Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction 17 January 2026
📢 The upcoming Eredivisie clash between Zwolle and AZ Alkmaar promises to be thrilling. Both teams showcase intriguing playing styles, though with varying outcomes. Zwolle are positioned mid-table, striving to climb higher, while AZ aim to solidify their spot at the top. Read the prediction for the upcoming encounter below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 1-3. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Zwolle):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Zwolle and AZ Alkmaar:
- 32 matches played;
- home victories - 4, away victories - 18, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 31 for Zwolle, 70 for AZ Alkmaar;
- average goals in the first half - 1.59, in the second half - 1.56;
- average total goals per match - 3.16.
Head-to-head statistics Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar

PEC Zwolle Team Overview
The latest official match took place in the Eredivisie, featuring Twente as the home side and Zwolle as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Zwolle vs Twente):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Zwolle currently sit 13th in the league standings. Their last five matches have been challenging, with just one draw, three losses, and a single victory. Their win percentage in recent games is a mere 20%. They average 1.22 goals per game this season, highlighting a lack of offensive firepower. In their recent home match against AZ Alkmaar, they fell 3-1, a result that could impact their morale ahead of the upcoming fixture.
Match Results: PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the KNVB Cup, with AZ Alkmaar hosting Ajax. The game concluded with a 6-0 scoreline.
Match statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 14 vs 2.
AZ Alkmaar are in excellent form, currently sitting fifth in the Eredivisie. Over their last five matches, they have secured three victories, suffered one defeat, and drawn once, giving them a solid success rate of approximately 60%. They average two goals per game while conceding just about one goal per match. This balance enables them to feel confident even on the road, where they consistently achieve positive results.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 32;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.59;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.59, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: PEC Zwolle (home) vs AZ Alkmaar (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- losses: 2 (25%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 2 (25%) vs 6 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.44;
- Average goals conceded: 0.75 vs 0.78.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 2.1 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1.2) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6).
- PEC Zwolle scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 18, draws - 10.
Statistics: PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 17;
- wins: 5 vs 8;
- win percentage: 28% vs 47%;
- losses: 8 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- PEC Zwolle won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.97, the guests - 2.19;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.16;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar
- average total in the tournament: 3.39 vs 3.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 1.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 1.18;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.71;
- PEC Zwolle: average total at home in the tournament - 0.88;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total away in the tournament - 1.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.25) vs 2.1 (away - 2).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 games against PEC Zwolle.
Prediction on corners
PEC Zwolle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.22; at home field - 2.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home field - 2.5.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.35, away - 5.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; away - 5.4.
- Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 PEC Zwolle games (Eredivisie).
- Over 8.5 corners in 13 of last 14 AZ Alkmaar games (Eredivisie).
- Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 AZ Alkmaar away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for PEC Zwolle at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for PEC Zwolle at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 3 (60%).
- PEC Zwolle have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (19/160, 11.9%);
- PEC Zwolle at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/8, 37.5%);
- AZ Alkmaar away most often play: 0:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 10.3% (odds 7.9)
1:1 - 9.85% (odds 8.1)
0:1 - 8.9% (odds 9.4)