Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction 18 January 2026
🔊 The final match of the 18th round takes place at the "WWK Arena," where Augsburg face off against Freiburg. In the first half of the season, the "Fuggers," then under the debut management of Sandro Wagner, defeated the "Brazilians of Breisgau" on the road. Can the hosts, now led by Manuel Baum, replicate that success in the second-leg encounter? This season, Freiburg have struggled to secure points away from home, as their previous match once again demonstrated. What prediction does our editorial team offer?
Head-to-Head
📊 Augsburg have won only two of their last 14 head-to-head encounters. In the first round of this season, the Fuggerstädter secured a 3-1 victory. Meanwhile, the Brazilians of Breisgau have managed to win just two of their last 13 visits to the WWK Arena.
Head-to-head statistics Augsburg - Freiburg
Augsburg Team Overview
🔴 On Thursday, the "Fuggers" hosted Union Berlin in a home fixture that ended 1-1. Alexis Claude-Maurice delivered a stunning long-range strike in first-half stoppage time, but Augsburg conceded an equalizer in the dying moments of the second half, letting victory slip away. Baum's squad have managed just one win in their last six Bundesliga matches, sliding down to 15th place in the standings, only three points above the relegation zone.
🟢 In the upcoming match, physical readiness will be crucial, as Augsburg had one less day to recover and prepare compared to Freiburg. The main advantage for the hosts remains their home ground: the "Fuggers" are unbeaten in their last four home games, with two wins and two draws.
Match Results: Augsburg
Freiburg Team Overview
⚪ Freiburg kicked off 2026 with a home victory over Hamburg (2-1), but then suffered a lackluster defeat to Leipzig on the road (0-2), managing just 0.13 xG. After 17 rounds, the "Brazilians of Breisgau" sit in eighth place, trailing the top six by six points. With Julian Schuster's side reaching the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal and holding strong chances for an automatic berth in the Europa League Round of 16, this calendar year could be significant for the club.
⚫ However, all focus must now be on their match in Augsburg. In nine away games this season, Freiburg have collected only 8 points-two wins and two draws. A draw or loss would not only widen the gap from the European competition spots but also allow Union to overtake Freiburg in the standings, as the Berliners also have 23 points.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Augsburg
🎙️ Manuel Baum reflects on the match against Union and looks ahead to the upcoming clash with Freiburg: "The game with Union was full of emotions. After the match, we thoroughly analyzed the goal we conceded. We'll take those lessons into Sunday's game. Freiburg are technically strong and incredibly disciplined in defense. They are a very flexible team in terms of formations and player roles, which often change. We already have some good ideas in mind."
📝 Augsburg have loaned forward Elias Saad to Hannover until the end of the current season. Both clubs have agreed not to disclose the details of the deal. Saad, whose contract with Augsburg runs until June 2029, joined the club last summer from St. Pauli. This season, the 26-year-old striker has played 10 matches in the Bundesliga, totaling 499 minutes on the pitch. He recently featured for Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations, participating in two matches.
❌ Central defender Chrislain Matsima and team captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw remain unavailable.
Freiburg
🎙️ Julian Schuster on the game against Leipzig and the upcoming match against Augsburg: "We made poor decisions after winning the ball back, despite having plenty of space. At times, we lacked the initiative to make runs behind their defense. Even with a short break, we've tried to address these issues in training to better exploit space on Sunday and be more effective from set-pieces than we were against Leipzig."
❌ Matthias Ginter and Max Rosenfelder have returned to full training and could feature in the match. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Philipp Lienhart will not play.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Martin Petersen is set to officiate the match at the WWK Arena. In his last 10 games, he has averaged 5.4 yellow cards per match. Augsburg lead the league with an average of 2.8 cautions per game after 17 rounds. Freiburg, on the other hand, average 1.7. We suggest betting on under 4.5 yellow cards, a wager that has come through in Freiburg's last six away matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Considering Augsburg's recent home performances, we recommend looking at the bet Augsburg's individual total under 1.5 goals, which has hit in 12 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings with Freiburg.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams rank in the lower half of the table for corners earned. Baum's side averages 4.2 corners per match, while Schuster's team averages 4.4. We suggest betting on Freiburg's individual total under 4.5 corners, a bet that has been successful in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters at the WWK Arena.
Editorial Prediction
For Augsburg, home games are crucial, as they tend to pick up points on their own turf- the Fuggerstädter are unbeaten in four consecutive home matches. Freiburg are more comfortable in the league standings but struggle on the road, raising doubts about their ability to secure three points at the WWK Arena.
We've noted that Baum's side had one less day to recover, but the home advantage plays in their favor. Meanwhile, Freiburg, despite having an extra day of preparation, will be playing their second away game in four days. We predict a total under 2.5 goals-a bet that has hit in six consecutive Augsburg home games. We anticipate a low-scoring draw with a scoreline of 1-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Augsburg - Freiburg
in 23 of last 24 Augsburg games against Freiburg.in 22 of last 23 Augsburg games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 Augsburg home games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in last 8 Freiburg games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 Freiburg games.
in 6 of last 7 Martin Petersen games.
in 17 of last 18 games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in 16 of last 17 games against Freiburg.in 7 of last 8 home games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).
in 12 of last 14 games against Freiburg (Bundesliga).in 6 of last 7 home games.in 6 of last 7 Augsburg games (Bundesliga).in 6 of last 7 Freiburg games.in 6 of last 7 Martin Petersen games (in the Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
