Osasuna vs Oviedo Prediction 17 January 2026
🔊 What will be the outcome when two relegation battlers clash? One of the standout fixtures in Saturday's La Liga lineup is the showdown between Osasuna and Real Oviedo at El Sadar. Both teams are undergoing a transitional phase, but the hosts are in a far more stable and clear situation. Alessio Lisci is part of a long-term project for the "Reds," while the "Carbayones" have turned to their third manager this season. Bookmakers echo this sentiment, giving Osasuna three-to-one odds in their favor.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's take a look at the statistics from the last 10 head-to-head matches: Osasuna have claimed victory 4 times, there have been 3 draws, and Real Oviedo have won on 3 occasions. Now, let's consider the average scoring rate over the same period: the "Reds" average 1.3 goals per game, while the "Carbayones" manage 1. In the first round of the current championship, neither team could break the deadlock at "Nuevo Carlos Tartiere" - it ended in a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Osasuna - Oviedo
Osasuna Team Overview
🔴 Despite their relatively low position in the standings, Osasuna show a positive trajectory over the course of the season. This primarily pertains to their commitment and the quality of football they display. Let's delve into the numbers. After 19 matches, the "Reds" have accumulated 19 points, placing them 15th in the league standings. "El Sadar" stands as Alessio Lisci's squad's main advantage. After playing 9 home matches, Osasuna have secured 17 points at their fortress. In the current La Liga campaign, the team have suffered only 2 defeats in Pamplona-against Celta Vigo (2-3) and Real Sociedad (1-3).
📌 Alessio Lisci is an advocate of pragmatic football, yet the Italian adapts his approach depending on the opponent. The young coach's flexibility is what attracted Osasuna's management last summer. Midweek, the "Reds" were knocked out of the Copa del Rey, losing to Real Sociedad (2-3 on penalties). The primary reasons for this setback were a loss of concentration and numerous individual errors. By the 17th minute of the clash, Osasuna led by two goals, but managed to concede twice within 15 minutes of the final whistle. In the previous La Liga round, Alessio Lisci's side fell to a direct rival in the relegation battle-Girona (0-1). These consistent setbacks negatively impact the team's mental state.
Match Results: Osasuna
Real Oviedo Team Overview
🔵 Currently, the "Carbayones" are the leading contenders for relegation from the top tier of Spanish football. Real Oviedo have only accumulated 13 points, so their 20th place in the standings comes as no surprise. It's worth noting that the team from Oviedo has the league's weakest attack, averaging just 0.47 goals per game. In nine away matches this La Liga season, the Carbayones have managed just one victory, against Valencia (2-1). Whether Guillermo Almada's squad can break their 13-match winless streak and strengthen their position in the table will be revealed this weekend.
🟡 Last weekend, the newcomers to La Liga dropped points once again, this time in a home clash with Real Betis (1-1). On one hand, taking points from the "Green-and-Whites" seems like quite an achievement for Guillermo Almada's side. On the other hand, fans are so weary of the lack of victories that even commendable performances and player dedication no longer impress them. Once again, the Carbayones failed to hold onto their lead-after scoring in the 64th minute through Ilyas Chair, a goal by Giovani Lo Celso 20 minutes later denied Real Oviedo their much-desired victory.
Match Results: Real Oviedo
Latest news
Osasuna
🎤 Alessio Lisci took part in a press conference following his team's recent exit from the Copa del Rey: "It hurts us. The explanation might be tactical, but it also involves officiating, as there was a foul on Ruben during Real Sociedad's first goal. Until then, we were controlling the match. We were well-organized in the mid-block and responded well to their first goal, but unfortunately, we couldn't score a third. In extra time, both teams were exhausted, and a penalty shootout is always a gamble. We need to pick ourselves up by looking at what we did and how close we came. Football doesn't stop, and our story continues. Thanks to the fans who were incredible."
❌ Among the unavailable players for Osasuna's upcoming league match are Iker Benito (knee injury) and Jon Moncayola (suspension due to yellow card accumulation).
Real Oviedo
🎤 After dropping points against Betis in a 1-1 draw, Guillermo Almada spoke with reporters: "I feel a sense of frustration-we definitely deserved more and should have won. Despite having a very good match, it slipped away from us once again at the very end. I have no criticism for my players-I tip my hat to their dedication and willingness to fight on every part of the pitch. The players give their all in every situation. We must continue to work and adapt to the tactical model. I am convinced that with the right effort and belief, we can achieve our goal of staying in the top tier of Spanish football."
❌ Real Oviedo's coaching staff will be without David Carmo due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In 5 of Osasuna's last 7 matches, there were no more than two goals scored. A similar trend is evident in 8 of Real Oviedo's last 9 games. It's crucial to consider each team's average scoring rate this season: the "Reds" average 0.9 goals, while the "Carbayones" manage just 0.5. Given these insights, a well-founded betting option is under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Osasuna and Real Oviedo are among the league's poorest performers in terms of average corners per game, with 3.1 and 4.1 respectively. Moreover, in 4 of the last 5 matches involving the "Reds," there were no more than 10 corners. A similar pattern holds true for 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters between these teams. An insightful betting choice would be under 9.5 total corners.
Editorial Prediction
Real Oviedo are rightly considered the weakest team in the league, no matter how you look at it. The lack of squad depth and quality contributes to the current state of affairs for the "Carbayones." Impulsive managerial dismissals further indicate that the club's situation is spiraling out of control. Meanwhile, the "Reds" show strong form at home, securing the majority of their points at "El Sadar." We predict a final score of 1-0, with the key bet being Osasuna's victory.
No comments
Betting Tips: Osasuna - Real Oviedo
in 8 of last 9 games (La Liga).
in last 13 games.in last 12 games (La Liga).in 10 of last 11 away games.in 8 of last 9 away games (La Liga).
in last 5 games against Real Oviedo.in 24 of last 25 games (La Liga).in 13 of last 14 home games (La Liga).in last 20 home games (La Liga).in last 12 away games.in last 9 away games (La Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
