Guingamp vs Pau Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 October 2026
🔊 Seven of Guingamp's eight points in Ligue 2 have come at home. Friday's opponents are Pau, whose attack has finally come to life. In their first six matches the visitors scored four times, but in their last two they have already netted five. Will Guingamp's home strength be enough against that kind of attacking form?
Head-to-Head
Pau beat Guingamp 2-1 in their most recent Ligue 2 head-to-head meeting, despite trailing at half-time. Pau also outperformed their opponents in shots (9-5) and dangerous attacks (84-32).
In 12 official meetings, Guingamp have won six and Pau five, with one match ending in a draw. The goal record shows a clearer advantage: 23-14 in Guingamp's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Guingamp - Pau
Guingamp Team Overview
Guingamp lost their last Ligue 2 match away at Nancy, going down 1-0. The score was level at half-time, but Nancy were considerably more active in front of goal, outshooting Guingamp 17-8 overall and 7-2 on target.
Guingamp left Nancy empty-handed, though a draw had looked very much on the cards. Sylvain Ripoll's side had not conceded in normal time. Goalkeeper Ortola made two successive saves on two separate occasions, and their opponents were reduced to ten men from the 72nd minute. But the referee awarded a penalty in stoppage time. The foul cost centre-back Alban Demoushi a second yellow card. Nancy converted the spot kick - 1-0. It is already Guingamp's third defeat in four away matches; the only point they have taken on the road came at Reims (2-2). In the table, Ripoll's side sit 11th, three points behind Pau.
Match Results: Guingamp
Pau Team Overview
Pau beat Laval 3-2 at home in their last Ligue 2 match. Despite having less possession - 43% against 57% - the hosts had more shots (16-11) and more shots on target (8-5).
Pau have won their last two Ligue 2 matches and sit eighth. Thierry Debès's side have 11 points. Fifth place, the last play-off spot for promotion to Ligue 1, is held by Nancy with 13. Their most recent win was nervy. Against bottom side Laval, Pau led 3-1 by the 76th minute but conceded a second goal on 90. Both wins, however, came at home. Away from home, Pau have taken three points only at Dijon (1-0).
Match Results: Pau
Reliable Bet
At home this season, Guingamp have lost just one of four matches: two wins, one draw and one defeat. In 12 of their last 13 matches, when they have lost, it has been by no more than one goal. The bet is Guingamp not to lose.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (11.25%), 2-1 (9.16%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The 1-1 scoreline leads on probability, but the other two options have very similar values.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Guingamp and Pau rarely produce low-scoring affairs in Ligue 2. In 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings, the two sides have combined for at least three goals. Guingamp have also scored in all four of their home matches this season, while their goal has been kept intact just once in their last 14 Ligue 2 games. That gives Pau something to work with too: against Dunkerque and Laval, the visitors have scored five goals. Our call is both teams to score, with at least three goals in total. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Guingamp - Pau
in 8 of last 9 games against Pau (Ligue 2).in 8 of last 9 games against Pau (Ligue 2).in 14 of last 15 games.in 13 of last 14 games (Ligue 2).in 12 of last 14 Guingamp home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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