Liverpool vs Penarol Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 November 2025

    💫 On the radar is the Uruguayan Primera playoff semifinal, featuring a clash between Liverpool Montevideo and Peñarol. Both teams have been showcasing strong performances in recent matches, adding intrigue to this showdown. Who will take the step towards the final? Should we anticipate a high-scoring affair? Find out in the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended in a 2-2 draw. Here is a comparative analysis of that encounter (with Liverpool Montevideo as the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 6.

    📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Liverpool Montevideo and Peñarol:

    • 45 matches played;
    • home team wins - 13, away team wins - 22, draws - 10;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 54 to 72;
    • average total goals per match - 2.8.

    Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Penarol

    29%
    14 Wins
    21%
    10 Draws
    50%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    48
    Avg. total goals
    2.79
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.21
    Average total
    1.58
    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    13.04.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    16.11.25
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    6
    5
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    6
    5
    13.09.25
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    3
    6
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    3
    6
    10.09.25
    Copa Uruguay
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    Empty
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    Liverpool Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Cerro Largo as the home side and Liverpool Montevideo as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.

    The game statistics are as follows (Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo):

    • possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Liverpool Montevideo are showing consistent form at home. Their recent run includes two consecutive wins following a draw and two earlier defeats. This performance positions them well for a strong finish to the season. The team is known for their balanced style, emphasizing ball control and solid defense-conceding just an average of one goal per match. Their last head-to-head with Peñarol ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting Liverpool's ability to compete against tough opponents.

    Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo

    Last matches
    09.10.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    D
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    27.09.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    12
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    12
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Colon
    Colon
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    9
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    9
    1
    2
    W
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    D
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Montevideo City as the home team and Peñarol as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Peñarol vs Montevideo City):

    • possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 1.

    Peñarol are in excellent form, having won eight of their last ten matches with just one loss and a draw. They have reached the semifinals thanks to a potent attack, scoring over 1.5 goals in nearly all their recent games. This positions them as strong contenders for the title by the season's end. Peñarol's playing style is built around aggressive counterattacks and rapid transitions from defense to offense, making them a formidable challenge for any defense.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    D
    04.10.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    4
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    4
    5
    W
    30.09.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    D
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    24.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    2
    7
    14
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    7
    14
    1
    1
    D
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 45;
    • Home victories - 13, Away victories - 22, Draws - 10.
    Trends
    • Liverpool Montevideo have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 23 consecutive matches (Primera).
    • Liverpool Montevideo have covered a +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Liverpool Montevideo Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.3)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team averages - 1.2 goals, away team - 1.6;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.8;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 24 times; at the home ground - 13 times.

    Statistics: Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol

    • Average tournament total: 2.38 vs 2.59;
    • Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.7;
    • Average first-half total: 0.62 vs 0.65;
    • Average second-half total: 0.76 vs 1.05;
    • Liverpool Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.63;
    • Peñarol: average total away in the tournament - 1.41;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 2 (away - 1.83).
    Trends
    • Peñarol have scored more than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches.
    • Peñarol have scored more than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.91)

    Corner Kicks Prediction

    Trends
    • Peñarol have taken more than 5.5 corners away in 6 of their last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Penarol Montevideo Total Over (5,5)(odds: 1.91)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.18 (2.09 for the home team and 2.09 for the away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.63 (2.58 for the home team and 2.05 for the away team).

    Liverpool Montevideo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.19; at home - 2.05;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; at home - 3.2.

    Peñarol: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.19, away - 2.71;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; away - 2.67.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The upcoming match promises to be intense and high-scoring, with a strong potential for goals from both sides. Despite Liverpool Montevideo's home advantage, Penarol's powerful attacking prowess makes them the favorites according to the bookies' odds. Considering the visitors' frequent scoring (with a trend of over 1.5 team goals) and the hosts' stability on their own turf, where they rarely lose, both teams have a good chance to find the net. Therefore, the most reasonable bet appears to be both teams to score, which is also supported by the high-scoring nature of their past head-to-head encounters. A 1-2 scoreline is possible.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-116
    Published: 14/11/2025, 07:59

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    Betting Tips: Liverpool Montevideo - Penarol Montevideo

    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half:
    ca-penarolin 16 of last 17 games.
    ca-penarolin 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo to Win
    Everygame
    +125
    Penarol Montevideo have not lost:
    ca-penarolin 16 of last 17 games.
    ca-penarolin 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    ca-penarolin last 6 Penarol Montevideo games.
    in 17 of last 19 Andres Matonte games.
    in 15 of last 16 Andres Matonte games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Penarol Montevideo have scored:
    ca-penarolin 21 of last 22 games.
    ca-penarolin 14 of last 15 games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo will score goal
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 9
    +5
    +8
    17 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    4
    2
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    17
    9
    Conceded
    9
    2.3
    Average total per match
    2.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats