, Luis Castro succeeded in neutralizing the attacking threats of the "Parakeets" while maximizing his side's offensive potential. The expected goals ratio indicates a balanced game and a fair draw: 1.11 against 1.36. The Portuguese manager favors a counter-attacking style based on a 4-4-2 formation. Levante's top scorer is Kall Etta Eyong, with a tally of 5 goals and 1 assist in 13 appearances.
Match Results: Levante UD
Latest news
Real Madrid
🎤 Following the resignation of Xabi Alonso, Real Madrid's management made another surprising move by appointing Álvaro Arbeloa as the new permanent head coach. Since July last year, the 42-year-old has been at the helm of Castilla. At his first press conference, the Real Madrid legend stated: "This is a special day, just like every day I've been part of Real Madrid. I've been here for 20 years. This is the greatest club in history. I understand the responsibility that comes with this role and I'm very excited. Yesterday afternoon, I was informed that Xabi and the club had reached an agreement and that they wanted me to take charge of the team. Of course, I spoke with Xabi; everyone here knows about our friendship. I hold him in high regard and love him, and I know the feeling is mutual. It will remain that way."
❌ Real Madrid's injury list includes the following players: Trent Alexander-Arnold (hip injury), Éder Militão (hamstring injury), Ferland Mendy (calf injury), Antonio Rüdiger (knee injury).
Levante UD
📰 Ahead of the crucial clash with Real Madrid, 22-year-old Levante defender Matias Moreno spoke with journalists: “I’m happy here - the coaching staff trusts me, and I feel a strong bond with my teammates. This is exactly what suits me best and helps me elevate my game. I respond very well to these stimuli. Everyone has welcomed me warmly; they are a great family that I love. We know Saturday will be a real battle, it’s going to be tough, but we’re not going in with our heads down. We’re going for what we want - securing three points would be ideal. We always compete on any field, and the Bernabeu is a special stadium to enjoy, but our goal remains the same - to keep collecting points.”
❌ Among the unavailable players for Levante are Unai Elchesabal (knee injury) and Victor Garcia (leg injury).
⚽ Goals Prediction
Head-to-head clashes between Real Madrid and Levante are typically high-scoring affairs, averaging around 3.5 goals per game. In 6 of Real Madrid's last 7 matches, there have been at least 3 goals scored. A similar trend is evident in 8 of their previous 10 encounters. Considering this data, a reasonable bet would be on a total over 3 goals.
🚩 Corners Prediction
This season, Real Madrid average about 6.3 corners per match, whereas Levante manage only 3.3. Meanwhile, Levante concede an average of 7.1 corners per game. In their head-to-head matchups, Real Madrid also dominate with a staggering 8 to 3.5 corner advantage. The editorial choice is a Real Madrid win on corners with a -4.5 handicap.
Editor's Prediction
The managerial change effect is likely to be evident in Real Madrid's upcoming match. Some of the club's leaders have been anticipating Xabi Alonso's departure, so by Saturday, they might breathe a sigh of relief. Meanwhile, Los Blancos need to make amends with their fans after another loss to their arch-rivals, Barcelona. For Levante, this encounter presents a daunting challenge and a test of resilience. We predict a final score of 4-1, with the key bet being Real Madrid to win with a -2 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Levante UD
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